Author name code: sturrock ADS astronomy entries on 2022-09-14 author:"Sturrock, Peter A." ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Title: Neutrino-Flux Variability, Nuclear-Decay Variability, and Their Apparent Relationship Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2022SSRv..218...23S Altcode: 2022arXiv220305069S Analysis of Homestake, Gallex and GNO measurements reveals evidence of variability of presumed solar-neutrino-flux measurements. Analysis of Super-Kamiokande neutrino records over the interval May 1996 to July 2001 reveals oscillations at 9.43 year−1 and 12.6 year−1, both well within a range of frequencies (6-16 year−1) that, according to helioseismology, could be related to internal solar rotation. Title: An Oscillation Evident in Both Solar Neutrino Data and Radon Decay Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Fischbach, E.; Piatibratova, O.; Steinitz, G.; Scholkmann, F. Bibcode: 2019arXiv190711749S Altcode: Analyses of neutrino measurements acquired by the Super-Kamiokande Neutrino Observatory (SK, for the time interval 1996 - 2001) and of radon decay measurements acquired by the Geological Survey of Israel (GSI, for the time interval 2007 - 2017) yield remarkably consistent detections of the same oscillation: frequency 9.43 +/- 0.04 year-1 (SK), 9.44 +/- 0.04 year-1 (GSI); amplitude 6.8 +/- 1.7 % (SK), 7.0 +/- 1.0 % (GSI); phase 124 +/- 15 deg. (SK), 124 +/- 9 deg. (GSI). We briefly discuss possible hypotheses that may be relevant to this experimental result. Title: The Detection of Solar Neutrinos by Radon Decay Authors: Sturrock, Peter Bibcode: 2019HEAD...1711215S Altcode: By comparison with the neutrino detection rate of 12 per day by the Super-Kamiokande Neutrino Observatory (SKO), a radon-decay experiment at the Geological Survey of Israel (GSI) in Jerusalem yields 260 gamma detections per second, of which a few percent are attributable to a solar influence. An oscillation at 9.43 year-1is detected by both SKO and GSI with the same depth of modulation (7%) and the same phase. An oscillation at this frequency has also been reported by Alexeyev et al. in the decay of 213Po. Related oscillations in GSI data at 7.43 year-1and 8.43 year-1suggest that these three oscillations are attributable to a solar core that rotates with a sidereal rotation rate of 8.43 year-1about an axis approximately orthogonal to that of the convection zone. The physical process responsible for the influence of neutrinos on nuclear decays is currently unknown. Title: Analysis of gamma radiation from a radon source. II: Indications of influences of both solar and cosmic neutrinos on beta decays Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Steinitz, G.; Fischbach, E. Bibcode: 2018APh...100....1S Altcode: In the first article in this series, we reported an analysis of 29,000 hourly measurements of gamma radiation associated with the decay of radon gas in a sealed container at the Geological Survey of Israel (GSI) Laboratory in Jerusalem (Sturrock et al., 2012). We now report an analysis of a full 10 years of operation that yields over 85,000 hourly gamma measurements. To avoid possible confusion with seasonal environmental influences, we pay special attention to oscillations with frequencies in a band relevant to solar rotation, identifying two striking oscillations with frequencies 11.35 year-1 and 12.63 year-1, which we have found to be prominent also in decay data acquired at the Brookhaven National Laboratory (Sturrock et al., 2016). The 12.63 year-1 frequency agrees with the synodic rotational frequency (the frequency as observed on Earth) of the radiative zone as determined by helioseismology. Significantly, the more prominent rotational oscillations occur in pairs separated by 1 year-1, indicating that the solar sources of modulation rotate about axes that are oblique with respect to the normal to the ecliptic. It is notable that one of a triplet of such oscillations has exactly the same frequency (9.43 year-1) as the most significant oscillation in Super-Kamiokande measurements, suggesting that the experiment is responding to the influence of neutrinos. As found in our previous article, the annual oscillation is (counter-intuitively) stronger by day (with phase of maximum near 0.5, i.e. mid-year, suggestive of a cosmic source) than by night (with phase of maximum near zero, as expected for a solar source). This day-night asymmetry in the measurements may be understood in terms of a combined influence of asymmetries in the experiment and in the relevant nuclear processes. Spectrograms (with axes local hour of day and frequency) formed from the ambient temperature and pressure and the supply voltage differ significantly from the corresponding spectrogram formed from the gamma measurements. We have been unable to identify any environmental influence or experimental artifact, or any combination thereof, which can duplicate these statistically highly significant patterns found in the GSI data. Title: Concerning the variability of nuclear decay rates: Rebuttal of an article by Pomme et al. [1] Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Steinitz, G.; Fischbach, E. Bibcode: 2018APh....98....9S Altcode: Pomme et al. have recently analyzed one year of GSI (Geological Survey of Israel) radon data, and claimed that "GSI radon measurements are unsuited for studying the variability of decay constants because the data are strongly influenced by environmental conditions such as solar irradiance and rainfall" [1]. They also claim that "the existence of cyclic variations in the decay constant is refuted." We find that these claims are not supported by analysis of GSI data. Title: The Life and Times of a Dissident Scientist Authors: Sturrock, Peter Andrew Bibcode: 2017SoPh..292..147S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Analysis of Ten Years of Radon-Chain Decay Measurements: Evidence of Solar Influences and Inferences Concerning Solar Internal Structure and the Role of Neutrinos Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Steinitz, G.; Fischbach, E. Bibcode: 2017arXiv170503010S Altcode: Gamma radiation associated with radon decay exhibits variations in both time of year and time of day. The annual oscillation has its maximum value in June, suggestive of a galactic influence. Measurements made at midnight show strong evidence of an influence of solar rotation, but measurements made at noon do not. We find several pairs of oscillations with frequencies separated by 1 cycle per year that is suggestive of an influence of rotation that is oblique with respect to the normal to the ecliptic. We suggest that beta decays may be stimulated by neutrinos and that the decay products tend to travel in the same direction as the neutrinos. We estimate the relevant cross section. Title: Comparative Analyses of Brookhaven National Laboratory Nuclear Decay Measurements and Super-Kamiokande Solar Neutrino Measurements: Neutrinos and Neutrino-Induced Beta-Decays as Probes of the Deep Solar Interior Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Fischbach, E.; Scargle, J. D. Bibcode: 2016SoPh..291.3467S Altcode: 2016SoPh..tmp..173S An experiment carried out at the Brookhaven National Laboratory over a period of almost 8 years acquired 364 measurements of the beta-decay rates of a sample of 32Si and, for comparison, of a sample of 36Cl. The experimenters reported finding "small periodic annual deviations of the data points from an exponential decay … of uncertain origin". We find that power-spectrum and spectrogram analyses of these datasets show evidence not only of the annual oscillations, but also of transient oscillations with frequencies near 11 year−1 and 12.5 year−1. Similar analyses of 358 measurements of the solar neutrino flux acquired by the Super-Kamiokande neutrino observatory over a period of about 5 years yield evidence of an oscillation near 12.5 year−1 and another near 9.5 year−1. An oscillation near 12.5 year−1 is compatible with the influence of rotation of the radiative zone. We suggest that an oscillation near 9.5 year−1 may be indicative of rotation of the solar core, and that an oscillation near 11 year−1 may have its origin in a tachocline between the core and the radiative zone. Modulation of the solar neutrino flux may be attributed to an influence of the Sun's internal magnetic field by the Resonant Spin Flavor Precession (RSFP) mechanism, suggesting that neutrinos and neutrino-induced beta decays can provide information about the deep solar interior. Title: Analysis of beta-decay data acquired at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt: Evidence of a solar influence Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Steinitz, G.; Fischbach, E.; Parkhomov, A.; Scargle, J. D. Bibcode: 2016APh....84....8S Altcode: 2016arXiv160503088S According to an article entitled Disproof of solar influence on the decay rates of 90Sr/90Y by Kossert and Nähle of the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB) [1], the PTB measurements show no evidence of variability. We show that, on the contrary, those measurements reveal strong evidence of variability, including an oscillation at 11 year-1 that is suggestive of an influence of internal solar rotation. An analysis of radon beta-decay data acquired at the Geological Survey of Israel (GSI) Laboratory for the same time interval yields strong confirmation of this oscillation. Title: Comparative Analysis of Brookhaven National Laboratory Nuclear Decay Data and Super-Kamiokande Neutrino Data: Indication of a Solar Connection Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Fischbach, E. Bibcode: 2015arXiv151108770S Altcode: An experiment carried out at the Brookhaven National Laboratory from February 1982 to December 1989 acquired 364 measurements of the beta-decay rates of a sample of 36Cl and of a sample of 32Si. The experimenters reported finding small periodic annual deviations of the data points from an exponential decay - of uncertain origin. We here analyze this dataset by power spectrum analysis and by forming spectrograms and phasegrams. We confirm the occurrence of annual oscillations but we also find evidence of oscillations in a band of frequencies appropriate for the internal rotation of the Sun. Both datasets show clear evidence of a transient oscillation with a frequency of 12.7 cycles per year that falls in the range of rotational frequencies for the solar radiative zone. We repeat these analyses for 358 neutrino measurements acquired by Super-Kamiokande over the interval May 1986 to August 2001. Spectrogram analysis yields a strong and steady oscillation at about 9.5 cycles per year and an intermittent oscillation with frequency in the range 12.5 - 12.7 cycles per year. We attribute the former to rotation of the solar core and the latter to rotation in the radiative zone. Since the flux of neutrinos (8B neutrinos) responsible for the Super-Kamiokande measurements is known, we are able to estimate the cross sections for the beta-decay oscillations at 12.7 cycles per year. These estimates are found to be 10-21.6 cm-2 for 36Cl and 10-18.4 cm-2 for 32Si. We suggest that the beta-decay process is influenced by neutrinos, and that the solar neutrino flux is modulated by magnetic field in the deep solar interior by Resonant Spin Flavor Precession. Title: Indications of R-mode Oscillations in SOHO/MDI Solar Radius Measurements Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Bush, R.; Gough, D. O.; Scargle, J. D. Bibcode: 2015ApJ...804...47S Altcode: 2015arXiv150301039S Analysis of solar radius measurements acquired by the Michelson Doppler Imager on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory spacecraft supports previously reported evidence of solar internal r-mode oscillations in Mt Wilson radius data and in 90Sr beta-decay data. The frequencies of these oscillations are compatible with oscillations in a putative inner tachocline that separates a slowly rotating core from the radiative envelope. Title: Erratum: "Analysis of Beta-decay Rates for Ag108, Ba133, Eu152, Eu154, Kr85, Ra226, and Sr90, Measured at the Physikalisch-technische Bundesanstalt from 1990 to 1996" (2014, apj, 794, 42) Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Fischbach, E.; Jenkins, J. Bibcode: 2014ApJ...796..149S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Analysis of Beta-Decay Rates for Ag108, Ba133, Eu152, Eu154, Kr85, Ra226, and Sr90, Measured at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt from 1990 to 1996 Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Fischbach, E.; Jenkins, J. Bibcode: 2014ApJ...794...42S Altcode: 2014arXiv1408.3090S We present the results of an analysis of measurements of the beta-decay rates of Ag108, Ba133, Eu152, Eu154, Kr85, Ra226, and Sr90 acquired at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt from 1990 through 1995. Although the decay rates vary over a range of 165 to 1 and the measured detector current varies over a range of 19 to 1, the detrended and normalized count rate measurements exhibit a sinusoidal annual variation with amplitude in the small range 0.068%-0.088% (mean 0.081%, standard deviation 0.0072%, a rejection of the zero-amplitude hypothesis) and phase-of-maximum in the small range 0.062-0.083 (January 23 to January 30). In comparing these results with those of other related experiments that yield different results, it may be significant that this experiment, at a standards laboratory, seems to be unique in using a 4π detector. These results are compatible with a solar influence, and do not appear to be compatible with an experimental or environmental influence. It is possible that Ba133 measurements are also subject to a non-solar (possibly cosmic) influence. Title: Comparative study of beta-decay data for eight nuclides measured at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Fischbach, E.; Javorsek, D.; Jenkins, J. H.; Lee, R. H.; Nistor, J.; Scargle, J. D. Bibcode: 2014APh....59...47S Altcode: We present the results of time-series analyses of data, kindly provided by the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt, concerning the beta-decays of Ag108, Ba133, Cs137, Eu152, Eu154, Kr85, Ra226, and Sr90. From measurements of the detector currents, we find evidence of annual oscillations (especially for Ra226), and for several solar r-mode oscillations. It is notable that the frequencies of these r-mode oscillations correspond to exactly the same sidereal rotation rate (12.08 year-1) that we have previously identified in r-mode oscillations detected in both Mt Wilson solar diameter data and Lomonosov Moscow State University Sr90 beta-decay data. Ba133 is found to be anomalous in that current measurements for this nuclide have a much larger variation (by 4 σ) than those of the other nuclides. It is interesting that analysis of variability measurements in the PTB files yields strong evidence for an oscillation for Ba133 but only weak evidence for Ra226. Title: A Possible Role of Neutrinos in Stimulating Beta Decays and its Significance for Solar Physics Authors: Sturrock, Peter A.; Fischbach, Ephraim; Jenkins, Jere Bibcode: 2014AAS...22421102S Altcode: We find evidence from measurements of Ag108, Ba133, Eu152, Eu154, Ra226 and Sr90 (Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt, Germany), Rn222 (Geological Survey of Israel), Co60, Pu239, and Sr90 (Lomonosov Moscow State University, Russia), Cl36 and Si32 (Brookhaven National Laboratory, USA) and Mn54 (Purdue University, USA) that beta-decay rates tend to be variable, and that the Sun is responsible for some - perhaps all - of the variability. One variation is an annual oscillation with amplitude about 0.1% and maximum in January or February, presumably related to the annually varying Sun-Earth distance. We also find evidence for two rotational modulations, one with a measured (synodic) frequency of about 12.5 year-1 (an absolute, sidereal frequency of 13.5 year-1), due perhaps to processes in the radiative zone, and another with a synodic frequency of about 11 year-1 (12 year-1 sidereal), due perhaps to processes in an inner tachocline between the core and the radiative zone. A steep gradient in angular velocity (as in a tachocline) is known to be unstable and generate r-mode oscillations. These may be detectable as Rieger-type oscillations in the outer tachocline, and to similar oscillations (with correspondingly lower frequencies, in proportion to the sidereal rotation frequencies) in the inner tachocline. We find evidence for such r-mode oscillations not only in beta-decay data, but also in solar diameter data. A possible explanation of the apparent beta-decay variability is that decays may be stimulated by neutrinos. Since the flavor composition of the neutrino flux can be modified by the Sun’s internal magnetic field (via Resonant Spin Flavor Precession), magnetohydrodynamic processes in the deep solar interior may be detectable on Earth as neutrino-stimulated beta-decay fluctuations. Experiments suggest that a nuclide such as 32Si has a beta-decay-equivalent-cross-section of order 10-25 cm2, larger than the neutrino-equivalent-cross-section of an electron or proton by about 1019. If this proves to be correct, then less than 1 picogram of 32Si would yield the same solar-neutrino-induced event rate as the Super-Kamiokande Observatory. Title: Power-Spectrum Analysis of Reconstructed DAMA Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Fischbach, E.; Gruenwal, J. T.; Javorsek, D., II; Jenkins, J. H.; Lang, R. F.; Lee, R. H.; Nistor, J.; Scargle, J. Bibcode: 2013arXiv1304.8112S Altcode: Claims by the DAMA (DArk MAtter) collaboration to have detected an annually varying signal consistent with models of dark matter appear to be at variance with results from other dark-matter searches. To further understand the DAMA results, we have carried out an independent analysis of DAMA data reconstructed from published figures. In addition to reexamining the Lomb-Scargle and chi-square analyses previously carried out by the DAMA collaboration, we carry out two new likelihood analyses and a new chi-square analysis, focusing attention on the treatment of experimental errors and binning. We confirm the existence of an annual oscillation, with a maximum in early June, but at a lower significance level than previously reported. Title: Spectral content of 22Na/44Ti decay data: implications for a solar influence Authors: O'Keefe, D.; Morreale, B. L.; Lee, R. H.; Buncher, John B.; Jenkins, J. H.; Fischbach, Ephraim; Gruenwald, T.; Javorsek, D.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2013Ap&SS.344..297O Altcode: 2012arXiv1212.2198O; 2013Ap&SS.tmp....3O We report a reanalysis of data on the measured decay rate ratio 22Na/44Ti which were originally published by Norman et al., and interpreted as supporting the conventional hypothesis that nuclear decay rates are constant and not affected by outside influences. We find upon a more detailed analysis of both the amplitude and the phase of the Norman data that they actually favor the presence of an annual variation in 22Na/44Ti, albeit weakly. Moreover, this conclusion holds for a broad range of parameters describing the amplitude and phase of an annual sinusoidal variation in these data. The results from this and related analyses underscore the growing importance of phase considerations in understanding the possible influence of the Sun on nuclear decays. Our conclusions with respect to the phase of the Norman data are consistent with independent analyses of solar neutrino data obtained at Super-Kamiokande-I and the Sudbury Neutrino Observatory (SNO). Title: UV and EUV Emissions at the Flare Foot-points Observed by AIA Authors: Qiu; J.; Sturrock; Z. Bibcode: 2013enss.confE..40Q Altcode: A solar flare is composed of impulsive energy release events by magnetic reconnection, which forms and heats flare loops. Recent studies have revealed a two-phase evolution pattern of UV 1600Å emission at the feet of these flare loops: a rapid rise lasting for a few minutes, followed by a gradual decay on timescales of a few tens of minutes. These signatures are indicative of instantaneous lower-atmosphere response to impulsive energy deposition, and the subsequent plasma evolution in the overlying corona that is heated and then cools down. Multiple band EUV observations by AIA further reveal very similar signatures at the foot-points of flare loops. We report the coordinated and spatially resolved observations of UV and EUV emissions at the foot-points of a C3.2 thermal flare, and discuss the governing mechanism of the two-phase evolution of the flare foot-point emissions with a simple conductive heating model. Title: An analysis of apparent r-mode oscillations in solar activity, the solar diameter, the solar neutrino flux, and nuclear decay rates, with implications concerning the Sun's internal structure and rotation, and neutrino processes Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Bertello, L.; Fischbach, E.; Javorsek, D.; Jenkins, J. H.; Kosovichev, A.; Parkhomov, A. G. Bibcode: 2013APh....42...62S Altcode: 2012arXiv1211.6352S This article presents a comparative analysis of solar activity data, Mt Wilson diameter data, Super-Kamiokande solar neutrino data, and nuclear decay data acquired at the Lomonosov Moscow State University (LMSU). We propose that salient periodicities in all of these datasets may be attributed to r-mode oscillations. Periodicities in the solar activity data and in Super-Kamiokande solar neutrino data may be attributed to r-mode oscillations in the known tachocline, with normalized radius in the range 0.66-0.74, where the sidereal rotation rate is in the range 13.7-14.6 year-1. We propose that periodicities in the Mt Wilson and LMSU data may be attributed to similar r-mode oscillations where the sidereal rotation rate is approximately 12.0 year-1, which we attribute to a hypothetical "inner" tachocline separating a slowly rotating core from the radiative zone. We also discuss the possible role of the Resonant Spin Flavor Precession (RSFP) process, which leads to estimates of the neutrino magnetic moment and of the magnetic field strength in or near the solar core. Title: The Case for a Solar Influence on Certain Nuclear Decay Rates Authors: Sturrock, Peter; Fischbach, Ephraim; Javorsek, Daniel, II; Jenkins, Jere; Lee, Robert Bibcode: 2013arXiv1301.3754S Altcode: Power-spectrum analyses of the decay rates of certain nuclides reveal (at very high confidence levels) an annual oscillation and periodicities that may be attributed to solar rotation and to solar r-mode oscillations. A comparison of spectrograms (time-frequency displays) formed from decay data and from solar neutrino data reveals a common periodicity with frequency 12.5 year-1, which is indicative of the solar radiative zone. We propose that the neutrino flux is modulated by the solar magnetic field (via Resonant Spin Flavor Precession) in that region, and we estimate the force and the torque that could be exerted on a nuclide by the solar neutrino flux. Title: Evidence for a Solar Influence on Gamma Radiation from Radon Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Steinitz, G.; Fischbach, E.; Javorsek, D.; Jenkins, J. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSH13A2249S Altcode: We have analyzed 29,000 measurements of gamma radiation associated with the decay of radon confined to an airtight vessel at the Geological Survey of Israel (GSI) Laboratory in Jerusalem between January 28 2007 and May 10 2010. These measurements exhibit strong variations in time of year and time of day, which may be due in part to environmental influences. However, time-series analysis reveals a number of strong periodicities, including two at approximately 11.2 year-1 and 12.5 year-1. We consider it significant that these same oscillations have previously been detected in nuclear-decay data acquired at the Brookhaven National Laboratory and at the Physiklisch-Technische Bundesanstalt. We have suggested that these oscillations are due to some form of solar radiation (possibly neutrinos) that has its origin in the deep solar interior. A curious property of the GSI data is that the annual oscillation is much stronger in daytime data than in nighttime data, but the opposite is true for all other oscillations. Time-frequency analysis also yields quite different results from daytime and nighttime data. These procedures have also been applied to data collected from subsurface geological sites in Israel, Tenerife, and Italy, which have a variety of geological and geophysical scenarios, different elevations, and depths below the surface ranging from several meters to 1000 meters. In view of these results, and in view of the fact that there is at present no clear understanding of the behavior of radon in its natural environment, there would appear to be a need for multi-disciplinary research. Investigations that clarify the nature and mechanisms of solar influences may help clarify the nature and mechanisms of geological influences. Title: Study of nuclear decays during a solar eclipse: Thule Greenland 2008 Authors: Javorsek, D.; Brewer, M. C.; Buncher, J. B.; Fischbach, E.; Gruenwald, J. T.; Heim, J.; Hoft, A. W.; Horan, T. J.; Kerford, J. L.; Kohler, M.; Lau, J. J.; Longman, A.; Mattes, J. J.; Mohsinally, T.; Newport, J. R.; Petrelli, M. A.; Stewart, C. A.; Jenkins, J. H.; Lee, R. H.; Morreale, B.; Morris, D. B.; Mudry, R.; O'Keefe, D.; Terry, B.; Silver, M. A.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2012Ap&SS.342....9J Altcode: 2012Ap&SS.tmp..260J Recent efforts to determine the cause of anomalous experimental nuclear decay fluctuations suggests a possible solar influence. Here we report on the results from several nuclear decay experiments performed at Thule Air Base in Greenland during the solar eclipse on 1 August 2008. Thule was ideal for this experiment due to its proximity to the magnetic north pole which amplified changes in the charged particle flux and provided relatively stabilized conditions for nearly all environmental factors. An exhaustive list of relevant factors were monitored during the eclipse to help rule out possible systematic effects in the event of unexpected results. We included measurements of temperature, pressure, and humidity as well as power supply outputs, neutron count rates, and the Earth's local electric and magnetic fields. Nuclear decay measurements of 14C, 90Sr, 99Tc, 210Bi, 234Pa, and 241Am were made using Geiger-Müller (GM) ionization chambers. Although our data exhibit no evidence for a statistically significant change in the decay rate of any nuclide measured during the 1 August 2008 solar eclipse, small anomalies remain to be understood. Title: Additional experimental evidence for a solar influence on nuclear decay rates Authors: Jenkins, Jere H.; Herminghuysen, Kevin R.; Blue, Thomas E.; Fischbach, Ephraim; Javorsek, Daniel; Kauffman, Andrew C.; Mundy, Daniel W.; Sturrock, Peter A.; Talnagi, Joseph W. Bibcode: 2012APh....37...81J Altcode: 2012arXiv1207.5783J Additional experimental evidence is presented in support of the recent hypothesis that a possible solar influence could explain fluctuations observed in the measured decay rates of some isotopes. These data were obtained during routine weekly calibrations of an instrument used for radiological safety at The Ohio State University Research Reactor using 36Cl. The detector system used was based on a Geiger-Müller gas detector, which is a robust detector system with very low susceptibility to environmental changes. A clear annual variation is evident in the data, with a maximum relative count rate observed in January/February, and a minimum relative count rate observed in July/August, for seven successive years from July 2005 to June 2011. This annual variation is not likely to have arisen from changes in the detector surroundings, as we show here. Title: Searches for solar-influenced radioactive decay anomalies using spacecraft RTGs Authors: Krause, D. E.; Rogers, B. A.; Fischbach, E.; Buncher, J. B.; Ging, A.; Jenkins, J. H.; Longuski, J. M.; Strange, N.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2012APh....36...51K Altcode: 2012arXiv1205.7015K Experiments showing a seasonal variation of the nuclear decay rates of a number of different nuclei, and decay anomalies apparently related to solar flares and solar rotation, have suggested that the Sun may somehow be influencing nuclear decay processes. Recently, Cooper searched for such an effect in 238Pu nuclei contained in the radioisotope thermoelectric generators (RTGs) on board the Cassini spacecraft. In this paper we modify and extend Cooper's analysis to obtain constraints on anomalous decays of 238Pu over a wider range of models, but these limits cannot be applied to other nuclei if the anomaly is composition-dependent. We also show that it may require very high sensitivity for terrestrial experiments to discriminate among some models if such a decay anomaly exists, motivating the consideration of future spacecraft experiments which would require less precision. Title: Analysis of gamma radiation from a radon source: Indications of a solar influence Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Steinitz, G.; Fischbach, E.; Javorsek, D.; Jenkins, J. H. Bibcode: 2012APh....36...18S Altcode: 2012arXiv1205.0205S This article presents an analysis of about 29,000 measurements of gamma radiation associated with the decay of radon in a sealed container at the Geological Survey of Israel (GSI) Laboratory in Jerusalem between 28 January 2007 and 10 May 2010. These measurements exhibit strong variations in time of year and time of day, which may be due in part to environmental influences. However, time-series analysis reveals a number of periodicities, including two at approximately 11.2 year-1 and 12.5 year-1. We have previously found these oscillations in nuclear-decay data acquired at the Brookhaven National Laboratory and at the Physiklisch-Technische Bundesanstalt, and we have suggested that these oscillations are attributable to some form of solar radiation that has its origin in the deep solar interior. A curious property of the GSI data is that the annual oscillation is much stronger in daytime data than in nighttime data, but the opposite is true for all other oscillations. This may be a systematic effect but, if it is not, this property should help narrow the theoretical options for the mechanism responsible for decay-rate variability. Title: The Case for a Solar Influence on Certain Nuclear Decay Rates Authors: Sturrock, Peter; Fischbach, Ephraim; Javorsek, Daniel, II; Jenkins, Jere Bibcode: 2012aww..confE..10S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Flares in the Crab Nebula Driven by Untwisting Magnetic Fields Authors: Sturrock, Peter; Aschwanden, Markus J. Bibcode: 2012ApJ...751L..32S Altcode: 2012arXiv1205.0039S The recent discovery of PeV electrons from the Crab Nebula, produced on rapid timescales of one day or less with a sharply peaked gamma-ray spectrum without hard X-rays, challenges traditional models of diffusive shock acceleration followed by synchrotron radiation. Here, we outline an acceleration model involving a DC electric field parallel to the magnetic field in a twisted toroidal field around the pulsar. Sudden developments of resistivity in localized regions of the twisted field are thought to drive the particle acceleration, up to PeV energies, resulting in flares. This model can reproduce the observed timescales of T ≈ 1 day, the peak photon energies of U Φ, rr ≈ 1 MeV, maximum electron energies of U e, rr ≈ 1 PeV, and luminosities of L ≈ 1036 erg s-1. Title: Power spectrum analysis of LMSU (Lomonosov Moscow State University) nuclear decay-rate data: Further indication of r-mode oscillations in an inner solar tachocline Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Parkhomov, A. G.; Fischbach, E.; Jenkins, J. H. Bibcode: 2012APh....35..755S Altcode: 2012arXiv1203.3107S This article presents a power-spectrum analysis of 2350 measurements of the 90Sr-90Y decay process acquired over the interval August 4 2002 to February 6 2009 at the Lomonosov Moscow State University. As we have found for other long sequences of decay measurements, the power spectrum is dominated by a very strong annual oscillation. However, we also find a set of low-frequency peaks, ranging from 0.26 to 3.98 year-1, which are very similar to an array of peaks in a power spectrum formed from Mt Wilson diameter measurements. The Mt Wilson measurements have been interpreted in terms of r-mode oscillations in a region where the sidereal rotation frequency is 12.08 year-1. We find that the LMSU measurements may also be attributed to the same type of r-mode oscillations in a solar region with the same sidereal rotation frequency. We propose that these oscillations occur in an inner tachocline that separates the radiative zone from a more slowly rotating solar core. Title: Analysis of Radon Decay Data and its Implications for Physics, Geophysics, and Solar Physics. Authors: Sturrock, Peter A.; Fischbach, E.; Jenkins, J. H.; Steinitz, G. Bibcode: 2012AAS...22020514S Altcode: We present an analysis of about 29,000 measurements of gamma radiation associated with the decay of radon in a sealed container at the Geological Survey of Israel (GSI) Laboratory in Jerusalem between January 28 2007 and May 10 2010. These measurements exhibit strong variations in time of year and time of day, which may be due in part to environmental influences. However, time-series analysis also reveals a number of periodicities, notably at 11.2 year-1 and 12.5 year-1, which we have found in other nuclear-decay data --including data acquired at the Brookhaven National Laboratory and the Physiklisch-Technische Bundesanstalt-- which we attribute to a solar influence. A distinct property of the GSI results is that the annual oscillation is much stronger in daytime data than in nighttime data, but the opposite is true for all other oscillations. We speculate on possible interpretations of this curious result. Solar neutrinos remain our prime suspect as the agent responsible for beta-decay anomalies. These results have implications for physics (that nuclear decay rates are not constant and may be stimulated); for geophysics (that the variability of radon measurements cannot be ascribed entirely to atmospheric and solid-earth processes); and for solar physics (that the Sun contains an inner tachocline, separating a slowly rotating core from the radiative zone, which has properties similar to those of the outer tachocline separating the radiative zone from the convection zone). This work was supported by DOE grant DE-AC-02-76ER071428. Title: Flares in the Crab Nebula Driven by Untwisting Magnetic Fields Authors: Sturrock, Peter A.; Aschwanden, M. J. Bibcode: 2012AAS...22040708S Altcode: The recent discovery of PeV electrons from the Crab nebula, produced on rapid time scales of one day or less with a sharply peaked gamma-ray spectrum without hard X-rays, challenges traditional diffusive shock acceleration models followed by synchrotron radiation. Here we outline an acceleration model involving a DC electric field, parallel to the magnetic field, in a twisted toroidal field in the nebula.. Sudden developments of resistivity in localized regions of the twisted field are thought to drive the flares and associated particle acceleration up to PeV energies. This model can reproduce the observed time scales of about 1 day, the peak photon energies of about 1 MeV, maximum electron energies of about 1 PeV, and a luminosity of about 1036 erg s-1. Title: Corroboration for the influence of a component of solar irradiance on subsurface radon signals Authors: Steinitz, G.; Piatibratova, O.; Kotlarsky, P.; Sturrock, P.; Maritn, C. Bibcode: 2012EGUGA..14.1209S Altcode: Rn-222 occurs at highly varying levels as a trace component in subsurface air (geogas). This high variability is traced by alpha and gamma activity due to the decay of radon and its progeny. Nuclear radiation from radon in geogas and in experiments using air+radon within a confined volume exhibits systematic temporal variations. These variations are composed of periodic and non-periodic signals spanning several orders of magnitude in time - from annual to daily and sub-daily durations. Analysis of extensive data sets from three key sites 200 km apart in the arid desert of southern Israel [1-3] and from a 5-year experiment using alpha and gamma detectors [4] demonstrate that the periodic variations, observed to a depth of >100 meters, are related to an above surface driver probably due to a component of solar irradiance. Insight was also derived from the long term variations in the geological and the experimental time series [5], indicated by the occurrence of multi-year variations, and clear semiannual and ternary annual signals which are in addition to the annual periodicity. New confirmations are based on recognizing further cyclic phenomena, some of which are not linked with Earth related periodicities. A likehood analysis of the alpha and gamma time series in a long-term experiment is performed. A Combined Power Statistic formed from the gamma, alpha-H and alpha-L sensors inside the experimental tank shows that the time series of the gamma radiation contains an annual periodicity as well as a clear semi-annual and possibly a ternary-annual periodicity. The same analysis also resolves additional periodicities in the frequency range of 10-15 yr-1 in the gamma time series which are indicative of a relationship to rotation of the sun around its axis [6]. Observation of solar periodicities in the temporal pattern of the nuclear radiation of radon is a significant independent substantiation for the notion of the influence of a component in solar irradiance. An independent confirmation of the solar effect in the experimental data is obtained by observing day time and night time patterns. "Specgrams" of the power as a function of frequency and hour of day show that the peak of the annual periodicity occurs at daytime while the semi-annual and solar periodicities are seen to be prominent at night. This is interpreted to indicate a differentiation in the nuclear radiation from radon as a function of rotation of Earth. - i.e. when Earth faces the sun and when the sun is completely obstructed. This feature is also demonstrated using Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) analysis on separate time series composed of day-time and night-time measurements. Applying the CWT analysis yields different frequency-time variation patterns for day-time and night-time measurements in the experimental data. This confirms the utilization of the CWT analysis for detecting the phenomena. Using the CWT analysis tool the day- and night-time difference in radon time series is also detected at subsurface geological sites from Israel, Tenerife and Italy. These sites are from different geological and geophysical scenarios, different elevations and span depths from several meters to around 1000m below the surface. New multi disciplinary prospects for the research are indicated in terms of a) the radioactive behavior of radon in above surface and subsurface air, b) an above surface geophysical driver for this behavior and, c) the influence of a component of solar irradiation. 1. Steinitz, G., O. Piatibratova, and S. M. Barbosa, 2007. Radon daily signals in the Elat Granite, southern Arava, Israel, J. Geophys. Res., 112, B10211, doi:10.1029/2006JB004817. 2. Steinitz, G., Piatibratova, O., 2010a. Radon signals in the Gavnunim intrusion, Makhtesh Ramon, Israel. Geophys. J. Int. 180, 651-665. 3. Steinitz, G. and Piatibratova, O., 2010. Radon signals at the Roded site, Southern Israel, Solid Earth, 1, 99-109, doi:10.5194/se-1-99-2010. 4. Steinitz, G., Piatibratova, O., Kotlarsky, P., 2011. Possible effect of solar tides on radon signals. Journal of Environmental Radioactivity, 102, 749-765. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2011.04.002. 5. Steinitz, G., Piatibratova, O., Kotlarsky, P., 2011. Solar radiation tidal forcing of radon signals in subsurface air. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 13, EGU2011-733, 2011 6. Sturrock, P.A., Buncher , J.B., Fischbach, E., Gruenwald, J.T., Javorsek, D., Jenkins, J.H., Lee, R.H., Mattes, J.J., Newport, J.R., 2010b. Power Spectrum Analysis of Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt Decay-Rate Data: Evidence for Solar Rotational Modulation. Solar Physics, 267, 251-265. DOI: 10.1007/s11207-010-9659-4 Title: Evidence for Solar Influences on Nuclear Decay Rates Authors: Fischbach, E.; Jenkins, J. H.; Buncher, J. B.; Gruenwald, J. T.; Sturrock, P. A.; Javorsek, D. Bibcode: 2011cls..conf..168F Altcode: 2010arXiv1007.3318F Recent reports of periodic fluctuations in nuclear decay data of certain isotopes have led to the suggestion that nuclear decay rates are being influenced by the Sun, perhaps via neutrinos. Here we present evidence for the existence of an additional periodicity that appears to be related to the Rieger periodicity well known in solar physics. Title: Evidence from Helioradiology of an Inner Tachocline in the Sun Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Bertello, L.; Fischbach, E.; Jenkins, J. H. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSH13B1931S Altcode: One can make a good case that the Rieger and related solar oscillations may be understood as r-mode oscillations. The frequencies of these oscillations fit the formula 2*m*nu/(l*(l+1)), where l and m (two of the three spherical harmonic indices) take the values m = 1, l = 2,3,4,..., (the third index n does not affect the mode frequency), and the sidereal rotation frequency nu = 13.7 year-1. This value of the rotation frequency indicates that these oscillations occur in the tachocline, which separates the radiative zone from the convection zone. There is now strong evidence that beta decay rates are not constant, and there is a persuasive case that the Sun is responsible for variations in these rates. This new source of solar observational data, for which we propose the name "helioradiology," yields evidence that the solar core rotates more slowly than the radiative zone. This raises the possibility that there is a second, "inner," tachocline that separates the core from the radiative zone. This possibility in turn suggests that there may be a second group of "Rieger-like" oscillations that have their origin in this inner tachocline. We present evidence for such oscillations, derived from helioradiology data and also from the long-term diameter measurements acquired at the Mount Wilson Observatory. Title: Further Evidence Suggestive of a Solar Influence on Nuclear Decay Rates Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Fischbach, E.; Jenkins, J. H. Bibcode: 2011SoPh..272....1S Altcode: 2011SoPh..tmp..318S; 2011SoPh..tmp..196S; 2011SoPh..tmp..138S; 2011SoPh..tmp..293S; 2011arXiv1105.1335S; 2011SoPh..tmp..265S Recent analyses of nuclear decay data show evidence of variations suggestive of a solar influence. Analyses of datasets acquired at the Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) and at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB) both show evidence of an annual periodicity and of periodicities with sidereal frequencies in the neighborhood of 12.25 year−1 (at a significance level that we have estimated to be 10−17). It is notable that this implied rotation rate is lower than that attributed to the solar radiative zone, suggestive of a slowly rotating solar core. This leads us to hypothesize that there may be an "inner tachocline" separating the core from the radiative zone, analogous to the "outer tachocline" that separates the radiative zone from the convection zone. The Rieger periodicity (which has a period of about 154 days, corresponding to a frequency of 2.37 year−1) may be attributed to an r-mode oscillation with spherical-harmonic indices l=3,m=1, located in the outer tachocline. This suggests that we may test the hypothesis of a solar influence on nuclear decay rates by searching BNL and PTB data for evidence of a "Rieger-like" r-mode oscillation, with l=3,m=1, in the inner tachocline. The appropriate search band for such an oscillation is estimated to be 2.00 - 2.28 year−1. We find, in both datasets, strong evidence of a periodicity at 2.11 year−1. We estimate that the probability of obtaining these results by chance is 10−12. Title: Concerning the Phases of the Annual Variations of Nuclear Decay Rates Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Buncher, J. B.; Fischbach, E.; Javorsek, D., ii; Jenkins, J. H.; Mattes, J. J. Bibcode: 2011ApJ...737...65S Altcode: 2011arXiv1106.2374S Recent analyses of data sets acquired at the Brookhaven National Laboratory and at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt both show evidence of pronounced annual variations, suggestive of a solar influence. However, the phases of decay-rate maxima do not correspond precisely to the phase of minimum Sun-Earth distance, as might then be expected. We here examine the hypothesis that decay rates are influenced by an unknown solar radiation, but that the intensity of the radiation is influenced not only by the variation in Sun-Earth distance, but also by a possible north-south asymmetry in the solar emission mechanism. We find that this can lead to phases of decay-rate maxima in the range 0-0.183 or 0.683-1 (September 6 to March 8) but that, according to this hypothesis, phases in the range of 0.183-0.683 (March 8 to September 6) are "forbidden." We find that phases of the three data sets analyzed here fall in the allowed range. Title: Evidence for Time-Varying Nuclear Decay Rates: Experimental Results and Their Implications for New Physics Authors: Fischbach, Ephraim; Jenkins, Jere H.; Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 2011arXiv1106.1470F Altcode: Unexplained annual variations in nuclear decay rates have been reported in recent years by a number of groups. We show that data from these experiments exhibit not only variations in time related to Earth-Sun distance, but also periodicities attributable to solar rotation. Additionally, anomalous decay rates coincident in time with a series of solar flares in December 2006 also point to a solar influence on nuclear decay rates. This influence could arise from some flavor of solar neutrinos, or through some other objects we call "neutrellos" which behave in some ways like neutrinos. The indication that neutrinos or neutrellos must interact weakly in the Sun implies that we may be able to use data on time-varying nuclear decay rates to probe the interior of the Sun, a technique which we may call "helioradiology". Title: Analysis of Experiments Exhibiting Time-Varying Nuclear Decay Rates: Systematic Effects or New Physics? Authors: Jenkins, Jere H.; Fischbach, Ephraim; Sturrock, Peter A.; Mundy, Daniel W. Bibcode: 2011arXiv1106.1678J Altcode: Since the 1930s, and with very few exceptions, it has been assumed that the process of radioactive decay is a random process, unaffected by the environment in which the decaying nucleus resides. There have been instances within the past few decades, however, where changes in the chemical environment or physical environment brought about small changes in the decay rates. But even in light of these instances, decaying nuclei that were undisturbed or un-"pressured" were thought to behave in the expected random way, subject to the normal decay probabilities which are specific to each nuclide. Moreover, any "non-random" behavior was assumed automatically to be the fault of the detection systems, the environment surrounding the detectors, or changes in the background radiation to which the detector was exposed. Recently, however, evidence has emerged from a variety of sources, including measurements taken by independent groups at Brookhaven National Laboratory, Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt, and Purdue University, that indicate there may in fact be an influence that is altering nuclear decay rates, albeit at levels on the order of $10^{-3}$. In this paper, we will discuss some of these results, and examine the evidence pointing to the conclusion that the intrinsic decay process is being affected by a solar influence. Title: Helioradiology: A New View Of The Deep Solar Interior: Indications Of A Slowly Rotating Core And An Inner Tachocline Authors: Sturrock, Peter A.; Fischbach, E.; Jenkins, J. H. Bibcode: 2011SPD....42.0201S Altcode: 2011BAAS..43S.0201S Analyses of several radionuclide experiments give strong evidence that decay rates are NOT constant (as we have all been led to believe). To date, there is evidence for three periodicities: one with an annual period; a second with a period of order one month; and one that is approximately semi-annual. The first may be attributed partly to the eccentricity of the Earth's orbit, and partly to a north-south asymmetry in whatever solar radiation is responsible for the variations. The second may be attributed to the influence of solar rotation; however, the synodic period is in the range 30 - 33 days, indicative of a slowly rotating region - presumably the core. The third may be interpreted as a Rieger oscillation, except that it occurs in an inner tachocline (separating the core from the radiative zone) rather than in the outer tachocline, that separates the radiative zone from the convection zone. The mechanism by which the Sun influences nuclear decay rates is presently unknown. There are reasons to suspect that neutrinos are involved, but this would require that neutrinos have previously unsuspected properties.

This work was supported by the NSF grant AST-0607572 and DOE grant DE-AC-02-76ER071428. Title: Power Spectrum Analysis of Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt Decay-Rate Data: Evidence for Solar Rotational Modulation Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Buncher, J. B.; Fischbach, E.; Gruenwald, J. T.; Javorsek, D.; Jenkins, J. H.; Lee, R. H.; Mattes, J. J.; Newport, J. R. Bibcode: 2010SoPh..267..251S Altcode: 2010SoPh..tmp..193S; 2010arXiv1010.2225S Evidence for an anomalous annual periodicity in certain nuclear-decay data has led to speculation on a possible solar influence on nuclear processes. We have recently analyzed data concerning the decay rates of 36Cl and 32Si, acquired at the Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL), to search for evidence that might be indicative of a process involving solar rotation. Smoothing of the power spectrum by weighted-running-mean analysis leads to a significant peak at frequency 11.18 year−1, which is lower than the equatorial synodic rotation rates of the convection and radiative zones. This article concerns measurements of the decay rates of 226Ra acquired at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB) in Germany. We find that a similar (but not identical) analysis yields a significant peak in the PTB dataset at frequency 11.21 year−1, and a peak in the BNL dataset at 11.25 year−1. The change in the BNL result is not significant, since the uncertainties in the BNL and PTB analyses are estimated to be 0.13 year−1 and 0.07 year−1, respectively. Combining the two running means by forming the joint power statistic leads to a highly significant peak at frequency 11.23 year−1. We will briefly comment on the possible implications of these results for solar physics and for particle physics. Title: Power Spectrum Analysis of Mount Wilson Solar Diameter Measurements: Evidence for Solar Internal r-mode Oscillations Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Bertello, L. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...725..492S Altcode: 2010arXiv1010.0261S This paper presents a power-spectrum analysis of 39,024 measurements of the solar diameter made at the Mount Wilson Observatory from 1968.670 to 1997.965. This power spectrum contains a number of very strong peaks. We find that eight of these peaks agree closely with the frequencies of r-mode oscillations for a region of the Sun where the sidereal rotation frequency is 12.08 year-1. We estimate that there is less than one chance in 106 of finding this pattern by chance. Title: Nuclear Decay Variations: New Solar Observations and Possible New Flare Predictors Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Fischbach, E.; Jenkins, J. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSH43B1821S Altcode: There are many ground-based solar observatories, and more than a few space-based observatories. They give highly detailed and high-cadence information about the Sun’s surface and atmosphere, and (by way of helioseismology) less detailed information about the radiative zone and convection zone. Neutrino observatories can in principle yield information about the solar core, but very little has been achieved along those lines so far. The recent discovery of variability of beta-decay rates offers a new opportunity. There are now three lines of evidence linking this variability to the Sun. One promising scenario is that the solar neutrino flux can induce beta decays. Current evidence indicates that beta-decay measurements have much higher sensitivity and can run at much higher cadence, than direct measurements of the neutrino flux. Such measurements therefore offer the prospect of greatly improved information about the structure and activity of the solar core. In addition, there is tantalizing evidence of a linkage between decay-rate fluctuations and solar flares. These recent discoveries therefore offer the prospect of a new type of solar observatory that will open a window on the solar core, that may offer a predictive capability concerning solar activity, and which—compared with other types of observatory—should be quite inexpensive. Title: Power spectrum analyses of nuclear decay rates Authors: Javorsek, D.; Sturrock, P. A.; Lasenby, R. N.; Lasenby, A. N.; Buncher, J. B.; Fischbach, E.; Gruenwald, J. T.; Hoft, A. W.; Horan, T. J.; Jenkins, J. H.; Kerford, J. L.; Lee, R. H.; Longman, A.; Mattes, J. J.; Morreale, B. L.; Morris, D. B.; Mudry, R. N.; Newport, J. R.; O'Keefe, D.; Petrelli, M. A.; Silver, M. A.; Stewart, C. A.; Terry, B. Bibcode: 2010APh....34..173J Altcode: 2010arXiv1007.0924J We provide the results from a spectral analysis of nuclear decay data displaying annually varying periodic fluctuations. The analyzed data were obtained from three distinct data sets: 32Si and 36Cl decays reported by an experiment performed at the Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL), 56Mn decay reported by the Children's Nutrition Research Center (CNRC), but also performed at BNL, and 226Ra decay reported by an experiment performed at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB) in Germany. All three data sets exhibit the same primary frequency mode consisting of an annual period. Additional spectral comparisons of the data to local ambient temperature, atmospheric pressure, relative humidity, Earth-Sun distance, and their reciprocals were performed. No common phases were found between the factors investigated and those exhibited by the nuclear decay data. This suggests that either a combination of factors was responsible, or that, if it was a single factor, its effects on the decay rate experiments are not a direct synchronous modulation. We conclude that the annual periodicity in these data sets is a real effect, but that further study involving additional carefully controlled experiments will be needed to establish its origin. Title: Power spectrum analysis of BNL decay rate data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Buncher, J. B.; Fischbach, E.; Gruenwald, J. T.; Javorsek, D.; Jenkins, J. H.; Lee, R. H.; Mattes, J. J.; Newport, J. R. Bibcode: 2010APh....34..121S Altcode: 2010arXiv1006.4848S Evidence for an anomalous annual periodicity in certain nuclear decay data has led to speculation concerning a possible solar influence on nuclear processes. As a test of this hypothesis, we here search for evidence in decay data that might be indicative of a process involving solar rotation, focusing on data for 32Si and 36Cl decay rates acquired at the Brookhaven National Laboratory. Examination of the power spectrum over a range of frequencies (10-15 year -1) appropriate for solar synodic rotation rates reveals several periodicities, the most prominent being one at 11.18 year -1 with power 20.76. We evaluate the significance of this peak in terms of the false-alarm probability, by means of the shuffle test, and also by means of a new test (the "shake" test) that involves small random time displacements. The last two tests are the more robust, and indicate that the peak at 11.18 year -1 would arise by chance only once out of about 10 7 trials. However, the fact that there are several peaks in the rotational search band suggests that modulation of the count rate involves several low-Q oscillations rather than a single high-Q oscillation, possibly indicative of a partly stochastic process. To pursue this possibility, we investigate the running-mean of the power spectrum, and identify a major peak at 11.93 year -1 with peak running-mean power 4.08. Application of the shuffle test indicates that there is less than one chance in 10 11of finding by chance a value as large as 4.08. Application of the shake test leads to a more restrictive result that there is less than one chance in 10 15 of finding by chance a value as large as 4.08. We find that there is notable agreement in the running-mean power spectra in the rotational search band formed from BNL data and from ACRIM total solar irradiance data. Since rotation rate estimates derived from irradiance data have been found to be closely related to rotation rate estimates derived from low-energy solar neutrino data, this result supports the recent conjecture that solar neutrinos may be responsible for variations in nuclear decay rates. We also carry out a similar comparison with local temperature measurements, but find no similarity between power spectra formed from BNL measurements and from local temperature measurements. Title: False-alarm Probability in Relation to Oversampled Power Spectra, with Application to Super-Kamiokande Solar Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, Peter A.; Scargle, Jeffrey D. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...718..527S Altcode: 2010arXiv1006.0546S The term "false-alarm probability" denotes the probability that at least one out of M independent power values in a prescribed search band of a power spectrum computed from a white-noise time series is expected to be as large as or larger than a given value. The usual formula is based on the assumption that powers are distributed exponentially, as one expects for power measurements of normally distributed random noise. However, in practice, one typically examines peaks in an oversampled power spectrum. It is therefore more appropriate to compare the strength of a particular peak with the distribution of peaks in oversampled power spectra derived from normally distributed random noise. We show that this leads to a formula for the false-alarm probability that is rather more conservative than the familiar formula. We also show how to combine these results with a Bayesian method for estimating the probability of the null hypothesis (that there is no oscillation in the time series), and we discuss as an example the application of these procedures to Super-Kamiokande solar neutrino data. Title: Evidence for a Solar Influence on Nuclear Decay Rates Authors: Sturrock, Peter A.; Buncher, J. B.; Fischbach, E.; Gruenwald, J. T.; Javorsek, D., II; Jenkins, J. H.; Lee, R.; Mattes, J. T.; Newport, J. R. Bibcode: 2010AAS...21640011S Altcode: 2010BAAS...41..856S Analyses of data acquired during two experiments at the Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) and one at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt in Germany have yielded strong evidence for an annual variation of some nuclear decay rates. Since the Sun-Earth distance has an annual period, it is possible that some radiation from the Sun plays a role. We here present evidence in support of this conjecture.

The low-energy solar-neutrino flux as detected by the Homestake and GALLEX experiments, and the total solar irradiance as measured by the ACRIM experiment, both exhibit a periodicity of about 12 year-1. We infer that the solar core rotates at this synodic frequency, and that nuclear burning in the core is not spherically symmetric. If neutrinos influence some decay rates, the same periodicity may be manifested in decay measurements.

We have for this reason carried out a power-spectrum analysis of measurements made at BNL over a 7-year interval of the decay rates of 32Si and 36Cl. This analysis yields strong evidence for a cluster of periodicities centered on 12 year-1, such as one might obtain from stochastic fluctuations of nuclear burning in a rotating core.

These results imply that some nuclear decay rates are influenced either by solar neutrinos or by some other form of radiation that has its origin in the solar core.

This work was supported by the NSF grant AST-0607572 and DOE grant DE-AC-02-76ER071428. Title: Variation in Nuclear Decay Rates as a Possible Predictor of Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Buncher, J.; Fischbach, E.; Gruenwald, J.; Javorsek, D.; Jenkins, J.; Krause, D.; Mattes, J. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSH21C..07S Altcode: Jenkins and Fischbach (Astroparticle Physics, 31, 407, 2009) have recently found evidence for fluctuations in the decay rates of radioactive isotopes in association with solar flares. Jenkins et al. (Astroparticle Physics, 32, 42, 2010) have also found strong evidence for annual variations in measurements of decay rates acquired at the Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) and at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB) in Germany. If these claims are confirmed, they pose important questions in particle physics and in solar physics, with the intriguing possibility that such measurements may lead to procedures for predicting the occurrence of some solar flares. The purpose of this presentation is to discuss these questions. The strongest feature of the variability of isotopic decay rates is an annual variation in both BNL and PTB data. The phases of these variations rule out the possibility that they are due either to the annual variation in temperature or to the annual variation in Sun-Earth distance. However, we found some time ago that the solar neutrino flux, as measured at Earth, is influenced not only by the varying Sun-Earth distance, but also by the variation in the heliospheric latitude of the Sun-Earth vector (Sturrock,Walther, and Wheatland, Astrophys. J., 507, 978, 1998). The phases of the annual variation in the BNL and PTB data are consistent with the combined effect of varying Sun-Earth distance and varying heliospheric latitude. This result suggests that the decay rates may be influenced by solar neutrinos. This interpretation would require a revision of neutrino physics. In order to check this hypothesis, it would clearly be desirable to be able to compare decay data with neutrino data. The difficulty is that the decay-rate variations amount to only a few parts in 10,000. This is far too small a fraction to be detectable in neutrino data. However, we have recently found that there is a close association between variations in the solar neutrino flux and variations in solar irradiance. Hence we may, with caution, use irradiance data as a proxy for neutrino data. This has the advantage that irradiance data has been measured several times a day with very high accuracy for over thirty years. We shall present recent results on the comparison of decay data and irradiance data, and comment on possible processes that might explain these associations. This work was supported by the National Science Foundation through grant AST-0607572. Title: Reexamination of Possible Bimodality of GALLEX Solar-Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2009SoPh..260..245S Altcode: 2009arXiv0904.4236S The histogram formed from published capture-rate measurements for the GALLEX solar-neutrino experiment is bimodal, showing two distinct peaks. However, the histogram formed from published measurements derived from the similar Gallium Neutrino Observatory (GNO) experiment is unimodal, showing only one peak. Nevertheless, the two experiments differ in run durations: GALLEX runs are either three weeks or four weeks (approximately) in duration, whereas GNO runs are all about four weeks in duration. When we form three-week and four-week subsets of the GALLEX data, we find that the relevant histograms are unimodal. The upper peak arises mainly from the three-week runs, and the lower peak from the four-week runs. The four-week subset of the GALLEX dataset is found to be similar to the GNO dataset. A recent re-analysis of GALLEX data leads to a unimodal histogram. Title: A Bayesian Assessment of p-Values for Significance Estimation of Power Spectra and an Alternative Procedure, with Application to Solar Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Scargle, J. D. Bibcode: 2009ApJ...706..393S Altcode: 2009arXiv0904.1713S The usual procedure for estimating the significance of a peak in a power spectrum is to calculate the probability of obtaining that value or a larger value by chance (known as the "p-value"), on the assumption that the time series contains only noise—typically that the measurements are derived from random samplings of a Gaussian distribution. However, since the use of p-values in other contexts is known to be misleading, it seems prudent to examine the implications of using p-values for significance estimation of power spectra. We really need to know the probability that the time series is—or is not—compatible with the "null hypothesis" that the measurements are derived from noise. This probability can be calculated by Bayesian analysis, but this requires one to specify and evaluate a second hypothesis that the time series does contain a contribution other than noise. We show that the requirement that the p-value should be identical to the probability that the null hypothesis is true leads to an unacceptable form for the likelihood function associated with this hypothesis. We claim that, for this reason, the p-value is not an acceptable method for significance estimation of a power spectrum. In order to obtain an acceptable significance estimate, it is necessary to explicitly consider a second hypothesis, and the key challenge is to identify an appropriate likelihood function for this hypothesis. We first propose four simple conditions that it seems reasonable to impose on this function. We then examine a general functional form for the function, and find the simplest form (which has one free parameter) that meets these conditions. We then define two different ways of combining information derived from two independent power estimates. One procedure is to calculate the post-probabilities of the null hypothesis, convert these to odds-values, and sum the log-odds. The second procedure is to combine the p-values using a procedure due to R.A. Fisher, and to calculate the corresponding post-probability and hence the corresponding log-odds. It seems sensible—even if not logically essential—to seek a likelihood function for which the two procedures lead to the same answer. We find that this consistency condition may be satisfied, to good approximation, by a special case of the previously proposed likelihood function. We find that the resulting significance estimates are considerably more conservative than those usually associated with the p-values. As two examples, we apply the new procedure to two recent analyses of solar neutrino data: (1) power spectrum analysis of Super-Kamiokande data and (2) the combined analysis of radiochemical neutrino data and irradiance data. Title: Combined Analysis of Solar Neutrino and Solar Irradiance Data: Further Evidence for Variability of the Solar Neutrino Flux and Its Implications Concerning the Solar Core Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2009SoPh..254..227S Altcode: 2008arXiv0805.3686S A search for any particular feature in any single solar neutrino dataset is unlikely to establish variability of the solar neutrino flux since the count rates are very low. It helps to combine datasets, and in this article we examine data from both the Homestake and GALLEX experiments. These show evidence of modulation with a frequency of 11.85 year−1, which could be indicative of rotational modulation originating in the solar core. We find that precisely the same frequency is prominent in power spectrum analyses of the ACRIM irradiance data for both the Homestake and GALLEX time intervals. These results suggest that the solar core is inhomogeneous and rotates with a sidereal frequency of 12.85 year−1. From Monte Carlo calculations, it is found that the probability that the neutrino data would by chance match the irradiance data in this way is only 2 parts in 10 000. This rotation rate is significantly lower than that of the inner radiative zone (13.97 year−1) as recently inferred from analysis of Super-Kamiokande data, suggesting that there may be a second, inner tachocline separating the core from the radiative zone. This opens up the possibility that there may be an inner dynamo that could produce a strong internal magnetic field and a second solar cycle. Title: Evidence for r-Mode Oscillations in Super-Kamiokande Solar Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2008SoPh..252..221S Altcode: 2008SoPh..tmp..156S; 2008arXiv0802.3399S There has for some time been evidence of variability in radiochemical solar neutrino measurements, but this evidence has seemed suspect since the Cerenkov experiments have not shown similar evidence of variability. The present reanalysis of Super-Kamiokande data shows strong evidence of r-mode oscillations. The frequencies of these oscillations correspond to a region with a sidereal rotation rate of 13.97 year−1. This estimate is incompatible with the rotation rate in the convection zone but is compatible with current estimates of the rotation rate in the radiative zone. The excitation of r modes in the radiative zone may be due to a velocity field originating in or related to the nuclear-burning core. Title: Solar Neutrino Variability and Its Implications for Solar Physics and Neutrino Physics Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2008ApJ...688L..53S Altcode: 2008arXiv0810.2755S Recent coordinated power-spectrum analyses of radiochemical solar neutrino data and the solar irradiance have revealed a highly significant, high-Q common modulation at 11.85 yr-1. Since the stability of this frequency points to an explanation in terms of rotation, this result may be attributable to non-spherically-symmetric nuclear burning in a solar core with sidereal rotation frequency 12.85 yr-1. The variability of the amplitude (on a timescale of years) suggests that the relevant nuclear burning is variable as well as asymmetric. Recent analysis of Super-Kamiokande solar neutrino data has revealed r-mode-type modulations with frequencies corresponding to a region with sidereal rotation frequency 13.97 yr-1. If this modulation is attributed to the RSFP (resonant spin flavor precession) process, it provides a measurement of the rotation rate deep in the radiative zone. These two results suggest that the core rotates significantly more slowly than the radiative zone. If one accepts an upper limit of 7 MG for the Sun's internal magnetic field, an RSFP interpretation of the Super-Kamiokande results leads to a lower limit of 10-12 Bohr magnetons for the neutrino transition magnetic moment. Title: Time Frequency Analysis of GALLEX and GNO Solar Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2008SoPh..252....1S Altcode: 2008SoPh..tmp..157S Time - frequency analysis of data from the GALLEX and GNO solar neutrino experiments shows that some features in power-spectrum analyses of those datasets are due to aliasing (a result of the fact that run durations tend to be small multiples of one week). Displays formed from the published GALLEX data show a sharp discontinuity that we attribute to some systematic effect. We therefore normalize data for each of the four experiments in the GALLEX series and concatenate the resulting normalized data. This step effectively removes the presumed systematic effect. To help understand the effect of aliasing, we form time - frequency displays of the two principal modulations found in the data, at 11.87 year−1 and at 13.63 year−1. We also form time - frequency displays of datasets formed by subtracting these modulations from the actual (normalized) data. The results suggest that the true principal modulation is that at 11.87 year−1. Comparison with helioseismology data suggests that modulation may be occurring in the core, perhaps resulting from inhomogeneities and fluctuations in the nuclear-burning process, and that the sidereal rotation rate of the core is 12.87 year−1, or 408 nHz. Title: A Bayesian approach to power-spectrum significance estimation, with application to solar neutrino data Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2008arXiv0809.0276S Altcode: The usual procedure for estimating the significance of a peak in a power spectrum is to calculate the probability of obtaining that value or a larger value by chance, on the assumption that the time series contains only noise (e.g. that the measurements were derived from random samplings of a Gaussian distribution). However, it is known that one should regard this P-Value approach with caution. As an alternative, we here examine a Bayesian approach to estimating the significance of a peak in a power spectrum. This approach requires that we consider explicitly the hypothesis that the time series contains a periodic signal as well as noise. The challenge is to identify a probability distribution function for the power that is appropriate for this hypothesis. We propose what seem to be reasonable conditions to require of this function, and then propose a simple function that meets these requirements. We also propose a consistency condition, and check to see that our function satisfies this condition. We find that the Bayesian significance estimates are considerably more conservative than the conventional estimates. We apply this procedure to three recent analyses of solar neutrino data: (a) bimodality of GALLEX data; (b) power spectrum analysis of Super-Kamiokande data; and (c) the combined analysis of radiochemical neutrino data and irradiance data. Title: Analysis of Bimodality in Histograms Formed from GALLEX and GNO Solar Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2008SoPh..249....1S Altcode: 2008SoPh..tmp...70S; 2007arXiv0711.0216S A histogram display of the solar neutrino capture-rate measurements made by the GALLEX experiment appears to be bimodal, but that of the follow-on GNO experiment does not. To assess the significance of these results, we introduce a "bimodality index" based on the probability-transform procedure. This confirms that the GALLEX measurements are indeed bimodal (at the 99.98% confidence level) and that the GNO measurements are not. Tracking the bimodality index as a function of time shows that the strongest contribution to bimodality comes from runs 42 to 62 (i.e., from the time interval 1995.1 to 1996.9). The bimodality index for the first half (runs 1 through 33) is 2.56, whereas that for the second half (runs 33 through 65) is 7.05. A power-spectrum analysis shows a similar distinction: The peaks in the power spectrum formed from the second half are stronger than those in the power spectrum formed from the first half, suggesting that bimodality and rotational modulation are related. Title: Analysis and Packaging of Radiochemical Solar Neutrino Data: A Bayesian Approach Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 2008SoPh..247..217S Altcode: 2007arXiv0706.2192S; 2008SoPh..tmp....4S According to current practice, the results of each run of a radiochemical solar neutrino experiment comprise an estimate of the flux and upper and lower error estimates. These estimates are derived by a maximum-likelihood procedure from the times of decay events in the analysis chamber. This procedure has the following shortcomings: (a) published results sometimes include negative flux estimates; (b) even if the flux estimate is non-negative, the probability distribution function implied by the flux and error estimates will extend into negative territory; and (c) the overall flux estimate derived from the results of a sequence of runs may differ substantially from an estimate made by a "global" analysis of all of the timing data taken together. These defects indicate that the usual "packaging" of data in radiochemical solar neutrino experiments provides an inadequate summary of the data, which implies a loss of information. This article reviews this problem from a Bayesian perspective, and we suggest an alternative scheme for the packaging of radiochemical solar neutrino data, which we believe is free from these shortcomings. Title: Time-Frequency Analysis of GALLEX and GNO Solar Neutrino Data: Evidence Suggestive of Asymmetric and Variable Nuclear Burning Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2008arXiv0802.3370S Altcode: Time-frequency analysis of data from the GALLEX and GNO solar neutrino experiments shows that some features in power-spectrum analyses of those datasets are due to aliasing. We normalize data for each of the four experiments in the GALLEX series, concatenate the resulting normalized data, and then form time-frequency displays. We also form time-frequency displays of the two principal modulations found in the data, at 11.87 yr-1 and at 13.63 yr-1, and of the datasets formed by subtracting these modulations from the actual (normalized) data. The results suggest that the true modulation is that at 11.87 yr-1, consistent with the results of our earlier analysis of Homestake solar neutrino data. Comparison with helioseismology data indicates that modulation is occurring either in the radiative zone just below the tachocline, presumably by the RSFP (resonant spin-flavor precession) process, or in the core, presumably due to inhomogeneities and fluctuations in the nuclear-burning process. Title: An Extension of the Chi-Square Procedure for Non-NORMAL Statistics, with Application to Solar Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2008SoPh..247....3S Altcode: Using the chi-square statistic, one may conveniently test whether a series of measurements of a variable are consistent with a constant value. However, that test is predicated on the assumption that the appropriate probability distribution function (pdf) is normal in form. This requirement is usually not satisfied by experimental measurements of the solar neutrino flux. This article presents an extension of the chi-square procedure that is valid for any form of the pdf. This procedure is applied to the GALLEX-GNO dataset, and it is shown that the results are in good agreement with the results of Monte Carlo simulations. Whereas application of the standard chi-square test to symmetrized data yields evidence significant at the 1% level for variability of the solar neutrino flux, application of the extended chi-square test to the unsymmetrized data yields only weak evidence (significant at the 4% level) of variability. Title: Comparative Analysis of Super-Kamiokande and SNO Solar-Neutrino Data and the Photospheric Magnetic Field Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2006SoPh..239....1S Altcode: 2006SoPh..tmp...91S; 2006hep.ph...10065S We carry out a comparative analysis of Super-Kamiokande, SNO, and photospheric magnetic-field data for the interval in which these datasets overlap. This proves to be the interval of operation of the D2O phase of the SNO experiment. Concerning solar-rotational modulation, we find that the magnetic-field power spectrum shows the strongest peaks at the second and sixth harmonics of the solar synodic rotation frequency [i.e., at 3νrot and 7νrot]. We find that the restricted Super-Kamiokande dataset has a strong modulation at the second harmonic, as we found to be the case for the complete Super-Kamiokande dataset. The SNO D2O dataset exhibits weak modulation at that frequency, but shows strong modulation in the band corresponding to the sixth harmonic (too high a frequency to be detectable in the Super-Kamiokande dataset, which is available only in five-day bins, whereas SNO data is available in one-day bins). We estimate the significance level of the correspondence of the Super-Kamiokande second-harmonic peak with the corresponding magnetic-field peak to be 0.0004, and the significance level of the correspondence of the SNO D2O sixth-harmonic peak with the corresponding magnetic-field peak to be 0.009. By estimating the amplitude of the modulation of the solar-neutrino flux at the second harmonic from the restricted Super-Kamiokande dataset, we find that the weak power at that frequency in the SNO D2O power spectrum is not particularly surprising. We also examine power spectra in the neighborhood of 9.43 year−1, which is the frequency of a particularly strong modulation in the entire Super-Kamiokande dataset. There is no peak at this frequency in the power spectrum formed from the restricted Super-Kamiokande dataset. It is therefore not surprising that we find (in agreement with the recent analysis by the SNO collaboration) that this peak does not show up in the SNO D2O dataset either. Title: Comparative analysis of GALLEX and GNO solar neutrino data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Caldwell, D. O.; Scargle, J. D. Bibcode: 2006APh....26..174S Altcode: 2004hep.ph....9064S Since the GALLEX and GNO datasets were derived from closely related experiments, there is a natural tendency to merge them. This is perhaps appropriate for any analysis based on the hypothesis that the solar neutrino flux is constant, but it is not necessarily appropriate for an analysis that allows for possible variability, since the GALLEX and GNO experiments belong to different solar cycles. Moreover, we find significant differences between the GALLEX and GNO datasets. It appears, from inspection of the time series and histograms, that GNO measurements are compatible with the assumption that the solar neutrino flux is constant, but GALLEX measurements are not. Furthermore, power-spectrum analysis yields evidence of rotational modulation in GALLEX data but not in GNO data. We compare our results with those of Pandola, who claims that GALLEX-GNO data show no evidence for variability. Title: Power-Spectrum Analysis of Super-Kamiokande Solar Neutrino Data, Taking into Account Asymmetry in the Error Estimates Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Scargle, J. D. Bibcode: 2006SoPh..237....1S Altcode: 2006hep.ph....1251S; 2006SoPh..tmp....4S The purpose of this article is to carry out a power-spectrum analysis of the Super-Kamiokande five-day dataset that takes account of the asymmetry in the error estimates. Whereas for symmetrical error estimates the likelihood analysis involves a linear optimization procedure, for asymmetrical error estimates it involves a nonlinear optimization procedure. For most frequencies there is little difference between the power spectra derived from analyses of symmetrized error estimates and from asymmetrical error estimates, but this is not the case for the principal peak in the power spectrum at 9.43 yr −1. A likelihood analysis that takes account of the error asymmetry leads to a peak with power 13.24 at that frequency, and a Monte Carlo analysis shows that there is a chance of only 0.1% of finding a peak this big or bigger in the search band 1 - 36 yr −1. From this perspective, power-spectrum analysis that takes account of asymmetry of the error estimates gives evidence for variability that is significant at the 99.9% level. We comment briefly on an apparent discrepancy between power-spectrum analyses of the Super-Kamiokande and SNO solar neutrino experiments. Title: Power-spectrum analyses of Super-Kamiokande solar neutrino data: Variability and its implications for solar physics and neutrino physics Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Caldwell, D. O.; Scargle, J. D.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 2005PhRvD..72k3004S Altcode: 2004hep.ph....8017S Since rotational or similar modulation of the solar neutrino flux would seem to be incompatible with the currently accepted theoretical interpretation of the solar neutrino deficit, it is important to determine whether or not such modulation occurs. There have been conflicting claims as to whether or not power-spectrum analysis of the Super-Kamiokande solar neutrino data yields indication of variability. Comparison of these claims is complicated by the fact that the relevant articles may use different data sets, different methods of analysis, and different procedures for significance estimation. The purpose of this article is to clarify the role of power-spectrum analysis. To this end, we analyze primarily the Super-Kamiokande 5-day data set, and we use a standard procedure for significance estimation as used by the Super-Kamiokande collaboration. We then analyze this data set, with this method of significance estimation, using six methods of power-spectrum analysis. Five of these have been used in published articles, and the other is a method that might have been used. We find that, with one exception, the results of these calculations are consistent with those of previously published analyses. We find that the power of the principal modulation (that at 9.43yr-1) is greater in analyses that take account of error estimates than in the basic Lomb-Scargle analysis that does not take account of error estimates. The corresponding significance level ranges between 98% and 99.3%, depending on the details of the analysis. Concerning the recent article by Koshio, we find that we can reproduce the results of his power-spectrum analysis but not the results of his Monte Carlo simulations, and we have a suggestion that may account for the difference. We also comment on a recent article by Yoo et al. We discuss, in terms of subdominant processes, possible neutrino-physics interpretations of the apparent variability of the Super-Kamiokande measurements, and we suggest steps that could be taken to resolve the question of variability of the solar neutrino flux. Title: Evidence for solar neutrino flux variability and its implications Authors: Caldwell, D. O.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2005APh....23..543C Altcode: 2003hep.ph....9191C Although KamLAND apparently rules out resonant-spin-flavor-precession (RSFP) as an explanation of the solar neutrino deficit, the solar neutrino fluxes in the Cl and Ga experiments appear to vary with solar rotation. Added to this evidence, summarized here, a power spectrum analysis of the Super-Kamiokande data reveals significant variation in the flux matching a dominant rotation rate observed in the solar magnetic field in the same time period. Three frequency peaks, all related to this rotation rate, can be explained quantitatively. A Super-Kamiokande paper reported no time variation of the flux, but showed the same peaks, there interpreted as statistically insignificant, due to an inappropriate analysis. This modulation is small (7%) in the Super-Kamiokande energy region (and below the sensitivity of the Super-Kamiokande analysis) and is consistent with RSFP as a subdominant neutrino process in the convection zone. The data display effects that correspond to solar-cycle changes in the magnetic field, typical of the convection zone. This subdominant process requires new physics: a large neutrino transition magnetic moment and a light sterile neutrino, since an effect of this amplitude occurring in the convection zone cannot be achieved with the three known neutrinos. It does, however, resolve current problems in providing fits to all experimental estimates of the mean neutrino flux, and is compatible with the extensive evidence for solar neutrino flux variability. Title: Combined and Comparative Analysis of Power Spectra Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Scargle, J. D.; Walther, G.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 2005SoPh..227..137S Altcode: 2005astro.ph..2050S In solar physics, especially in exploratory stages of research, it is often necessary to compare the power spectra of two or more time series. One may, for instance, wish to estimate what the power spectrum of the combined data sets might have been, or one may wish to estimate the significance of a particular peak that shows up in two or more power spectra. One may also on occasion need to search for a complex of peaks in a single power spectrum, such as a fundamental and one or more harmonics, or a fundamental plus sidebands, etc. Visual inspection can be revealing, but it can also be misleading. This leads one to look for one or more ways of forming statistics, which readily lend themselves to significance estimation, from two or more power spectra. We derive formulas for statistics formed from the sum, the minimum, and the product of two or more power spectra. A distinguishing feature of our formulae is that, if each power spectrum has an exponential distribution, each statistic also has an exponential distribution. The statistic formed from the minimum power of two or more power spectra is well known and has an exponential distribution. The sum of two or more powers also has a well-known distribution that is not exponential, but a simple operation does lead to an exponential distribution. Concerning the product of two or more power spectra, we find an analytical expression for the case n = 2, and a procedure for computing the statistic for n > 2. We also show that some quite simple expressions give surprisingly good approximations. Title: Comparative Analysis of Super-Kamiokande 10-day-bin and 5-day-bin Datasets Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Caldwell, D. O.; Scargle, J. D.; Walther, G.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 2004AAS...204.5301S Altcode: 2004BAAS...36..755S The Super-Kamiokande Collaboration has released two datasets suitable for time-series analysis: one packaged in 10-day bins and, more recently, one packaged in 5-day bins. We have analyzed both datasets by a likelihood power-spectrum procedure that is to be preferred over the more usual Lomb-Scargle procedure since it takes account of all of the available data, whereas the Lomb-Scargle procedure uses only a fraction of the data. Analysis of these two datasets yields power spectra that are similar but have some notable differences. Comparative analysis of these two datasets shows that the significant differences are due to aliasing. Since each dataset represents highly regular sampling, a modulation at frequency vM will be accompanied by alias periodicities at frequencies ěrt vT - vM ěrt and at vT + vM, where vT is the sampling frequency. As indications of real oscillations, we have looked for peaks in the two power spectra which are strong in both, but for which the power in the 5-day power spectrum is larger than that in the 10-day power spectrum. This plot identifies three peaks of special interest. One of these may be attributed to modulation associated with solar rotation, and the other two may be attributed to modulation associated with an internal r-mode oscillation. These periodicities appear to be statistically significant. We thank the Super-Kamiokande consortium for making these datasets available. This work was supported by NSF grant AST-0097128 and DOE grant DE-FG03-91ER40618. Title: Comments on `Possible Role of MHD Waves in Heating the Solar Corona' by Dwivedi and Pandey Authors: Klimchuk, J. A.; Porter, L. J.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2004SoPh..221...47K Altcode: We comment on the recent paper by Dwivedi and Pandey (Solar Physics216, 59, 2003). Parts of that paper closely reproduce, without reference, material that we had published previously, while other parts that deviate from our earlier analysis contain several critical flaws. We show that magnetoacoustic waves are capable of heating the corona with a modest enhancement in the coefficient of compressive viscosity. Title: A Code of Ethics for Referees? Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 2004EOSTr..85R.160S Altcode: I have read with interest the many letters commenting on the pros and cons of anonymity for referees. While I sympathize with writers who have suffered from referees who are incompetent or uncivil, I also sympathize with those who argue that one would simply exchange one set of problems for another if journals were to require that all referees waive anonymity. Perhaps there is a more direct way to address the issue. It may help if guidelines for referees were to include a code of ethics. Title: Analysis of Super-Kamiokande 5 Day Measurements of the Solar Neutrino Flux Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2004ApJ...605..568S Altcode: 2003hep.ph....9239S Data in 5 day bins, recently released by the Super-Kamiokande consortium, have been analyzed by a likelihood procedure that has certain advantages over the Lomb-Scargle procedure used by the consortium. The two most prominent peaks in the power spectrum of the 10 day data were at 9.42 and 26.57 yr-1, and it was clear that one was an alias of the other caused by the regularity of the binning. There were reasons to believe that the 9.42 yr-1 peak was an alias of the 26.57 yr-1 peak, but analysis of the 5 day data makes it clear that the reverse is the case. In addition to a strong peak near 9.42 yr-1, we find peaks at 43.72 and 39.28 yr-1. After comparing this analysis with a power-spectrum analysis of magnetic field data, we suggest that these three peaks may be attributed to a harmonic of the solar rotation rate and to an r-mode oscillation with spherical harmonic indices l=2, m=2. Title: Time-Series Analysis of Super-Kamiokande Measurements of the Solar Neutrino Flux Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2003ApJ...594.1102S Altcode: 2003hep.ph....4073S A recently released data set of Super-Kamiokande data comprises 184 bins of about 10 days each, from 1996 May to 2001 July. The power spectrum of the acquisition times has a huge peak at frequency ν=35.98 (period 10.15 days), where frequencies are measured in cycles per year, leading to severe aliasing of the power spectrum that complicates the analysis. The strongest peak in the range 0-100 in a power spectrum formed by a likelihood procedure is at ν=26.57 (period 13.75 days) with S=11.26. For the range 0-40, the second-strongest peak is at 9.42 (period 38.82 days) with S=7.3. Since 26.57+9.42=35.99, we infer that the weaker peak at 9.42 is an alias of the stronger at 26.57. When we subtract the oscillation at 26.57 from the data, the resulting CLEAN spectrum has no peak with power in excess of 6.3 in the range 0-100, and none with power in excess of 5.0 in the range 0-40. We note that 26.57 falls in the band 26.36-27.66, formed from twice the range of synodic rotation frequencies of an equatorial section of the Sun. We find from the shuffle test that the probability of obtaining a peak of S=11.26 or more by chance in this band is 0.1%. This new result therefore supports previous evidence, found in Homestake and GALLEX-GNO data, for rotational modulation of the solar neutrino flux. The frequency 25.57 yr-1 points to a source of modulation at or near the tachocline. Title: Statistics of the Chi-Square Type, with Application to the Analysis of Multiple Time-Series Power Spectra Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 2003astro.ph..7353S Altcode: It is often necessary to compare the power spectra of two or more time series: one may, for instance, wish to estimate what the power spectrum of the combined data sets might have been, or one may wish to estimate the significance of a particular peak that shows up in two or more power spectra. Also, one may occasionally need to search for a complex of peaks in a single power spectrum, such as a fundamental and one or more harmonics, or a fundamental plus sidebands, etc. Visual inspection can be revealing, but it can also be misleading. This leads one to look for one or more ways of forming statistics, which readily lend themselves to significance estimation, from two or more power spectra. The familiar chi-square statistic provides a convenient mechanism for combining variables drawn from normal distributions, and one may generalize the chi-square statistic to be any function of any number of variables with arbitrary distributions. In dealing with power spectra, we are interested mainly in exponential distributions. One well-known statistic, formed from the sum of two or more variables with exponential distributions, satisfies the gamma distribution. We show that a transformation of this statistic has the convenient property that it has an exponential distribution. We introduce two additional statistics formed from two or more variables with exponential distributions. For certain investigations, we may wish to study the minimum power (as a function of frequency) drawn from two or more power spectra. In other investigations, it may be helpful to study the product of the powers. We give numerical examples and an example drawn from our solar-neutrino research. Title: Implications of the variability of the solar neutrino flux Authors: Caldwell, D. O.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2003NuPhS.124..239C Altcode: Analyses of the Cl and Ga solar neutrino data yield statistically compelling evidence for rotational (and related) modulations of the solar neutrino flux. While a neutrino transition magnetic moment and the Resonant-Spin-Flavor-Precession (RSFP) process have given at least as good a fit to time-averaged solar data as any other solution, the observed variability fits no present solution. The Cl data show mainly a synodic rotation frequency of 12.88 y-1 (period 28.4 d) which display a latitudinal effect, just as does exactly the same frequency seen by SXT in coronal X-rays. While each data set has some of the other's dominant frequency, that of Ga is mainly 13.59 y-1, but it is equatorial, just as are the SXT coronal X-rays of that same frequency. The Ca data in narrow bins show one peak of nearly non-oscillational flux value and the other of about half that, with bimodality at the 99.99% CL. Convolution with SOHO/MDI helioseismology data shows the Ca effect is on the solar equator in the convection zone at 0.8 Rsolar, yielding exactly the E/Δm2 value used for RSFP solutions to suppress 7Be neutrinos; hence Δm2 ~ 10-8 eV2. The data can be explained by two rotating solar fields, the higher latitude one being anchored in the radiative zone, the tilt of the solar axis, and the Ga data being nearly all pp neutrinos produced at ~ 0.2 Rsolar, whereas the others come from the solar center (~ 0.05 Rsolar) .

Supported in part by the National Science Foundation and NASA. Title: Further Evidence for Neutrino Flux Variability from Super-Kamiokande Data Authors: Caldwell, D. O.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2003hep.ph....5303C Altcode: While KamLAND apparently rules out Resonant-Spin-Flavor-Precession (RSFP) as an explanation of the solar neutrino deficit, the solar neutrino fluxes in the Cl and Ga experiments vary with solar rotation rates. Added to this evidence, summarized here, a power spectrum analysis of the Super-Kamiokande data reveals (99.9% CL) an oscillation in the band of twice the equatorial rotation frequencies of the solar interior. An m=2 magnetic structure and RSFP, perhaps as a subdominant process, would give this effect. Solar cycle data changes are seen, as expected for convection zone modulations. Title: Time-Series Analysis of Solar Neutrino Data: Evidence for Rieger-type Periodicities and their Interpretation as R-Modes Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2003SPD....34.0805S Altcode: 2003BAAS...35..822S Power-spectrum analysis of the Homestake and GALLEX-GNO radiochemical solar neutrino data has shown evidence of the effects of solar rotation and indications of two oscillations that are well known in solar physics: one at about 154 days period (the Rieger periodicity) and another at about 52 days period. We speculate that these periodicities, and another well known periodicity at about 77 days, are due to r-mode oscillations with spherical harmonic indices l = 3 and m = 1, 2, and 3. In the rotating frame, these would have frequencies fR/6, fR/3, and fR/2, where fR is the sidereal rotation rate where the waves are excited. We have combined power spectra formed from both neutrino datasets, and then tested the combined spectrum for the presence of peaks at four related frequencies: the above three r-mode frequencies, and the corresponding synodic frequency fR - 1. In the range 0 - 20 y-1, we find a strong peak at 13.88 y-1 which falls in the rotation frequency range of the radiative zone. By applying the shuffle test, we find that the probability of obtaining by chance a peak this big or bigger in this range is less than 0.1%. This analysis suggests that Rieger-type periodicities are caused by r-mode oscillations in the radiative zone, and that these oscillations may lead to modulation of the solar neutrino flux, probably by the RSFP (Resonant Spin Flavor Precession) mechanism. This research was supported by the National Science Foundation. Title: Variability of the Solar Neutrino Flux Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2003SPD....34.2605S Altcode: 2003BAAS...35R.854S The question of variability of the solar neutrino flux is important for particle physics and also for solar physics. It is generally believed that the solar neutrino flux is constant and that the deficit can be explained by the MSW (Mikhevev-Smirnov-Wolfenstein) effect which converts electron neutrinos into mu or tau neutrinos as they propagate through the dense solar interior. Variability of the neutrino flux would indicate that the MSW effect must be supplemented by some other process such as Resonant Spin-Flavor Precession (RSFP) that changes a neutrino into an antineutrino of different flavor. This process can explain variability since it involves the Sun's internal magnetic field. If (as is likely) the magnetic field is not cylindrically symmetric, the RSFP process would lead to modulation at the synodic rotation frequency and/or a harmonic of this frequency.

We present the results of time-series analysis of solar-neutrino data from the Homestake, GALLEX-GNO, SAGE, and Super-Kamiokande experiments. We find evidence for modulation at 12.88 y-1, consistent with the rotation rate of the radiative zone, at 13.59 y-1, consistent with the rotation rate of the deep convection zone, and at 26.57 y-1, consistent with the harmonic of the rotation rate at or near the tachocline. We present estimates of the statistical significance of these results, and we discuss the significance of the bimodal structure of the histogram of GALLEX-GNO flux estimates.

If the present evidence for variability of the solar neutrino flux is substantiated by future analysis of additional data, neutrino measurements may yield new insight into the strength, structure, and variability of the Sun's internal magnetic field.

This work was supported by the National Science Foundation. Title: Combined and Comparative Time-Series Spectrum Analysis Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2003astro.ph..4148S Altcode: It is often necessary to compare the power spectra of two or more time series. One may, for instance, wish to estimate what the power spectrum of the combined data sets might have been. One might also wish to estimate the significance of a particular peak that shows up in two or more power spectra. Visual comparison can be revealing, but it can also be misleading. This leads one to look for one or more ways of forming statistics, which lend themselves to significance estimation, from two or more power spectra. We here propose two such statistics, one that is most useful for the combined study of two or more similar time series, and another that is more useful for the study of dissimilar time series. Title: Preliminary Time-Series Analysis of Super-Kamiokande Measurements of the Solar Neutrino Flux Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Caldwell, D. O. Bibcode: 2002AAS...20113002S Altcode: 2002BAAS...34.1314S We report an analysis of an early release of Super-Kamiokande data comprising 184 bins, about 10 days each, from May 1996 to July 2001. Flux estimates vary over a range of more than 2:1, and the mean ratio of error estimates to flux estimates is 0.14. Due to the regularity of the binning, the power spectrum of the acquisition times has a huge peak (power S > 120) at frequency nu = 35.98, where frequencies are measured in cycles per year and power measurements are such that the probability of obtaining a peak of strength S or more by chance at a specified frequency is exp(-S). Such regularity inevitably leads to aliasing of a power spectrum. The strongest peak in the range 0 - 100 in a power spectrum formed by a relative-likelihood procedure is at nu = 26.57 with S = 11.1. For the range 0 - 40, the second-strongest peak is at nu = 9.41 with S = 7.33. Since 26.57 + 9.41 = 35.98, it is probable that the weaker peak at 9.41 is an alias of the stronger at 26.57. Indeed, when we subtract the 26.57 oscillation from the data, the resulting "CLEAN" spectrum has no peak stronger than S >6.1 in the range 0 - 100, and none stronger than 5.5 in the range 0 - 40. We note that 26.57 falls in the band 26.46 - 27.66, formed from twice the range of synodic rotation frequencies of an equatorial section of the solar convection zone. Such oscillations, attributable to "m = 2" structures, are not uncommon in solar data. We find from the shuffle test that the probability of obtaining a peak of S = 11.1 or more by chance in this band is 0.2%. This new result therefore supports previous evidence, found in Homestake and GALLEX-GNO data, for rotational modulation of the solar neutrino flux. We thank the Super-Kamiokande consortium for making this data available. This work was supported by NSF grant AST-0097128 and DOE grant DE-FG03-91ER40618. Title: Pre-eruptive Coronal Model for a Magnetic Flux-tube Authors: Weber, M. A.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2002AAS...200.2006W Altcode: 2002BAAS...34Q.674W Aly conjectured that the energy of a closed magnetic-field configuration above the photosphere cannot exceed the energy of the corresponding open-field configuration with the same normal field distribution at the photosphere. This limitation, later proved by Aly for a planar geometry and by Sturrock for a curved geometry, has important consequences for modeling coronal dynamics, especially solar eruptions such as flares and CMEs, that involve the release of magnetic energy. The above analyses were based on the assumption that all field lines are connected to the photosphere. However, one can conceive of a pre-eruption configuration involving magnetic flux that does not thread the photosphere. A toroidal current-carrying wire embedded in a dipolar arcade can have arbitrarily large magnetic energy relative to the potential configuration as its radius goes to zero, but this would be an unphysical model for the solar corona. We inquire into whether there exist force-free field solutions with ``disconnected'' flux and energy greater than the open-field energy. We examine a magnetic-field model comprising a toroidal, force-free flux tube in the equatorial plane, restrained by an overlying arcade with dipole boundary conditions, analyzing the configuration by the generating-function (Grad-Shafranov) method. We solve the equations numerically by an iterative procedure, relaxing the flux-tube and the dipole field separately, alternately allowing their interface to adjust. We confirm that it is indeed possible for the energy of such a closed magnetic-field configuration to exceed the Aly-Sturrock limit. However, it requires such a large amount of twist that the flux-tube would be unstable in a full 3-D MHD treatment. We gratefully acknowledge that this research was supported by NASA grants NAS 8-37334 and NAG 5-9784. Title: Variability of the Solar Neutrino Flux Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Scargle, J. D.; Walther, G.; Weber, M. A.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 2002AAS...200.8904S Altcode: 2002BAAS...34..791S Several tests of the available data provide evidence for variability of the solar neutrino flux. The variance of the Homestake measurements is larger than expected of a constant flux, and varies with heliographic latitude. The Homestake power spectrum contains a peak at 12.88 y-1 (period 28.4 days), corresponding to a sidereal rotation frequency of 440 nHz, close to that of the radiative zone. The power spectrum of GALLEX-GNO data contains the 12.88 y-1 peak and a stronger peak at 13.59 y-1 (period 26.9 days), corresponding to a sidereal rotation frequency of 462 nHz, that of the equatorial convection zone at normalized radius 0.85. Further evidence for time variation comes from the bimodality of the GALLEX-GNO and SAGE histograms. Joint spectrum analysis of the Homestake and GALLEX-GNO data yields evidence for the influence of r-mode oscillations [with l = 3, m = \{1,2,3\}] associated with the same sidereal rotation rate (13.88 y-1 or 440 nHz) found previously. The periods of these oscillations (158, 79, and 53 days, respectively) are close to those of known Rieger-type oscillations, and therefore point to the radiative zone as the source of these oscillations. A subset of these tests, selected to be independent, yield results that could arise by chance from a constant flux with probabilities ranging from 0.1 to 0.0001. If there are no relevant experimental systematic effects, and if the tests are valid and statistically independent, the combined estimates yield a probability of 10-15 that the results are compatible with a constant flux. A variable flux implies that neutrinos have a significant magnetic moment, and that neutrino measurements may be used to probe the Sun's internal magnetic field and internal dynamics. This work was supported by NASA grants NAS 8-37334 and NAG 5-9784, NSF grant AST-0097128, and the NASA Applied Information Systems Research Program. Title: Solar Neutrino Flux: Implications of Intrinsic Variability Authors: Caldwell, D. O.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2002APS..APR.X7002C Altcode: The Resonance-Spin-Flavor-Precession (RSFP) process helps explain the evidence for the solar neutrino flux variability presented in the previous abstract. This requires a νe transition magnetic moment as could be found in proposed experiments. The RSFP process gives a good fit to all solar neutrino data. Like the SMA fit, the resonance is near the 0.86 MeV ^7Be line, but the RSFP resonance asymptotes to 1/2, unlike unity for the SMA, so it gives a flat spectrum as measured by the water detectors. The solar rotation rate deduced from the Ga (and also seen in the Cl data) is at a solar density which gives the same E/Δ m^2 value for the resonance position as that required for a fit to all the solar data. This remarkable agreement yields for E=0.86 MeV a Δ m^2 ~ 10-8 eV^2. Details of the flux variability require more complexity than just RSFP, but (as would be expected from the Δ m^2) the MSW LOW solution also contributes. The two overlapping resonances produce the observed bimodal Ga rate distribution, while giving very little variability at the energy of the water detectors where the LOW and RSFP effects are nearly the same. Title: Solar Neutrino Flux: Evidence for Intrinsic Variability Authors: Sturrock, P.; Walther, G.; Weber, M.; Scargle, J.; Wheatland, M. Bibcode: 2002APS..APR.X7001S Altcode: Analyses of Homestake and GALLEX-GNO data yield persuasive evidence for rotational modulation and related modulations of the solar neutrino flux. We find in Homestake data evidence that (1) the variance is significantly larger than that found in Monte Carlo simulations; (2) the power spectrum contains a significant peak at 12.88 y-1 (period 28.4 days); (3) the spectrum also contains four sidebands displaced by ± 1 y-1 and ± 2 y-1; (4) the variance of the data shows a significant heliographic N/S asymmetry; (5) a time series reconstructed from power spectrum analysis exhibits a heliographic-latitude-dependent variance; and (6) the spectrum formed from the variance of the reconstructed flux has a notable peak at 1 y-1. We find from analysis of GALLEX-GNO data that (7) there is a significant periodicity at 13.59 y-1 (period 26.9 days); and (8) the histogram is bimodal. From a comparative analysis of Homestake and GALLEX-GNO data, we find (9) evidence for variations attributable to r-mode oscillations with l = 3, m = 1,2,3 in a region with synodic rotation rate 12.88 y-1. From analysis of X-ray data acquired by the SXT instrument on Yohkoh, we find that the corona exhibits two discrete rotation rates, and that (10) the coronal rotation frequencies are virtually identical to the principal frequencies in the Homestake and GALLEX-GNO spectra. Title: Comparative Analysis of GALLEX-GNO Solar Neutrino Data and SOHO/MDI Helioseismology Data: Further Evidence for Rotational Modulation of the Solar Neutrino Flux Authors: Sturrock, Peter A.; Weber, Mark A. Bibcode: 2002ApJ...565.1366S Altcode: 2001astro.ph..3154S Recent histogram analysis of GALLEX-GNO and SAGE data indicates that the solar neutrino flux, in the energy range of gallium experiments, varies on a timescale of weeks. Such variability could be caused by modulation of the neutrino flux by an inhomogeneous magnetic field in the solar interior if neutrinos have a nonzero magnetic moment. We may then expect the detected neutrino flux to oscillate with a frequency set by the synodic rotation frequency in the region of the solar interior that contains the magnetic structure. We investigate this possibility by carrying out a comparative analysis of the GALLEX-GNO solar neutrino data and estimates of the solar internal rotation rate derived from the MDI helioseismology experiment on the SOHO spacecraft. We find that while the Lomb-Scargle spectrum does not show a significant peak in the band appropriate to the radiative zone, it does show two closely spaced peaks in the band appropriate to the convection zone. In order to explore the relationship of these features to the Sun's internal rotation, we introduce a ``resonance statistic'' that is a measure of the degree of ``resonance'' of oscillations in the neutrino flux and the solar rotation as a function of radius and latitude. A two-dimensional map of the resonance statistic indicates that the modulation is occurring in the convection zone, near the equator. In order to derive a significance estimate for this result, we next evaluate the integral of this statistic over selected equatorial sections corresponding to the convection zone and the radiative zone. This statistic yields strong evidence that modulation is occurring in the convection zone and no evidence that modulation is occurring in the radiative zone. Title: Differential Rotation of the Soft-X-Ray Corona over a Solar Cycle Authors: Weber, M. A.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2002mwoc.conf..347W Altcode: The Yohkoh Soft X-ray Telescope has provided unprecedented, high spatial and temporal resolution of the solar corona in X-rays for nearly a complete activity cycle. Building upon earlier work, we perform time-series analysis on bins of the full-disk images (SFDs) to describe the differential rotation of the corona over latitude and cycle phase. The bins are formed by integrating over localized regions in heliographic longitude and latitude. We find that the rotation signal in the data comprises a few (usually two) components which are relatively rigid with respect to time and latitude. The relative strength of these components varies over latitude, which may be the reason previous analyses have indicated a ``slightly differential'' rotation profile over latitude. Title: Comparative Analysis of Solar Neutrino Data and SXT X-ray Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Weber, M. A. Bibcode: 2002mwoc.conf..323S Altcode: There is some evidence that the low-energy component of the solar neutrino flux exhibits rotational modulation. The power spectrum of the GALLEX-GNO neutrino data has a peak at 13.59 +/- 0.06 y-1 (period = 26.88 +/- 0.12 days), that is within the band of synodic rotation rates of the solar convection zone. In order to relate the neutrino time series to the Sun's internal rotation, we have formed a "resonance statistic" that is a measure of the degree of "resonance" of the neutrino flux with the Sun's internal rotation, as determined by MDI. A map of this statistic indicates that the source of the modulation of the solar neutrino flux is located deep in the convection zone. We have now carried out a comparative analysis of GALLEX-GNO neutrino data and SXT X-ray data. We have formed the logarithm of the mean daily X-ray flux (to de-emphasize active regions) and then formed the mean power spectrum for five 15-degree latitude bands centered on 30S, 15S, the equator, 15N, and 30N. The mean spectrum peaks at 13.54 +/- 0.08 y-1 (period = 26.98 +/- 0.16 days). Taking account of the error bars, the neutrino peak frequency and SXT peak frequency are indistinguishable. We find that the neutrino and X-ray waveforms are approximately in anti-phase. We have also formed a map of the resonance statistic formed from the SXT power spectrum and the MDI rotation estimates. The neutrino-rotation and X-ray-rotation resonance maps are very similar, and both point to the same location deep in the convection zone. These results suggest that modulation of the low-energy solar neutrino flux and long-lived quasi-rigid rotation of the corona have a common cause. It seems possible that a magnetic structure deep in the convection zone leads to (a) an enhancement of the X-ray flux, and (b) a diminution of the observed neutrino flux. This diminution could be caused by any one of several proposed mechanisms by which an electron neutrino, with non-zero magnetic moment and non-zero mass, may be converted into a neutrino of different flavor and/or opposite spin. Title: Comparative Analysis of GALLEX-GNO Neutrino Data, SOHO-MDI Helioseismology Data, and SXT X-ray Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Weber, M. A. Bibcode: 2001AGUSM..SP22A07S Altcode: There have been many claims of correlation between solar neutrino measurements and various solar indices, including coronal brightness. These claims have been greeted with skepticism, largely on the grounds that there is no obvious mechanism to explain the correlation. We review our recent comparative analysis of GALLEX-GNO neutrino data and SOHO-MDI measurements of internal solar rotation, which yields evidence of rotational modulation of the solar neutrino flux. We attribute this modulation to the influence of internal magnetic structures on neutrino propogation. The coronal X-ray flux also exhibits rotational modulation. From this viewpoint, some kind of correlation between neutrino measurements and X-ray measurements is to be expected. We compare the spectra of the two time series with each other and with the distribuition of rotation frequencies in the solar interior. We also examine the correlation spectrum, which gives information about the frequencies responsible for correlation, and about the relative phases of the two oscillations. In order to relate these new studies with earlier studies (which did not involve spectrum analysis), we process the X-ray data in just the same way that the neutrino experiments process the solar neutrino flux. In this way we obtain a sequence of proxy X-ray measurements corresponding to the same start times, end times, and decay time, that apply to the GALLEX-GNO runs. We can then carry out a simple correlation analysis of the neutrino and X-ray run sequences. We shall present the results of these studies and compare these results with earlier claims of correlation between neutrino measurements and solar indices. We wish to acknowledge support by NASA grants NAS 8-37334 and NAGW-2265 and NSF grant ATM-9910215. Title: Energy Content of a Possible Pre-CME Magnetic Field Configuration Authors: Weber, M. A.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2001AGUSM..SH51B05W Altcode: The total free energy of coronal magnetic-field configurations is significant for studies of solar eruptions such as flares and CMEs. It was conjectured by Aly that the energy of a closed magnetic-field configuration above the photosphere cannot exceed the energy of the corresponding open-field configuration with the same normal field distribution at the photosphere. This conjecture was later analyzed by Aly for a planar geometry and by Sturrock for a curved geometry. However, these analyses both involved the assumption that all field lines thread the photosphere. Since one can conceive of a pre-eruption configuration involving magnetic flux that does not thread the photosphere, it is interesting to determine whether this variation can lead to models for which the magnetic energy exceeds the Aly limit. We have therefore examined a force-free field model comprising a toroidal twisted flux-tube, above the solar equator, held in place by an overlying dipolar field. We consider only magnetic stresses, and analyze the configuration by the generating-function (Grad-Shafranov) method. We solve the equations numerically by an iterative procedure, relaxing the flux-tube field and the dipole field in turn. We find that it is indeed possible for the energy of a closed magnetic-field configuration to exceed the Aly limit. This work was supported in part by NASA grant NSS 8-37334. Title: Histogram Analysis of GALLEX, GNO, and SAGE Neutrino Data: Further Evidence for Variability of the Solar Neutrino Flux Authors: Sturrock, Peter A.; Scargle, Jeffrey D. Bibcode: 2001ApJ...550L.101S Altcode: 2000astro.ph.11228S If the solar neutrino flux were constant, as is widely assumed, the histogram of flux measurements would be unimodal. On the other hand, sinusoidal or square-wave modulation (either periodic or stochastic) may lead to a bimodal histogram. We here present evidence that the neutrino flux histogram is in fact bimodal. We analyze all available data from gallium experiments, coordinating results from the GALLium EXperiment and the Gallium Neutrino Observatory experiment into one data set and adopting results from the Soviet-American Gallium Experiment as another data set. The two histograms, from the two data sets, are consistent in showing peaks in the ranges 45-75 and 90-120 SNU, with a valley in between. By combining the data into one data set, we may form more detailed histograms; these strengthen the case that the flux is bimodal. A preliminary statistical analysis indicates that the bimodal character of the solar neutrino flux is highly significant. Since the upper peak is close to the expected flux (120-140 SNU), we may infer that the neutrino deficit is due to time-varying attenuation of the flux produced in the core. We estimate the timescale of this variation to be in the range 10-60 days. Attenuation that varies on such a timescale is suggestive of the influence of solar rotation and points toward a process involving the solar magnetic field in conjunction with a nonzero neutrino magnetic moment. Title: Metastable Magnetic Configurations and Their Significance for Solar Eruptive Events Authors: Sturrock, Peter A.; Weber, Mark; Wheatland, Michael S.; Wolfson, Richard Bibcode: 2001ApJ...548..492S Altcode: Solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) involve the sudden release of magnetic energy that can lead to the ejection from the Sun of large masses of gas with entrained magnetic field. In dynamical systems, such sudden events are characteristic of metastable configurations that are stable against small perturbations but unstable to sufficiently large perturbations. Linear stability analysis indicates whether or not the first requirement is met, and energetic analysis can indicate whether or not the second requirement is met: if a magnetic configuration that is stable against small perturbations can make a transition to a lower energy state, then it is metastable. In this paper, we consider a long twisted flux tube, anchored at both ends in the photosphere and restrained by an overlying magnetic arcade. We argue from a simple order-of-magnitude calculation that, for appropriate parameter values, it is energetically favorable for part of the flux tube to erupt into interplanetary space, even when the configuration is stable according to linear MHD stability theory. The properties of metastable magnetic configurations may be relevant to CMEs and to other explosive astrophysical events such as solar flares. Title: Histogram Analysis of GALLEX, GNO and SAGE Neutrino Data: Further Evidence for Variability of the Solar Neutrino Flux Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Scargle, J. D. Bibcode: 2000AAS...197.3107S Altcode: 2000BAAS...32.1448S If the solar neutrino flux were constant, as is widely assumed, the histogram of flux measurements would be unimodal. On the other hand, sinusoidal or square-wave modulation may lead to a bimodal histogram. We here present evidence that the neutrino flux histogram is in fact bimodal. We analyze all available data from gallium experiments, coordinating results from the GALLEX and GNO experiments into one data set, and adopting results from the SAGE experiment as another data set. The two histograms, from the two data sets, are consistent in showing peaks in the range 45 - 75 SNU and 90 - 120 SNU, and a valley in between. By combining the data into one data set, we may form more detailed histograms; these strengthen the case that the flux is bimodal. A preliminary statistical analysis indicates that the bimodal character of the solar neutrino flux is highly significant. A bimodal flux distribution points towards variability, and variability points towards a nonzero neutrino magnetic moment. We wish to acknowledge support (for PAS) by NASA grants NAS 8-37334 and NAGW-2265 and NSF grant ATM-9910215 and (for JDS) by the NASA Applied Information Systems Research Program. Title: A Maximum-Entropy Approach to Hypothesis Testing: An Alternative to the p-Value Approach Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2000AAS...197.2204S Altcode: 2000BAAS...32R1438S In problems of the Bernoulli type, an experiment or observation yields a count of the number of occurrences of an event, and this count is compared with what it to be expected on the basis of a specified and unremarkable hypothesis. The goal is to determine whether the results support the specified hypothesis, or whether they indicate that some extraordinary process is at work. This evaluation is often based on the ``p-value" test according to which one calculates, on the basis of the specific hypothesis, the probability of obtaining the actual result or a ``more extreme" result. Textbooks caution that the p-value does not give the probability that the specific hypothesis is true, and one recent textbook asserts ``Although that might be a more interesting question to answer, there is no way to answer it." The Bayesian approach does make it possible to answer this question. As in any Bayesian analysis, it requires that we consider not just one hypothesis but a complete set of hypotheses. This may be achieved very simply by supplementing the specific hypothesis with the maximum-entropy hypothesis that covers all other possibilities in a way that is maximally non-committal. This procedure yields an estimate of the probability that the specific hypothesis is true. This estimate is found to be more conservative than that which one might infer from the p-value test. Title: An Optimization Approach to Reconstructing Force-free Fields Authors: Wheatland, M. S.; Sturrock, P. A.; Roumeliotis, G. Bibcode: 2000ApJ...540.1150W Altcode: A new method for reconstructing force-free magnetic fields from their boundary values, based on minimizing the global departure of an initial field from a force-free and solenoidal state, is presented. The method is tested by application to a known nonlinear solution. We discuss the obstacles to be overcome in the application of this method to the solar case: the reconstruction of force-free fields in the corona from measurements of the vector magnetic field in the low atmosphere. Title: Coronal X-Ray Brightness and Photospheric Magnetic Field: A Study in Correlations Authors: Wolfson, Richard; Roald, Colin B.; Sturrock, P. A.; Weber, Mark A. Bibcode: 2000ApJ...539..995W Altcode: We have examined correlations between coronal X-ray emission from the Yohkoh Soft X-Ray Telescope (SXT) and photospheric magnetic field measurements from the Michelson Doppler Imager (MDI) on SOHO. Our data sets span a 521 day period beginning 1996 July 25, and we have averaged the data temporally into one bin per day and spatially into nine latitude bins, each spanning 15°. We find strong correlations between SXT and MDI data at all but extreme latitudes. Phase shifting one data set relative to the other shows that the correlation always peaks at zero shift, indicating that coronal X-ray emission is always most strongly related to the photospheric field at the same time (essentially, the same longitude). However, higher order peaks occur for phase shifts of the order of 1 solar rotation, and a detailed analysis shows that the exact phasing of these higher order peaks is consistent with differential rotation of persistent magnetic structures in the photosphere. Cross-correlation between SXT and MDI data from different latitude bins shows that the high-latitude coronal X-ray emission is most strongly correlated with the photospheric field at -30° and +30°. Although this correlation is probably due to projection effects, a less likely interpretation is that the coronal magnetic field, on average, spreads from the photosphere to higher latitudes in the corona. Finally, we compute actual X-ray energy fluxes from the SXT data and show that the correlation between X-ray flux and photospheric magnetic field is in reasonable quantitative agreement with a simple model for coronal heating based on the reconnection of magnetic elements in the chromospheric network. Title: Coronal Heating: Energy Release Associated with Chromospheric Magnetic Reconnection Authors: Roald, Colin B.; Sturrock, P. A.; Wolfson, Richard Bibcode: 2000ApJ...538..960R Altcode: We examine a one-dimensional circularly symmetric supergranulation reconnection model with typical quiet-Sun values. In this model, the assumed source rate of elements determines heating, because all emerged elements eventually annihilate; the assumed collision cross section determines mean field-the more efficient the interaction, the fewer elements exist at any time; and the effective element diffusivity determines the ratio of field strengths in the network and cell interior. Power-law indices for the variation of the heating flux with the mean magnetic field were computed in order to allow comparisons to observations. The indices are found to be in the range 1.9-2.0, and the only parameter that was found to have much effect on them was the effective element diffusivity, where the index declines roughly logarithmically with decreasing diffusivity. Even this effect is fairly shallow, however; a tenfold reduction in diffusivity only lowers the power-law index from 1.9 to 1.7. Title: Energetic Considerations Concerning Coronal Mass Ejections Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Wheatland, M. E.; Wolfson, R. Bibcode: 2000SPD....31.0282S Altcode: 2000BAAS...32..825S One of the current models for explaining coronal mass ejections (CMEs) comprises a twisted flux tube, anchored at each end in the photosphere and confined by an overlying magnetic arcade. It is known that the flux tube becomes MHD unstable if it is twisted sufficiently. However, linear theory does not tell us what would be the result of such an instability. An onset of instability can be either explosive or non-explosive. In the present context, the former could lead to the eruption of part of the flux tube into interplanetary space, i.e. to a CME. On the other hand, the latter would lead only to a slow re-structuring of the magnetic configuration with no dramatic effects. We can gain some insight into this distinction by considering the energy required to produce the kind of eruption that could explain a CME. We make a simple estimate of this requirement by comparing the energy before and after an eruption. The former is essentially the free energy of a twisted flux tube of given length - the excess of the energy of the twisted flux tube over the energy of the corresponding untwisted flux tube. The latter comprises the energy of that part of the flux tube which extends into interplanetary space, together with the energy which is required to create an opening in the arcade sufficiently large to permit the penetration of the flux tube. This work was supported in part by NASA grants NAS 8-37334 and NAG 5-4038. Title: Temperature Structure of the Quiet Corona: An SXT-SUMER Discrepancy Authors: Wolfson, Richard; Roald, Colin B.; Sturrock, P. A.; Lemen, J.; Shirts, P. Bibcode: 2000ApJ...529..570W Altcode: The Soft X-ray Telescope (SXT) on Yohkoh and the Solar Ultraviolet Measurements of Emitted Radiation (SUMER) spectrometer on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) are both capable of providing measures of temperature in the solar corona. A recent SUMER-based study of a quiet coronal region suggests an isothermal plasma in the range from 1.03 to 1.5 solar radii. In this work, we have analyzed part of the same region using SXT data and find a temperature that increases with height. This is consistent with earlier SXT-based coronal temperature studies but obviously disagrees with SUMER results for the same region. The SUMER study reveals a lower scale height for emission in the Fe X, Fe XI, and Fe XII lines than for the lines of lighter elements, an effect that may be attributable to gravitational stratification. Because iron lines contribute heavily to the X-ray emission detected with SXT, it is reasonable to suspect that the more rapid decrease in iron abundance at higher altitudes might be responsible for the SXT-SUMER discrepancy. We have therefore explored the effect on SXT temperatures of altering individually the abundances of all 14 elements used in standard SXT temperature calculations. We find that only iron and carbon have any significant effect but that this effect is not nearly sufficient to account for the SXT-SUMER discrepancy. Title: Solar Neutrinos as a Possible Diagnostic of the Solar Magnetic Field Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 2000ASPC..206...83S Altcode: 2000hesp.conf...83S No abstract at ADS Title: Rotational Signature and Possible R-Mode Signature in the GALLEX Solar Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Scargle, J. D.; Walther, G.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 1999ApJ...523L.177S Altcode: 1999astro.ph..4278S Recent analysis of the Homestake data has yielded evidence that the solar neutrino flux varies in time--more specifically, that it exhibits a periodic variation that may be attributed to rotational modulation occurring deep in the solar interior, either in the tachocline or in the radiative zone. Here we present a spectral analysis of the GALLEX data that yields supporting evidence for this rotational modulation. The most prominent peak in the power spectrum occurs at the synodic frequency of 13.08 yr-1 (cycles per year) and is estimated to be significant at the 0.1% level. It appears that the most likely interpretation of this modulation is that the electron neutrinos have nonzero magnetic moment, so that they oscillate between left-hand (detectable) and right-hand (nondetectable) chiralities as they traverse the Sun's internal magnetic field. This oscillation could account for the neutrino deficit. The second strongest peak in the GALLEX spectrum has a period of 52 days, and this period occurs in other solar data as well. We suggest that this periodicity and also the Rieger 154 day periodicity, which shows up in many solar parameters and in the Homestake data, are due to r-mode oscillations. Title: Chromospheric Magnetic Reconnection and its Implication for Coronal Heating Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Roald, C. B.; Wolfson, R. Bibcode: 1999ApJ...524L..75S Altcode: According to recent data analyses, the relationship between the coronal energy flux density and the photospheric magnetic flux density is approximately power law; estimates of the exponent tend to be noninteger and fall in the range 1-2. The index is closer to 2 for quiet regions and closer to 1 for active regions. We here examine this relationship on the basis of a recent model of coronal heating. We assume that the coronal energy flux is derived from reconnection of neighboring flux tubes at the level of the chromosphere, and we examine the rate at which such reconnection would occur in terms of a simple kinetic-theory model. In this model, flux elements appear randomly within supergranulation cells, are carried into the network according to a prescribed velocity field, and cancel in the network due to ``collisions'' between elements of opposite polarity. For any limited range of magnetic flux density, the relationship is approximately power law. We find that the power-law index is in the range 1-2: for weak fields it is close to 2, and for strong fields it is close to 1, in agreement with available evidence. Title: Chromospheric magnetic reconnection and its possible relationship to coronal heating. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Roald, C. B.; Wolfson, R. Bibcode: 1999BAAS...31.1236S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Chromospheric Magnetic Reconnection and its Possible Relationship to Coronal Heating Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Roald, C. B.; Wolfson, R. Bibcode: 1999AAS...194.1618S Altcode: 1999BAAS...31..852S It has been clear since the Skylab era that coronal heating is related to the coronal magnetic field. This may be due to the influence of magnetic field on wave heating mechanisms. It may also be due to "nanoflares," involving magnetic reconnection in the corona, as proposed by Parker and others. It is also possible that reconnection at the chromospheric level may be important. The chromosphere is a favorable site for reconnection, since the resistivity is highest in that region - specifically at the temperature-minimum location. Chromospheric reconnection can lead to coronal heating in several ways including direct Joule heating, the response of the coronal magnetic field to a sudden change in connectivity at the chromospheric level, and the generation and subsequent dissipation of high-frequency Alfven and magneto-acoustic waves. The last possibility could contribute also to the heating and propulsion of the solar wind, as suggested by Axford and others, since high-frequency waves can be dissipated by cyclotron damping. We examine some of the processes involved in a scenario for coronal heating which is based on chromospheric reconnection. We also examine a simple analytical model for the random emergence of magnetic elements within supergranulation cells, the convection of these elements into the network, and the cancellation of elements of opposite polarity within the network. This model leads to a prediction concerning the relationship between the mean coronal energy flux and the mean photospheric magnetic flux density for quiet regions. It also leads to an estimate of the rate of injection of chromospheric matter into the corona that may be compared with estimates of the rate of downflow in the transition region. This work was supported in part by NASA grants NAS 8-37334 and NAG 5-4038. Title: Chromospheric Magnetic Reconnection and Its Possible Relationship to Coronal Heating Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1999ApJ...521..451S Altcode: Coronal heating is clearly related to the coronal magnetic field. This may be due to a passive role of the magnetic field in modifying wave propagation and dissipation or to an active role resulting from the liberation of magnetic energy by reconnection or in some other way. The purpose of this article is to examine the consequences of reconnection at the chromospheric level rather than in the corona. We note that the chromosphere is indeed a favorable site for reconnection to occur, since the resistivity is greatest in that region--specifically at the temperature-minimum location. Chromospheric reconnection can lead to coronal heating by Joule heating, by the generation and subsequent dissipation of high-frequency Alfvén and magnetacoustic waves, or by the response of the coronal magnetic field to a sudden change in connectivity. The second process could also contribute to heating of the solar wind, since high-frequency Alfvén waves can be absorbed by cyclotron damping. We note also that chromospheric reconnection could inject sufficient chromospheric gas into the corona to balance the known steady downflow of coronal gas through the transition region. It is also possible that chromospheric reconnection plays a role in the first ionization potential effect. Title: Coronal X-ray Brightness and Photospheric Magnetic Field: A Simple Model Authors: Roald, C. B.; Wolfson, R.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1999AAS...194.1616R Altcode: 1999BAAS...31..852R We discuss the possibility that the energy that heats the corona originates in magnetic reconnection in the chromosphere, with reference to a simple 1D supergranulation model. In this model, magnetic elements are assumed to be brought up to the surface by convection in the interior of supergranules, then carried to the network by outflow. They are meanwhile buffetted by randomly-directed granulation flows, leading to collisions (and apparent cancellation via post-reconnection magnetic relaxation) between neighbouring elements. For reasonable assumptions about the magnetic element production rate, sufficient energy to power the quiet corona is released. Numerical analysis of the model allows us to compute the relationship between the heating flux and the mean unsigned magnetic field in the supergranule. We consider a range of parameters and compute power-law fits for each, then compare these predictions to observations from Yohkoh SXT and SOHO MDI. This work was supported by NASA grants NAS 8-37334 and NAG 5-4038. Title: Coronal X-ray Brightness and Photospheric Magnetic Field: Observational Correlations Authors: Wolfson, R.; Roald, C. B.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1999AAS...194.1617W Altcode: 1999BAAS...31..852W We have formed time series of photospheric magnetic field data from the Michelson Doppler Imager (MDI) on SOHO and of coronal X-ray flux from the Soft X-ray Telescope (SXT) on Yohkoh. The data are averaged to give one datum per day for each of nine latitude bins on the central meridian, for the mean SXT energy flux, the mean magnetic field B, and the mean field magnitude |B|. Data from both instruments overlap for a 521-day period beginning 25 July 1996. Analyzing the two time series for this period, we find strong correlations between coronal X-ray brightness and the magnitude of the photospheric magnetic field at all but extreme latitudes, and these correlations persist when the general trend in the data -- presumably due to the solar cycle -- is removed. The inferred relation between X-ray flux and the field magnitude |B| takes the form of a power law, which we compare with simple models that also predict a power-law relation. We have also formed cross correlations involving different time or latitude bins. The former show that the strongest correlations always occur for SXT and MDI data from the same time. Strong correlations also result when data are separated in time by integer multiples of a solar rotation, suggesting the presence of persistent structures at the photosphere and/or in the corona. The spatial analysis shows that at low latitudes the strongest correlation occurs between SXT and MDI data from the same latitude bins. At higher latitudes, however, the SXT data correlate most strongly with MDI data from lower latitudes, suggesting that the magnetic field spreads from the low-latitude photosphere to higher latitudes in the corona. This work was supported by NASA grants NAG5-6118 and NAS 8-37334. Title: Rotational and Related Periodicities in the Homestake and GALLEX Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Walther, G.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 1999HEAD....4.3908S Altcode: 1999BAAS...31..743S If neutrinos have a sufficiently strong magnetic moment, the solar neutrino flux will be modulated by the Sun's internal magnetic field. We have spectrum-analyzed the Homestake data, looking for evidence of periodic modulation in the range 12.6 - 13.3 y(-1) due to structures in the radiative zone that has a sidereal rotation rate in the range 13.6 - 14.3 y(-1) . We find a peak at 12.88 y(-1) . The estimated probability of finding such a peak in the search band by chance is about 3%. We also find sidebands at 11.88, 12.88, 14.88 and 15.88 y(-1) , attributable to a seasonal modulation due to the tilt of the solar axis. The estimated probability of this combination occurring by chance is about 0.2%. We have more recently examined the GALLEX data and find that the strongest peak in the range 1 to 20 cycles per year occurs at 13.10 y(-1) , close to the value found in the Homestake data. The estimated probability of finding such a periodicity in the search band by chance is less than 0.1%. There is evidence for some other well known solar periodicities in the neutrino data: a peak at 2.32 cycles per year (period = 157 days) in the Homestake data, and a peak at 7.00 cycles per year (period = 52 days) in the GALLEX data. We propose that these periodicities [together with another well known periodicity at 4.67 cycles per year (period = 78 days)] are due to internal r-mode oscillations. We suggest that these modulations in the neutrino flux may be understood in terms of the RSFP (resonant spin flavor precession) mechanism proposed by Akhmedov and others. This interpretation leads to an estimate of Delta m(2) and to a lower limit for the neutrino magnetic moment. This work was supported in part by Air Force grant F49620-95-1-008 and NASA grants NAS 8-37334 and NAGW-5-4038. Title: The Waiting-Time Distribution of Solar Flare Hard X-Ray Bursts Authors: Wheatland, M. S.; Sturrock, P. A.; McTiernan, J. M. Bibcode: 1998ApJ...509..448W Altcode: A waiting-time distribution is constructed for 8 yr of solar flare hard X-ray bursts observed by the ICE/ISEE 3 spacecraft. The observed distribution is compared with a simulated waiting-time distribution produced by a time-dependent Poisson process constructed using rates estimated from the observations. The observed distribution shows an overabundance of short waiting times (10 s-10 minutes) in comparison with the simulation. This result implies that the hard X-ray bursts are not independent events. The implications of this result for the existence of sympathetic flaring and to models of flare statistics are discussed, and the result is compared with previous determinations of waiting-time distributions for solar hard X-ray events. Title: Apparent Latitudinal Modulation of the Solar Neutrino Flux Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Walther, G.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 1998ApJ...507..978S Altcode: We examine the solar neutrino flux, as measured by the Homestake neutrino detector, to search for evidence of a dependence upon the solar latitude of the Earth-Sun line that varies from 7.25d south in mid-March to 7.25d north in mid-September. Although the flux does not obviously show any dependence on latitude, we do find evidence for a dependence of the variance of the flux upon latitude. When data from 108 runs of the Homestake experiment are divided into four quartiles, sorted according to latitude, we find that the northernmost quartile exhibits a larger variance than the other three. By applying the shuffle test, we estimate the probability that this could have occurred by chance to be in the range 1%-2%.

For more detailed information, we examine a ``reconstructed flux'' formed from our recent maximum likelihood spectrum analysis. This procedure indicates that the variance is largest at about 6.5d north. We also find that the spectrum of the variance of the reconstructed flux has a notable peak at 1 cycle y-1 tending to confirm a latitude dependence of the variance. We also examine the 12.88 cycle yr periodicity described in our recent paper and find that the amplitude of the periodicity is greater for the northernmost quartile than for the other quartiles. We suggest that these effects may be attributed to resonant spin-flavor precession of left-hand-helicity electron neutrinos in the magnetic field of the solar radiative zone. Title: Environmental Conditions Responsible for Solar Activity Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1998STIN...0111579S Altcode: During the seven years that this program was active at Stanford University, the group working with Professor Sturrock investigated many aspects of the conditions responsible for solar activity. Their results are presented in detail in their publications. A list of publications, sorted by topic, is included in the report. The following is a brief summary of the major advances. Title: Is the Solar Cycle Due to a Dynamo Process? Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1998sers.conf..427S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Search for Periodicities in the Homestake Solar Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Walther, G.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 1997ApJ...491..409S Altcode: We evaluate a χ2 statistic to test against the Homestake data the hypothesis that the neutrino flux from the Sun is constant. We use estimates of standard deviations derived 1000 simulations of the sequence of 108 runs, and we also use two procedures for deriving proxies for the standard deviation from the experimental data. All tests indicate that the hypothesis should be rejected; the significance level ranges from 5.8% to 0.1%.

We also search for evidence of periodicities in the neutrino flux by evaluating the log likelihood of finding the actual count rates in a model in which the neutrino flux is modulated with a sinusoidal term. We consider a range of values of the frequency (0-20 cycles yr-1) and, for each frequency, adjust the modulation parameters to maximize the likelihood. We find no evidence of modulation at the frequency of the solar cycle. A 1000 shuffle test and 1000 simulations using error estimates taken from the simulations yield no evidence for either the quasi-biennial (2.2 yr) periodicity or the Rieger (157 day) periodicity. However, simulations based on the experimental error estimates yield significance levels of 1% and 2.7% for the quasi-biennial periodicity, and 2% and 0.2% for the Rieger periodicity.

We have also looked for evidence of modulation at a frequency that might be related to the solar rotation frequency. We have adopted a search band of 12.4-13.1 cycles yr-1, corresponding to the 1 year lower sideband (synodic frequency) of the rotation frequency of the Sun's radiative zone, as estimated from helioseismology. There is indeed a peak in that band, at 12.88 cycles yr-1, that according to the simulation test is significant at the 3% level. However, we also find evidence of four sidebands near 10.88, 11.88, 13.88, and 14.88 cycles yr-1 that may be due to the departure of the rotational axis from the normal to the ecliptic. We introduce a correlation measure formed from the powers at a ``fundamental'' and at four sidebands. None of 1000 shuffle tests, and only one of 1000 simulations, yield values of the correlation measure as large as that formed from the experimental data. These tests offer support, at the 0.1% and 0.2% significance level, respectively, for the proposition that the neutrino flux is modulated at a frequency that could be the synodic frequency corresponding to a sidereal rotational frequency of 13.88 cycles yr-1 (440 nHz) of the Sun's radiative zone. Title: Search for Periodicities in the Homestake Solar Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Walther, G.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 1997BAAS...29.1121S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Test for Constancy of the Solar Neutrino Flux as Measured by the Homestake Neutrino Experiment Authors: Walther, G.; Sturrock, P. A.; Wheatland, M. S. Bibcode: 1997BAAS...29.1121W Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Coronal Heating and the Vertical Temperature Structure of the Quiet Corona Authors: Wheatland, M. S.; Sturrock, P. A.; Acton, L. W. Bibcode: 1997ApJ...482..510W Altcode: The radial variation of temperature in the inner corona is examined using long-exposure Yohkoh images of two regions of diffuse (quiet) corona. The results indicate a steady radial increase of temperature for both regions, out to 0.7 and 0.95 solar radii above the limb. We find that the filter-ratio data for the two regions is well fitted in each case by integration over the line of sight of a spherically symmetric model atmosphere in hydrostatic equilibrium and with a temperature profile due to a conserved inward heat flux. An Abel inversion process is also applied to the data, and this gives results consistent with the spherically symmetric, conserved-heat flux model. These results imply that the nonthermal energy responsible for heating these regions of the quiet corona is being deposited beyond the observed range of heights. However, the diffuse regions we examined are believed to be partly closed-field regions, and so, the radial models require careful interpretation. We discuss the implications for coronal heating in these regions. Title: Coronal Heating and the Photospheric Magnetic Field Authors: Parnell, C. E.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1997SPD....28.0506P Altcode: 1997BAAS...29..909P Since magnetic field typically plays a role (either active or passive) in coronal heating theories, it may be possible to evaluate these theories by investigating the relationship between the coronal energy budget (the total power requirement of the corona) and measurable properties of the photospheric magnetic field. The X-ray flux is a useful proxy for the total power required to maintain the corona, so we have examined the relationship between the total X-ray flux, as measured by the GOES instruments, and the total magnetic flux, as estimated from the NSO instrumentation at Kitt Peak. We use this relationship to test the recent proposal that coronal heating is due to sudden magnetic relaxation. According to this concept, reconnection in the chromosphere of the footpoint regions of two oppositely directed flux tubes leads to a new flux tube, with widely separated footpoints, which erupts rapidly and generates sound waves that heat the corona. We adopt a simple "kinetic theory" model for the photospheric and chromospheric processes, and so obtain an estimate of the magnetic flux reconnection rate in terms of the mean field strength and of the parameters (diameter, flux and random speed) that characterize the elementary flux elements. The sudden magnetic relaxation model gives a simple relation between the magnetic flux budget and the coronal energy budget. In this way, we obtain a theoretical relationship between the coronal energy budget and the mean photospheric magnetic field strength that we compare with the available observational data. This work was supported by NASA grants NAS 8-37334 and NAGW-2265, and by Air Force grant F49620-95-1-0008. Title: Avalanche Models of Solar Flares and the Distribution of Active Regions Authors: Wheatland, M. S.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1996ApJ...471.1044W Altcode: Avalanche models of solar flares successfully reproduce the power-law distribution of flare frequency as a function of energy. However, the model distributions have been produced for a single numerical grid, representing a single active region on the Sun. Here we convolve the distribution owing to an avalanche grid with each of two observationally determined active region size distributions. The resulting energy distributions are power laws (with index α ≍ 1.5) below about 1031 ergs, but they gradually steepen with energy. The resulting distributions are compared with a flare energy distribution derived from International Cometary Explorer satellite observations. Qualitative agreement is found between the model and observed distributions, although the observations favor a simple power-law model distribution with a somewhat steeper index (≍1.71). Title: A Conjecture Concerning the Rieger and Quasi-Biennial Solar Periodicities Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1996astro.ph..9150S Altcode: It has been established that the Rieger periodicity of approximately 153 days is part of a complex of periodicities, all multiples of a basic period of approximately 25.5 days. However, it has not been clear why the sixth subharmonic of this periodicity should be preferentially manifested. We here note that if the Sun contains two rotating elements, with different periods and different axes, a special situation will arise if the two periods have a lowest common multiple, for in this case the relative configuration of the two rotators would repeat exactly at that (LCM) period. This chain of thought leads us to suspect that the Sun contains a second rotating element with rotational period in the range 21 - 22.5 days. Title: An Apparent Periodicity in the Gallex, Homestake and Kamiokande Neutrino Data Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Walther, G. Bibcode: 1996astro.ph..9151S Altcode: In order to explore a recent proposal that the solar core may contain a component that varies periodically with a period in the range 21.0 - 22.4 days, due either to rotation or to some form of oscillation, we have examined the time series formed from measurements of the solar neutrino flux by means of the GALLEX, Homestake and Kamiokande experiments. Direct Fourier transform analysis of the Homestake data shows that the most prominent peak in the entire spectrum (examined down to 5 days period) is found at a frequency of approximately 17.2 y-1 corresponding to a period of approximately 21.3 days. According to the "shuffle test," the probability of finding this large a peak in the prescribed search band is about 0.03%, if it is assumed that there is no correlation between count rate and time. The GALLEX and Kamiokande data are examined in a way that searches for similarity in the shapes of the two spectra in sliding windows in frequency. We find that the "spectral correlation measure" peaks at 17.2 y-1, and the shuffle test indicates that the probability of finding this large a peak at a specified frequency is 2%, if it is again assumed that for each time series there is no correlation between count rate and time. The combined significance estimate is of order 1 part in 105 that the results are due to chance, on the assumption that there is no real structure to the count-rate time series. Title: Coronal Heating in the Quiet Corona Authors: Wheatland, M.; Sturrock, P. Bibcode: 1996AAS...188.3308W Altcode: 1996BAAS...28Q.869W The radial variation of temperature in the inner corona is examined using long exposure Yohkoh images for two regions of diffuse (quiet) corona. The results indicate a steady radial increase of temperature for both regions, out to 0.7 and 0.9 solar radii above the limb, respectively. We find that the filter ratio data for the two regions is well fitted in each case by integration over the line of sight of a model radial atmosphere in hydrostatic equilibrium and with a temperature profile due to a conserved inward heat flux. An Abel inversion process is also applied to the data, and this gives results consistent with the radially symmetric, conserved heat flux model. These results imply that the non-thermal energy responsible for heating these pieces of the quiet corona is being deposited beyond the observed range of heights. However, the diffuse regions we examined are believed to be mainly closed field regions, and so the radial models require careful interpretation. We discuss the implications for coronal heating in these regions, and compare this result with other recent determinations of the temperature in the inner corona. This work was supported in part by NASA grant NAS 8-37334. The authors acknowledge also support from Air Force grant F49620-95-1-0008 and NASA grant NAGW-2265. Title: Is a Dynamo Process Essential for Explaining the Solar Cycle? Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1996AAS...188.3309S Altcode: 1996BAAS...28Q.869S The magnetic field at the solar photosphere is highly structured and time-variable, suggesting that it is generated and regenerated by a dynamo process that occurs within or at the base of the convection zone. However, it is proving difficult to explain all the properties of the solar cycle, and to match the rotational velocity profiles obtained by means of helioseismological observations, within the context of a dynamo model. Furthermore, there is some evidence that the neutrino flux is time varying, and that the variation is correlated with the solar cycle. This fact, if it proves to be correct, would be difficult to understand on the basis of a dynamo model, unless the neutrino has a magnetic moment, which would require that the neutrino has a non-zero mass. For these and other reasons, it is perhaps prudent to question the assumption that dynamo action is essential for explaining the solar cycle. One way to seek to determine whether dynamo action is essential is to look for an alternative. If the neutrino flux is time variable, this may indicate that nuclear burning is not steady, in which case it is likely that it is not spherically symmetric either. Nuclear burning that is neither steady nor spherically symmetric must be expected to lead to hydrodynamic flows within the Sun. It will be argued that a certain flow pattern, and a certain associated magnetic field pattern, can readily reproduce some of the salient properties of the solar cycle. This work was supported in part by Air Force grant F49620-95-1-008 and NASA grant NAGW-2265. Title: Yokhoh Soft X-Ray Telescope Images of the Diffuse Solar Corona Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Wheatland, M. S.; Acton, L. W. Bibcode: 1996ApJ...461L.115S Altcode: During the interval 1992 May 3--15, an extended region (out to 1.5 solar radii) of diffuse, stable corona crossed the northeast limb of the Sun. This region underlaid a coronal streamer as revealed by the Mauna Loa Coronagraph of the High Altitude Observatory. During this passage, the soft X-ray telescope on Yohkoh obtained a number of high-quality pairs of images, closely spaced in time, through the two thinnest analysis filters. Analysis of these data indicates that (1) the temperature increases steadily with height and (2) the variation of temperature with radius is consistent with a conserved inward heat flux. These results imply that the magnetic field configuration was substantially open out to 1.5 solar radii and that there was no significant coronal heating below that height in that region. It appears that this region was being heated by nonthermal energy deposited beyond 1.5 solar radii. Title: Zooming in on the redshift problem Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1996Ap&SS.244..159S Altcode: Scientific inference offers a way to help organize and clarify our thinking about controversial areas of science such as the redshift problem. Scientists typically devote considerable effort to evaluating the probability that data relevant to a controversial area may be due to the “null hypothesis” (i.e. that there is no new phenomenon). However, it is usually not clear whether a small probability for the null hypothesis can be interpreted as a high probability for some other hypothesis, if only for the reason that the alternative hypothesis may not be specified, and it is not clear how strong a case is required to establish the new hypothesis. Thinking about such topics can be clarified by a simple procedure based on the methods of scientific inference. This procedure is referred to as “ZOOM” for “Zero-Order Organizing Model”. This article proposes a ZOOM for the redshift problem, and presents the results of a preliminary trial. Title: Interpretation of SXT Data Concerning the Diffuse Corona Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Wheatland, M. S.; Acton, L. W. Bibcode: 1996mpsa.conf..417S Altcode: 1996IAUCo.153..417S No abstract at ADS Title: Perspectives on Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1996ASPC...95...42S Altcode: 1996sdit.conf...42S No abstract at ADS Title: Coronal Heating by Sudden Magnetic Relaxation Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1996ASPC..111..105S Altcode: 1997ASPC..111..105S If two flux tubes of opposite polarity come into contact in the chromosphere, reconnection has several consequences: (a) flux elements, as seen in magnetographs, appear to have "cancelled;" (b) small regions in the chromosphere will be heated; (c) cool gas is ejected upwards; (d) most of the cool gas subsequently returns to the chromosphere, giving rise to a downflow as seen in transition-region lines; (e) the sudden relaxation of the flux tubes will lead to high-frequency Alfvén waves. In a closed-field region, the Alfvén waves will be standing waves that are damped by exciting sound waves in the corona; dissipation of these sound waves offers an explanation of coronal heating. In an open-field region such as a coronal hole, the Alfvén waves will be traveling waves that are damped at greater heights, leading to both coronal heating and high-speed solar wind. Depending on the magnetic topology, the upward motion of cool gas may have the form of a spicule, that is a small form of a flare surge, or may be more closely related to a flare spray. This scenario appears to lead to conditions that could be helpful in understanding the FIP effect. Title: Asymptotic Analysis of Force-free Magnetic Fields of Cylindrical Symmetry Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Antiochos, S. K.; Roumeliotis, G. Bibcode: 1995ApJ...443..804S Altcode: It is known from computer calculations that if a force-free magnetic-field configuration is stressed progressively by footpoint displacements, the configuration expands and approaches the open configuration with the same surface flux distribution, and, in the process, the energy of the field increases progressively. Analysis of a simple model of force-free fields of cylindrical symmetry leads to simple asymptotic expressions for the extent and energy of such a configuration. The analysis is carried through for both spherical and planar source surfaces. According to this model, the field evolves in a well-behaved manner with no indication of instability or loss of equilibrium. Title: Observations of Coronal Temperature Structure by Yohkoh Authors: Acton, L. W.; Culhane, J. L.; Lemen, J. R.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1995SPD....26..615A Altcode: 1995BAAS...27..964A No abstract at ADS Title: Coronal Hard X-ray Sources in Solar Flares Authors: Wheatland, M. S.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1995SPD....26.1321W Altcode: 1995BAAS...27..991W No abstract at ADS Title: Interpretation of SXT Data Concerning the Diffuse Corona Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Acton, L. W. Bibcode: 1995SPD....26..616S Altcode: 1995BAAS...27..964S No abstract at ADS Title: Environmental conditions responsible for solar activity Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1995stan.reptQ....S Altcode: Solar coronal activity is of concern to the Air Force primarily because of the terrestrial effects of coronal mass ejections and solar flares. Coronal mass ejections can lead to geomagnetic disturbances that in turn cause magnetospheric substorms. This geomagnetic activity disturbs the ionosphere, especially in the polar regions, interfering with radio propagation. Ionizing radiation (UV and X-ray) and particle events from solar flares can also lead to ionospheric disturbances. Furthermore, major flares pose serious hazards to astronauts. During the past three years, the Stanford group has obtained significant theoretical insights into the driving mechanism of eruptive events in the solar corona. The question of what causes coronal eruptions inevitably leads to questions concerning the plasma conditions and magnetic field configurations in which eruptions occur. In particular, we have grappled with the long-standing issue of how the coronal plasma is maintained at a temperature of several million degrees, while the underlying surface of the sun that is visible in white light has a temperature of only a few thousand degrees. Our work over the past three years has taken us closer to the goal of being able to predict the imminent onset of solar flares and coronal mass ejections. Title: The Possible Role of MHD Waves in Heating the Solar Corona Authors: Porter, Lisa J.; Klimchuk, James A.; Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1994ApJ...435..482P Altcode: The possible role of waves in the heating of the solar corona has been investigated. A general dispersion relation has been derived for waves propagating in a homogeneous plasma subject to dissipation by viscosity and thermal conduction. The dissipation mechanisms have been incorporated self-consistently into the equations, and no assumptions about the strength of the damping have been made. Solutions of the sixth-order dispersion relation provide information on how the damping of both slow and fast mode waves depends upon the plasma density, temperature, field strength, and angle of propagation relative to the background magnetic field. We provide a detailed comparison to the standard approach, which is to solve for the wave quantities in the absence of dissipation and then to use these quantities in expressions for the heating due to viscosity and thermal conduction. Title: The Possible Role of High-Frequency Waves in Heating Solar Coronal Loops Authors: Porter, Lisa J.; Klimchuk, James A.; Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1994ApJ...435..502P Altcode: We investigate the role of high-frequency waves in the heating of solar active region coronal loops. We assume a uniform background magnetic field, and we introduce a density stratification in a direction perpendicular to this field. We focus on ion compressive viscosity as the damping mechanism of the waves. We incorporate viscosity self-consistently into the equations, and we derive a dispersion relation by adopting a slab model, where the density inside the slab is greater than that outside. Such a configuration supports two types of modes: surface waves and trapped body waves. In order to determine under what conditions these waves may contribute to the heating of active regions, we solve our dispersion relation for a range of densities, temperatures, magnetic field strengths, density ratios, wavevector magnitudes, wavevector ratios, and slab widths. We find that surface waves exhibit very small damping, but body waves can potentially damp at rates needed to balance radiative losses. However, the required frequencies of these body waves are very high. For example, the wave frequency must be at least 5.0/s for a slab density of 109,5/cc, a slab temperature of 106,5 K, a field strength of 100 G, and a density ratio of 5. For a slab density of 1010/cc, this frequency increases to 8.8/s. Although these frequencies are very high, there in no observational evidence to rule out their existence, and they may be generated both below the corona and at magnetic reconnection sites in the corona. However, we do find that, for slab densities of 1010/cc or less, the dissipation of high-frequency waves will be insufficient to balance the radiative losses if the magnetic field strength exceeds roughly 200 G. Because the magnetic field is known to exceed 200 G in many active region loops, particularly low-lying loops and loops emanating from sunspots, it is unlikely that high-frequency waves can provide sufficient heating in these regions. Title: Asymptotic Forms for the Energy of Force-free Magnetic Field Configurations of Translational Symmetry Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Antiochos, S. K.; Klimchuk, J. A.; Roumeliotis, G. Bibcode: 1994ApJ...431..870S Altcode: It is known from computer calculations that if a force-free magnetic field configuration is stressed progressively by footpoint displacements, the configuration expands and approaches the open configuration with the same surface flux distribution and the energy of the field increases progressively. For configurations of translational symmetry, it has been found empirically that the energy tends asymptotically to a certain functional form. It is here shown that analysis of a simple model of the asymptotic form of force-free fields of translational symmetry leads to and therefore justifies this functional form. According to this model, the field evolves in a well-behaved manner with no indication of instability or loss of equilibrium. Title: Observations of Enhanced Coronal Heating in Sheared MAgnetic Fields Authors: Moore, R. T.; Porter, J.; Roumeliotis, G.; Tsuneta, S.; Shimizu, T.; Sturrock, P. A.; Acton, L. W. Bibcode: 1994kofu.symp...89M Altcode: From superposition of Yohkoh SXT images on MSFC vector magnetograms of two active regions, we find: (1) coronal heating is enhanced at sites of strong magnetic shear, and (2) this heating is produced by microflares. Title: Microflaring at the Feet of Large Active Region Loops Authors: Porter, J.; Moore, R. T.; Roumeliotis, G.; Shimizu, T.; Tsuneta, S.; Sturrock, P. A.; Acton, L. W. Bibcode: 1994kofu.symp...65P Altcode: By superposing Yohkoh SXT images on an MSFC magnetogram of an active region, we find that the brightest loops in the bipolar magnetic envelope spanning the active region are rooted near a compact site of mixed polarity and microflaring. Apparently, the enhanced coronal heating in these high loops is a consequence of the microflaring and/or related magnetic activity at this end site. Title: Plasma Physics Authors: Sturrock, Peter Andrew Bibcode: 1994plph.book.....S Altcode: 1. Introduction; 2. Basic concepts; 3. Orbit theory - uniform fields; 4. Adiabatic invariants; 5. Orbit theory; 6. Electromagnetic waves in a cold electron plasma; 7. Electromagnetic waves in an electron-ion plasma; 8. Two-stream instability; 9. Electrostatic oscillations in a plasma of non-zero temperature; 10. Collision theory; 11. MHD equations; 12. Magnetohydrodynamics; 13. Force-free magnetic configurations; 14. Waves in MHD systems; 15. Magnetohydrodynamic stability; 16. Variational principle for MHD systems; 17. Resistive instabilities; 18. Stochastic processes; 19. Interaction of particles and waves. Title: A Numerical Study of the Sudden Eruption of Sheared Magnetic Fields Authors: Roumeliotis, George; Sturrock, Peter A.; Antiochos, Spiro K. Bibcode: 1994ApJ...423..847R Altcode: We investigate the quasi-static evolution of an idealized magnetic configuration in the solar corona that is subjected to photospheric shearing motions. The initial, unsheared field in our calculations is a magnetic dipole located at the center of the Sun. The assumed photospheric shearing motions are latitude-dependent and antisymmetric about the equator. The quasi-static evolution of the coronal field is calculated using the magneto-frictional method. A key difference between our study and previous work is that the outer computational boundary is placed exceedingly far from the solar surface where the shearing motions are applied. This is achieved by writing the basic equations of the magneto-frictional method in terms of the logarithm of radial distance. We find that initially, the coronal magnetic field expands steadily as the footpoint displacement is increased. However, when the footpoint displacement exceeds a certain critical amount, the qualitative behavior of the evolving field suddenly changes, so that the outward expansion of the field lines becomes a much more rapidly increasing function of the footpoint displacement. We propose that this sudden transition to a regime with very sensitive dependence on boundary conditions plays an important role in the onset of eruptive phenomena in the solar atmosphere. Title: Plasma physics. an introduction to the theory of astrophysical, geophysical, and laboratory plasmas Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1994ppai.book.....S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Asymptotic Behavior of Force-Free Magnetic-Field Configurations Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Klimchuk, J. A.; Roumeliotis, G.; Antiochos, S. K. Bibcode: 1994ASPC...68..219S Altcode: 1994sare.conf..219S No abstract at ADS Title: Plasma Physics, An Introduction to the Theory of Astrophysical, Geophysical and Laboratory Plasmas Authors: Sturrock, Peter Andrew Bibcode: 1994ppit.book.....S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Environmental conditions responsible for solar activity Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1993stan.reptR....S Altcode: During the past year, the Stanford group has continued its investigations into the origins of solar coronal activity. Solar activity occurs within a complex magnetic environment, which is determined by the entire history of magnetic flux emergence and surface flows at the underlying photosphere. One of the main achievements has been the development of a technique to reconstruct the coronal magnetic field above active regions from measurements of the magnetic field at the photosphere. To complement this empirical tool, the authors have continued theoretical work on the influence of photospheric shearing motions on the configuration and energy content of coronal fields. This work is shedding light on the nature of eruptive phenomena such as coronal mass ejections. They have also intensively evaluated the role of magnetohydrodynamic waves and reconnection in heating the solar atmosphere, and identified a number of promising coronal heating scenarios that will require detailed numerical modeling. Title: Collisional Damping of Magnetoacoustic Waves in the Solar Corona Authors: Porter, Lisa A.; Sturrock, Peter A.; Klimchuk, James A. Bibcode: 1993BAAS...25.1203P Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Asymptotic Forms for the Energy of Force Free Magnetic-Field Configurations Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Roumeliotis, G.; Antiochos, S. Bibcode: 1993BAAS...25.1218S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Evidence for a Fundamental Period of the Sun and Its Relation to the 154 Day Complex of Periodicities Authors: Bai, T.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1993ApJ...409..476B Altcode: We have analyzed the longitude distributions of major flares observed in the 1955-1991 interval, referring them to coordinate systems rotating about axes tilted with respect to the rotation axis of the solar envelope. We find that the longitude distribution exhibits the largest modulation in the coordinate system with the following parameters: rotation period, 25.50 days; tilt angle of the rotation axis, 40 deg; tilt direction, toward the position of the earth on December 4 in its orbit around the sun. We interpret this as being due to an obliquely rotating structure (or a wave pattern rotating about an oblique axis) which has two exciters. We identify the period of 25.50 days as the fundamental period of the hypothetical 'clock' proposed by Bai and Sturrock (1991). The periods of the subharmonics are 51.0, 76.5, 102.0, 127.5, and 153.0 days, in agreement with periodicities found from analysis of flare occurrence times. Title: Physics of solar activity Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1993stan.reptQ....S Altcode: The aim of the research activity was to increase our understanding of solar activity through data analysis, theoretical analysis, and computer modeling. Because the research subjects were diverse and many researchers were supported by this grant, a select few key areas of research are described in detail. Areas of research include: (1) energy storage and force-free magnetic field; (2) energy release and particle acceleration; (3) radiation by nonthermal electrons; (4) coronal loops; (5) flare classification; (6) longitude distributions of flares; (7) periodicities detected in the solar activity; (8) coronal heating and related problems; and (9) plasma processes. Title: Microflaring at the feet of large active region loops Authors: Porter, Jason; Moore, Ron; Roumeliotis, George; Shimizu, Toshifumi; Tsuneta, Saku; Sturrock, Peter; Acton, Loren Bibcode: 1993STIN...9670891P Altcode: By superposing Yohkoh SXT images on an MSFC magnetogram of an active region, we find that the brightest loops in the bipolar magnetic envelope spanning the active region are rooted near a compact site of mixed polarity and microflaring. Apparently, the enhanced coronal heating in these high loops is a consequence of the microflaring and/or related magnetic activity at this end site. Title: Environmental conditions responsible for solar activity Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1992stan.reptQ....S Altcode: This report describes progress toward understanding the theoretical basis for solar activity. One of our key accomplishments has been the insight we have gained into the eruption of coronal magnetic structures. Roumeliotis, Sturrock, and Antiochos have made numerical and analytic calculations which indicate that coronal magnetic fields being sheared by convective motions acting on their photospheric footpoints evolve smoothly until the shear surpasses a certain critical amount. After that, the coronal field exhibits very sensitive dependence on the photospheric boundary conditions, in the sense that small changes in the footpoint displacements produce huge changes in the height of the coronal field. We propose that this nonlinear behavior of sheared magnetic fields is the explanation for eruptive phenomena such as coronal mass ejections and solar flares. We are also developing several approaches for understanding coronal heating. In particular, Sturrock has proposed a model in which turbulent reconnection deep within the chromosphere produces local heating as well as a burst of magnetohydrodynamic waves that propagate upward to heat the corona. Roumeliotis is working on the theory that twisted flux loops in the corona undergo an internal resistive kink instability that unwinds the internal field and releases magnetic energy to heat the loop. Title: Eruptions of Magnetic-Field Configurations Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Roumeliotis, G. Bibcode: 1992AAS...181.5506S Altcode: 1992BAAS...24.1212S No abstract at ADS Title: Search for Evidence of a Clock Related to the Solar 154 Day Complex of Periodicities Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Bai, T. Bibcode: 1992ApJ...397..337S Altcode: Evidence indicates that the 154-day periodicity in solar activity may be part of a complex of periodicities that are approximate multiples of 25.8 d, which suggests that the sun contains a 'clock' with frequency in the range 440-463 nHz. To search for evidence of this clock, the daily Greenwich sunspot areas and daily Zurich sunspot numbers have been Fourier-analyzed. The Zurich data show a strong peak that may clearly be identified with the fundamental frequency, while the Greenwich data show a peak that may be the harmonic of the fundamental frequency. A model is discussed which provides a kinematical interpretation of the sunspot spectrum. Title: Search for evidence of a clock related to the solar 154 day complex of periodicities Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Bai, T. Bibcode: 1992STIN...9220916S Altcode: Evidence that has recently been compiled (Bai and Sturrock 1991) indicates that the enigmatic 154-day periodicity in solar activity may be viewed as part of a complex of periodicities that are approximate multiples of 25.8 days, suggesting that the Sun contains a 'clock' with frequency in the range 440 to 463 nano Hz. The clock may comprise either an oscillator or a rotator, each of which may be either real or virtual. We have reconsidered a previous spectrum analysis of the Zurich sunspot-number sequence by Knight, Schatten, and Sturrock (1979) which revealed a sharp, persistent and significant periodicity with a period of 12.072 days, corresponding to a frequency of about 958.8 nano Hz. This periodicity may be regarded as the (second) upper sideband of the second harmonic (2nuR + 2nuE) of a fundamental frequency of 447.7 nano Hz that is clearly within the search band. In this expression, nuR is the sidereal frequency of the hypothetical rotator and nuE is the frequency (31.69 nano Hz) of the Earth in its orbital motion around the Sun. In analyzing sunspot area data derived from the Greenwich data set, and on noting that any frequency is defined only to within the Nyquist frequency, we find clear evidence not only for the upper sideband of the second harmonic, but also for the second harmonic (2nuR) and the lower sideband of the second harmonic (2nuR - 2nuE). There is no strong peak at the fundamental frequency in the Greenwich data, but there is in the Zurich sunspot data. The effect of a linear oscillator is, to the lowest order in the amplitude, the same as the combined effect of two rotators of opposite polarities. A rotator that has arbitrary orientation with respect to the ecliptic may influence the outer layers of the Sun and thereby modulate the occurrence of solar activity such as sunspots. By analyzing a simple model, we find that such a rotator would influence surface activity in such a way that the spectrum of a 'signal' (such as the record of sunspots), as seen from the Earth, would contain components with frequencies that are certain integral combinations of nuR and nuE. The amplitudes of the various components depend sensitively on theta, the angle between the axis of the rotator and the axis of the Earth's orbital motion. This simple model therefore offers a kinematical (but not dynamical) interpretation of the sunspot spectrum. The present analysis, while offering support of our conjectures that the Sun contains a clock that regulates the 154-day complex of periodicities, cannot distinguish between an osillator or a rotator (that might be a traveling wave), nor between a real rotator or a virtual rotator (that might be an apparent traveling wave due to the aliasing effect of an oscillator in a rotating system). Further analysis of sunspot and other data sets will be required to confirm the existence of such clock and (if it is real) to determine its physical nature. Title: Cylindrically Symmetric Force-free Magnetic Fields Authors: Porter, Lisa J.; Klimchuk, James A.; Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1992ApJ...385..738P Altcode: The magnetofrictional method was used to study the energy buildup in stressed coronal fields possessing cylindrical symmetry. Four different nonlinear, force-free magnetic-field configurations were examined. It was determined that, in all cases, a reasonable amount of twist in the field lines can produce enough free magnetic energy to power a typical flare. Furthermore, it was found that the rate of energy buildup is enhanced if the greatest twist and/or the magnetic flux is concentrated closer to the neutral line. It is thought that the open-field configuration (a configuration for which the field lines extend to infinity and the current is confined to a current sheet separating outgoing and incoming field lines) is the limiting state as one imposes infinite shear. The results of this work do not contradict this theory once numerical errors are taken into account. Title: The Emerging Picture of Eruptive Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1992ComAp..16...71S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Emerging Picture of Eruptive Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1992LNP...399..397S Altcode: 1992esf..coll..397S; 1992IAUCo.133..397S No abstract at ADS Title: An oblique rotator in the Sun and 154-day and related periodicities. Authors: Bai, T.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1992BAAS...24.1077B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Three-dimensional Force-free Magnetic Fields and Flare Energy Buildup Authors: Klimchuk, J. A.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1992ApJ...385..344K Altcode: The 'magneto-frictional' method is used to compute fully 3D models of force-free magnetic fields. Beginning with a potential field produced by a point dipole buried below the solar surface, the magnetic footpoints at the photosphere are displaced to investigate the buildup of magnetic energy. Reasonable footpoint shearing displacements are found to be able to increase the total magnetic energy by at least one-third. The energy buildup is greater when the shearing displacements are concentrated closer to the magnetic neutral line. Roughly half of the energy buildup is free magnetic energy. The absolute quantity of free magnetic energy (10 exp 30-33 ergs, depending on the scaling of the models) is sufficient to explain solar flares. No evidence for 'loss of equilibrium' was found. Title: Maximum Energy of Semi-infinite Magnetic Field Configurations Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1991ApJ...380..655S Altcode: This article addresses the conjecture by Aly (1984) that the maximum-energy state of magnetic field configurations that have a given flux distribution on a given surface is the open-field configurations. It is first shown that the existence of a maximum-energy configuration depends upon the topology of the source surface: for a multiply connected surface there is no maximum-energy state. However, the magnetic energy is known to be bounded above for a wide class of simply connected surfaces, and it is shown that in this case there must be a field configuration that has maximum energy. Furthermore, for this configuration the energy is stationary under arbitrary small footprint displacements that leave the surface flux distribution unchanged. It is then shown that this condition leads to the result that either Bn, the normal component of magnetic field, of jn, the normal component of current, must vanish at each point on the source surface. This condition is met by the open configuration but not by any other configuration. The implications of this result for the understanding of flares and of coronal mass ejections are discussed. Title: The 154-day and Related Periodicities of Solar Activity are Subharmonics of a 25.8-day Clock Authors: Bai, T.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1991BAAS...23.1027B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The 154-day and related periodicities of solar activity as subharmonics of a fundamental period Authors: Bai, T.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1991Natur.350..141B Altcode: IN 1984 a periodicity of 154 days was found in the record of solar flare activity1 from 1980 to 1983. Since then, the same periodicity has been found in many different measures of solar flare activity during cycle 21 (soft X-ray peak flux1; hard X-ray emission2,3; H α flare activity4; microwave peak flux5; production of inter-planetary electrons6 and protons7; 10-cm radio flux8) as well as in sunspot area9,10. The cause of this 154-day periodicity, which has also been discovered in solar cycles 19 and 20 (refs 7, 11) remains unknown, but a suggestion that it was related to enhanced flare activity in certain longitude bands has been ruled out3. Here we show that periodicities of 51, 78, 104 and 129 days, in addition to the 154-day period, can often be detected in flare and sunspot records. These periods are close to integral multiples (by factors of 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6) of 25.8 days, suggesting that they are subharmonics of a fundamental period. Title: Search for Evidence for an Oblique Rotator within the Sun Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Bai, T. Bibcode: 1991BAAS...23.1028S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Simulated SXT Observations of Coronal Loops Authors: Dixon, W. W.; Klimchuk, J. A.; Sturrock, P. A.; Lemen, J. R. Bibcode: 1991LNP...387..297D Altcode: 1991fpsa.conf..297D We have simulated the appearance of two static coronal loops as they might be observed by the Soft X-ray Telescope onboard the Solar-A spacecraft. One loop corresponds to a non-flaring active region loop, and the other corresponds to a post-flare loop. We find that the loops have fundamentally different appearances: the quiescent loop is brightest at its apex, while the hotter post-flare loop is brightest at, or near, its base (depending on the particular X-ray filter assumed for the observations). Title: Maximum Energy of Semi-infinite Magnetic-Field Configurations Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1991LNP...387..224S Altcode: 1991fpsa.conf..224S No abstract at ADS Title: The 154-Day Periodicity of Solar Activity as a Subharmonic of a 25.8-Day Clock Authors: Bai, T.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1990BAAS...22.1225B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Is There an Oblique Rotator Within the Sun? Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Bai, T. Bibcode: 1990BAAS...22Q1225S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Episodic Coronal Heating Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Dixon, W. W.; Klimchuk, J. A.; Antiochos, S. K. Bibcode: 1990ApJ...356L..31S Altcode: A study is made of the observational consequences of the hypothesis that there is no steady coronal heating, the solar corona instead being heated episodically, such that each short burst of heating is followed by a long period of radiative cooling. The form of the resulting contribution to the differential emission measure (DEM), and to a convenient related function (the differential energy flux, DEF) is calculated. Observational data for the quiet solar atmosphere indicate that the upper branch of the DEM, corresponding to temperatures above 100,000 K, can be interpreted in terms of episodic energy injection at coronal temperatures. Title: Flare Energy Buildup and the Stressing of 3-D Coronal Magnetic Fields Authors: Klimchuk, J. A.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1990BAAS...22..900K Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Cylindrically-Symmetric Force-Free Magnetic Fields Authors: Porter, L. J.; Klimchuk, J. A.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1990BAAS...22..853P Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Cascade Model of Gamma-Ray Bursts Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Harding, A. K.; Daugherty, J. K. Bibcode: 1989ApJ...346..950S Altcode: If, in a neutron star magnetosphere, an electron is accelerated to an energy of 10 to the 11th or 12th power eV by an electric field parallel to the magnetic field, motion of the electron along the curved field line leads to a cascade of gamma rays and electron-positron pairs. This process is believed to occur in radio pulsars and gamma ray burst sources. Results are presented from numerical simulations of the radiation and photon annihilation pair production processes, using a computer code previously developed for the study of radio pulsars. A range of values of initial energy of a primary electron was considered along with initial injection position, and magnetic dipole moment of the neutron star. The resulting spectra was found to exhibit complex forms that are typically power law over a substantial range of photon energy, and typically include a dip in the spectrum near the electron gyro-frequency at the injection point. The results of a number of models are compared with data for the 5 Mar., 1979 gamma ray burst. A good fit was found to the gamma ray part of the spectrum, including the equivalent width of the annihilation line. Title: Force-free Magnetic Fields: Is There a ``Loss of Equilibrium''? Authors: Klimchuk, J. A.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1989ApJ...345.1034K Altcode: This paper examines concept in solar physics that is known as loss of equilibrium in which a sequence of force-free magnetic fields, said to represent a possible quasi-static evolution of solar magnetic fields, reaches a critical configuration beyond which no acceptable solution of the prescribed form exists. This concept is used to explain eruptive phenomena ranging from solar flares to coronal mass ejections. Certain sequences of force-free configurations are discussed that exhibit a loss of equilibrium, and it is argued that the concept is devoid of physical significance since each sequence is defined a way that does not represent an acceptable thought experiment. For example, the sequence may be defined in terms of a global constraint on the boundary conditions, or the evolution of the sequence may require the creation of mgnetic flux that is not connected to the photosphere and is not present in the original configuration. The global constraints typically occur in using the so-called generating function method. An acceptance thought experiment is proposed to specify the field configuration in terms of photospheric boundary conditions comprising the normal component of the field and the field-line connectivity. Consider a magnetic-field sequence that, when described in terms of a generating function, exhibits a loss of equilibrium and show that, when one instead defines the sequence in terms of the corresponding boundary conditions, the sequence is well behaved. Title: Episodic Coronal Heating and the Solar Differential Emission Measure Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Klimchuk, J. A.; Antiochos, S. K. Bibcode: 1989BAAS...21R1186S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Cascade Model of Gamma-Ray Bursts Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Harding, A. K.; Daugherty, J. K. Bibcode: 1989BAAS...21..768S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: An Episodic Model of Coronal Heating Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Antiochos, S. K. Bibcode: 1989BAAS...21R.829S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Force-Free Magnetic Fields: Is there a "Loss of Equilibrium?" Authors: Klimchuk, J. A.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1989BAAS...21R.855K Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Role of Eruption in Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1989SoPh..121..387S Altcode: 1989IAUCo.104..387S This article focuses on two problems involved in the development of models of solar flares. The first concerns the mechanism responsible for eruptions, such as erupting filaments or coronal mass ejections, that are sometimes involved in the flare process. The concept of `loss of equilibrium' is considered and it is argued that the concept typically arises in thought-experiments that do not represent acceptable physical behavior of the solar atmosphere. It is proposed instead that such eruptions are probably caused by an instability of a plasma configuration. The instability may be purely MHD, or it may combine both MHD and resistive processes. The second problem concerns the mechanism of energy release of the impulsive (or gradual) phase. It is proposed that this phase of flares may be due to current interruption, as was originally proposed by Alfvén and Carlqvist. However, in order for this process to be viable, it seems necessary to change one's ideas about the heating and structure of the corona in ways that are outlined briefly. Title: Energy conversion in solar flares. Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1989GMS....54..181S Altcode: 1989opss.conf..181S; 1989sspp.conf..181S Flares involve a sequence of energy conversion processes beginning with the initial stressing of the magnetic field and ending with radiation. This article is concerned primarily with the processes by which magnetic energy is suddenly converted into other forms. Title: Classification of solar flares. Authors: Bai, T.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1989ARA&A..27..421B Altcode: The authors organize this paper as follows. First they discuss the historical background before the SMM launch. Then, they review the recent developments made by observations with SMM, Hinotori, and other contemporary satellites and ground-based observatories. Based on the observations discussed, they classify solar flares into the following five classes: thermal hard X-ray flares, nonthermal hard X-ray flares, impulsive gamma-ray/proton flares, gradual gamma-ray/proton flares, and quiescent filament-eruption flares. The authors examine the roles of filament eruptions in flare development. They discuss theoretical ideas related to processes occurring in different classes of flares. Closing remarks are given. Title: Coronal Magnetic Fields Produced by Photospheric Shear Authors: Klimchuk, J. A.; Sturrock, P. A.; Yang, W. -H. Bibcode: 1988ApJ...335..456K Altcode: The magnetofrictional method for computing force-free fields is used to examine the evolution of the magnetic field of a line dipole, when there is relative shearing motion between the two polarities. It is found that the energy of the sheared field can be arbitrarily large compared with the potential field. It is also found that it is possible to fit the magnetic energy, as a function of shear amplitude, by a simple functional form. The fit parameters depend only on the distribution of normal field in the photosphere and the form of the shearing displacement. They show that the energy is relatively more enhanced if the shear occurs: (1) where the normal field is strongest; and/or (2) in the inner region of the dipole, near the axis; and/or (3) over a large fraction of the dipole area. Title: Force-free magnetic fields: Is there a loss of equilibrium Authors: Klimchuk, James A.; Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1988STIN...8921717K Altcode: This paper examines concept in solar physics that is known as loss of equilibrium in which a sequence of force-free magnetic fields, said to represent a possible quasi-static evolution of solar magnetic fields, reaches a critical configuration beyond which no acceptable solution of the prescribed form exists. This concept is used to explain eruptive phenomena ranging from solar flares to coronal mass ejections. Certain sequences of force-free configurations are discussed that exhibit a loss of equilibrium, and it is argued that the concept is devoid of physical significance since each sequence is defined a way that does not represent an acceptable thought experiment. For example, the sequence may be defined in terms of a global constraint on the boundary conditions, or the evolution of the sequence may require the creation of magnetic flux that is not connected to the photosphere and is not present in the original configuration. The global constraints typically occur in using the so-called generating function method. An acceptable thought experiment is proposed to specify the field configuration in terms of photospheric boundary conditions comprising the normal component of the field and the field-line connectivity. Consider a magnetic-field sequence that, when described in terms of a generating function, exhibits a loss of equilibrium and show that, when one instead defines the sequence in terms of the corresponding boundary conditions, the sequence is well behaved. Title: Cascade model of gamma-ray bursts: Power-law and annihilation-line components Authors: Harding, A. K.; Sturrock, P. A.; Daugherty, J. K. Bibcode: 1988STIN...8827998H Altcode: If, in a neutron star magnetosphere, an electron is accelerated to an energy of 10 to the 11th or 12th power eV by an electric field parallel to the magnetic field, motion of the electron along the curved field line leads to a cascade of gamma rays and electron-positron pairs. This process is believed to occur in radio pulsars and gamma ray burst sources. Results are presented from numerical simulations of the radiation and photon annihilation pair production processes, using a computer code previously developed for the study of radio pulsars. A range of values of initial energy of a primary electron was considered along with initial injection position, and magnetic dipole moment of the neutron star. The resulting spectra was found to exhibit complex forms that are typically power law over a substantial range of photon energy, and typically include a dip in the spectrum near the electron gyro-frequency at the injection point. The results of a number of models are compared with data for the 5 Mar., 1979 gamma ray burst. A good fit was found to the gamma ray part of the spectrum, including the equivalent width of the annihilation line. Title: Coronal magnetic fields produced by photospheric shear Authors: Klimchuk, James A.; Sturrock, Peter A.; Yang, Wei-Hong Bibcode: 1988cmfp.book.....K Altcode: The magneto-frictional method for computing force-free fields examines the evolution of the magnetic field of a line dipole, when there is relative shearing motion between the two polarities. The energy of the sheared field can be arbitrarily large compared with the potential field. It is possible to fit the magnetic energy, as a function of shear amplitude, by a simple functional form. The fit parameters depend only on the distribution of normal field in the photosphere and the form of the shearing displacement. The energy is relatively more enhanced if the shear occurs: (1) where the normal field is strongest; (2) in the inner region of the dipole, near the axis; or (3) over a large fraction of the dipole area. Title: Coronal Magnetic Fields Produced by Photospheric Shear Authors: Klimchuk, J. A.; Sturrock, P. A.; Yang, W. -H. Bibcode: 1988BAAS...20..716K Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Cascade Model of Gamma-Ray Bursts Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Harding, A. K.; Daugherty, J. K. Bibcode: 1988BAAS...20..685S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Coronal magnetic fields produced by photospheric shear Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Yang, W. -H. Bibcode: 1987cmfp.book.....S Altcode: The magneto-frictional method is used for computing force free fields to examine the evolution of the magnetic field of a line dipole, when there is relative shearing motion between the two polarities. It found that the energy of the sheared field can be arbitrarily large compared with the potential field. It is also found that it is possible to fit the magnetic energy, as a function of shear, by a simple functional form. Title: Book Review - Physics of the Sun Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Holzer, T. E.; Mihalas, D. M.; Ulrich, R. K.; Carson, T. R. Bibcode: 1987Obs...107..173S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The 152-day periodicity of the solar flare occurrence rate Authors: Bai, Taeil; Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1987Natur.327..601B Altcode: The occurrence rate of solar flares exhibits a periodicity of about 152 days. This periodicity was discovered from analyses of flares observed with the Solar Maximum Mission (SMM), and confirmed by analysis of flares observed by other observatories. This periodicity was also discovered from the flare rate of solar cycle 20 (1965-75). The cause of the 152-day periodicity still remains a mystery. But answers to the following questions will enhance our understanding of it. (1) Is the periodicity a local or a global phenomenon? (2) Is the periodicity due to the interaction of 'hotspots' rotating at different rates such that they align with one another once every 152-day period? (3) Is the periodicity due to the interaction of rotating features originating from g-mode oscillations? Here we report our analysis of 'major flares' observed with the Hard X-ray Burst Spectrometer (HXRBS) aboard SMM and we conclude that the 152-day periodicity is a global phenomenon, and that the answers to questions (2) and (3) are negative. Title: The Gradual Phase of Energy Release in Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Bai, T. Bibcode: 1987BAAS...19..921S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Book Review - Physics of the Sun Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1987Sci...236.1009S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Solar flares and magnetic topology Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1987SoPh..113...13S Altcode: 1982SoPh..113...13S; 1987STIN...8820244S This article is a very brief review and comparison of the observational properties of flares and theoretical concepts of models of flares, especially the concepts of magnetic topology and its evolution. We examine the "environmental" aspects of flare behavior. Some of these aspects must be consequences of unknown processes occurring below the photosphere. Other aspects involve structures--such as filaments--that are closely related to flares. We then examine properties of flares to try to distinguish the different phases of energy release that can occur in the course of a flare. Finally we offer a schematic scenario and attempt to interpret these phases in terms of this scenario. Title: Book-Review - Physics of the Sun - VOL.1 - the Solar Interior - VOL.2 - the Solar Atmosphere - VOL.3 - Astrophysics and Solar-Terrestrial Relations Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Holzer, T. E.; Mihalas, D. M.; Ulrich, R. K. Bibcode: 1987ApL....25..267S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: On the 152-day periodicity of the solar flare occurrence rate Authors: Bai, Taeil; Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1986STIN...8721838B Altcode: The occurrence rate of solar flares exhibits a periodicity of about 152 days. This periodicity was discovered from analyses of flares observed with the Solar Maximum Mission (SMM), and confirmed with flares observed by other observatories. This periodicity was also discovered from the flare rate of solar cycle 20 (1965 to 1975). The cause of the 152 day periodicity still remains a mystery. But answers to the following questions will enhance our understanding of it: (1) Is the periodicity a local or global phenomenon? (2) Is the periodicity due to interactions of hot spots rotating at different rates such that they align with one another once in every 152-day period? (3) Is the periodicity due to interactions of rotating features originating from g-mode oscillations? Analyzing major flares observed with the Hard X Ray Burst Spectrometer (HXRBS) aboard SMM concludes that the 152 day periodicity is a global phenomenon. Title: Force-free Magnetic Fields: The Magneto-frictional Method Authors: Yang, W. H.; Sturrock, P. A.; Antiochos, S. K. Bibcode: 1986ApJ...309..383Y Altcode: The problem under discussion is that of calculating magnetic field configurations in which the Lorentz force j x B is everywhere zero, subject to specified boundary conditions. We choose to represent the magnetic field in terms of Clebsch variables in the form B = grad alpha x grad beta. These variables are constant on any field line so that each field line is labeled by the corresponding values of alpha and beta. When the field is described in this way, the most appropriate choice of boundary conditions is to specify the values of alpha and beta on the bounding surface. We show that such field configurations may be calculated by a magneto-frictional method. We imagine that the field lines move through a stationary medium, and that each element of magnetic field is subject to a frictional force parallel to and opposing the velocity of the field line. This concept leads to an iteration procedure for modifying the variables alpha and beta, that tends asymptotically towards the force-free state. We apply the method first to a simple problem in two rectangular dimensions, and then to a problem of cylindrical symmetry that was previously discussed by Barnes and Sturrock (1972). In one important respect, our new results differ from the earlier results of Barnes and Sturrock, and we conclude that the earlier article was in error. Title: Gamma-Ray Burst Spectra from Electromagnetic Cascades Authors: Harding, A. K.; Sturrock, P. A.; Daugherty, J. K. Bibcode: 1986BAAS...18Q.928H Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Book-Review - Physics of the Sun - V.I - the Solar Interior - V.II - the Solar Atmosphere - V.III - Astrophysics and Solar / Terrestrial Relations Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Holzer, T. E.; Mihalas, D. M.; Ulrich, R. K.; Parker, E. N. Bibcode: 1986Natur.323..210S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Differential Emission Measure of Transiently Heated Coronal Loops Authors: Antiochos, S. K.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1986BAAS...18..901A Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Book-Review - Physics of the Sun Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1986Sci...232.1654S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Book-Review - Physics of the Sun Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1986S&T....71Q.579S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A flare-induced cascade model of γ-ray bursts Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1986Natur.321...47S Altcode: Although there is no agreement concerning the model and mechanisms responsible for γ-ray bursts, it is generally agreed that they are produced by neutron stars1. With few exceptions2, it is thought that an intense magnetic field plays a key role. The favoured radiation mechanism is optically thin synchrotron radiation3, but it is difficult to find any way of maintaining the electron energy since the radiation cooling time is extremely short. As a resolution of this difficulty, I propose that the basic energy-release mechanism is a flare in the magnetosphere of a neutron star. This involves reconnection that leads to an electric field parallel to the magnetic field. This accelerates an electron along the magnetic field, producing high-energy γ rays (by curvature radiation) that promptly annihilate in the magnetic field, resulting in an electron-positron cascade as in radio pulsars4. This model offers an explanation of the continuum spectrum, of the 511-keV annihilation line, and possibly of the optical radiation that seems to accompany some γ-ray bursts. Title: Evolution of Our Understanding of Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1986BAAS...18..687S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Physics of the Sun. Vol. I: The solar interior. Vol. II: The solar atmosphere. Vol. III: Astrophysics and solar-terrestrial relations. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Holzer, T. E.; Mihalas, D. M.; Ulrich, R. K. Bibcode: 1986psvi.book.....S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Accretion Disk Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Yang, W. Bibcode: 1986IAUS..119..411S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Physics of the sun. Volume 3: Astrophysics and solar-terrestrial relations Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Holzer, T. E.; Mihalas, D. M.; Ulrich, R. K. Bibcode: 1986psun....3.....S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Physics of the sun. Volume 2: The solar atmosphere Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Holzer, T. E.; Mihalas, D. M.; Ulrich, R. K. Bibcode: 1986psun....2.....S Altcode: Aspects related to the solar interior are discussed, taking into account thermonuclear reactions in the solar interior, atomic and radiative processes in the solar interior, hydrodynamic and hydromagnetic phenomena in the deep solar interior, rotation and magnetic fields, solar waves and oscillations, and observations and theories of solar convection, global circulation, and magnetic fields. In a discussion of the solar atmosphere, attention is given to the radiation output, the chromospheric fine structure, physical processes in the solar corona, magnetic energy storage and conversion in the solar atmosphere, the acceleration and propagation of solar flare energetic particles, solar radio emission, and structure, dynamics, and heating of the solar atmosphere. Other subjects explored are concerned with astrophysics and solar-terrestrial relations. The formation of the sun and its planets is considered along with the solar neutrino problem, solar and stellar magnetic activity, the effects of solar electromagnetic radiation on the terrestrial environment, and the effect of the solar wind. Title: Rapid fluctuations in solar flares. Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1986NASCP2449....1S Altcode: 1986rfsf.nasa....1S; 1986STIN...8713387S Study of rapid fluctuations in the emission of radiation from solar flares provides a promising approach for probing the magneto-plasma structure and plasma processes that are responsible for a flare. Fluctuations that occur on a sub-second time-scale may be due to magnetic islands that develop in current sheets during magnetic reconnection. Magnetic field configurations that might produce solar flares are divided into a number of categories, depending on: whether or not there is a filament; whether there is no current sheet, a closed current sheet, or an open current sheet; and whether the filament (if present) erupts into the corona, or is ejected completely from the sun's atmosphere. Analysis of the properties of these possible configurations is compared with different types of flare, and to Bai's subdivision of gamma-ray/proton events. The article ends with a number of theoretical questions related to the study of rapid fluctuations in solar flares. Title: Physics of the sun Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Holzer, T. E.; Mihalas, D. M.; Ulrich, R. K. Bibcode: 1986psun....1.....S Altcode: 1986QB521.P48...... Aspects related to the solar interior are discussed, taking into account thermonuclear reactions in the solar interior, atomic and radiative processes in the solar interior, hydrodynamic and hydromagnetic phenomena in the deep solar interior, rotation and magnetic fields, solar waves and oscillations, and observations and theories of solar convection, global circulation, and magnetic fields. In a discussion of the solar atmosphere, attention is given to the radiation output, the chromospheric fine structure, physical processes in the solar corona, magnetic energy storage and conversion in the solar atmosphere, the acceleration and propagation of solar flare energetic particles, solar radio emission, and structure, dynamics, and heating of the solar atmosphere. Other subjects explored are concerned with astrophysics and solar-terrestrial relations. The formation of the sun and its planets is considered along with the solar neutrino problem, solar and stellar magnetic activity, the effects of solar electromagnetic radiation on the terrestrial environment, and the effect of the solar wind. Title: A Flare-Induced Cascade Model of Gamma-Ray Bursts Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1985BAAS...17..850S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Extragalactic variable radio sources Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1985ApJ...293...52S Altcode: Radio emission from a plasmoid that expands in a nonspherically symmetric manner is analyzed. The properties of this model are compared with the results of Andrews et al. (1978) and Epstein et al. (1982) concerning the values of beta derived for standard (delayed) radio sources. Mechanisms that might produce plasmoids that expand progressively in length while retaining substantially constant cross-sections are briefly discussed. Title: Calculation of Nonlinear Force-Free Magnetic Fields Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Yang, W. Bibcode: 1985BAAS...17..641S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Spicules and surges Authors: Blake, M. L.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1985ApJ...290..359B Altcode: The authors adopt the position that spicules, macrospicules, and surges are manifestations of the same phenomenon occurring on different scales. They search for a mechanism that can be successfully applied to explain the phenomenon on all three scales. It is found that the Pikel'ner model, according to which gas is transported in a sequence of "magnetic sacks" which may, for instance, form as the result of reconnection, can reproduce the kinematic properties of spicules and surges. A modification of this mechanism, involving two different magnetic field configurations, can explain the collimation of spicules and surges. The implications of the Pikel'ner mechanism for the heating of the solar corona are examined. Title: Summary proceedings of the Standford Workshop on Solar Flare Prediction held in Paris on 28 February - 1 March 1985 Authors: Antiochos, S. K.; Bai, T.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1985STIN...8623543A Altcode: A workshop on The Prediction of Solar Activity was held at Meudon Observatory in France in June 1984. During that meeting, a number of participants from the United States expressed interest in meeting together to discuss this topic with a view to exploring what actions might be taken to improve our predictive capability. This document contains abstracts of presentations made at the meeting. Title: Energy Release in Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Kaufmann, P.; Smith, D. F. Bibcode: 1985IAUS..107..293S Altcode: The authors discuss the question how many phases of energy release are involved in flares and what are their characteristics. Title: Obituary - Wilcox, John-Marsh Authors: Walker, A. B. C., Jr.; Helliwell, R. A.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1984QJRAS..25..534W Altcode: 1984QJRAS..25..534. No abstract at ADS Title: Physical aspects of the prediction of solar flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1984STIN...8519915S Altcode: The properties of a solar flare depend critically on the preflare magnetic-field configuration and the way that this configuration evolves during the flare process. The flare process often, if not always, involves the eruption of a filament or similar structure, possibly leading to complete ejection from the Sun. This eruption will generate an extensive current sheet: reconnection of this sheet contributes to the gradual phase and perhaps also to the impulsive phase. It is proposed that reconnection of a current sheet (pre-existing, or generated by filament eruption) is required for a gamma-ray event or a particle event. A particle event requires also an escape mechanism that could be provided either by a pre-existing open current sheet or by the ejection of the magnetic-field configuration associated with a filament. Following these guidelines, it is possible to propose a classification of flares into seven categories and to propose whether or not each category will lead to the following phenomena: mass ejection, shock wave, gamma-ray emission, and particle event. Title: Energy Release in Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Kaufman, P.; Moore, R. L.; Smith, D. F. Bibcode: 1984SoPh...94..341S Altcode: We examine observational evidence concerning energy release in solar flares. We propose that different processes may be operative on four different time scales: (a) on the sub-second time scale of `sub-bursts' which are a prominent feature of mm-wave microwave records; (b) on the few-seconds time scale of `elementary bursts' which are a prominent feature of hard X-ray records; (c) on the few-minutes time scale of the impulsive phase; and (d) on the tens-of-minutes or longer time scale of the gradual phase. Title: Energy Release in Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Kaufmann, P.; Moore, R. L.; Smith, D. F. Bibcode: 1984BAAS...16..890S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Extragalactic radio sources Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1984STIN...8426557S Altcode: The standard model for extragalactic variable radio sources comprises an isotropically expanding plasmoid with frozen magnetic flux and an electron distribution which evolves adiabatically. This model leads to the following relaton between the peak luminosity L nu, m and the relevant frequency num which are functions of time: Lnu,m is proportional to num(n) where N = (7n + 5)/(4n + 5). In this expression, n is the spectral index in the optically thin part of the spectrum, where L nu is proportional to nu (-n). For n in the range 0.5 to 1.5, the standard model yields N in the range 1.2 to 1.4. By contrast, analysis of observational data yields estimates of N in a small range about the mean value 0.4, in clear contradiction with the standard model. Title: Spicules and surges Authors: Blake, M. L.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1984STIN...8516727B Altcode: It is argued that spicules, macrospicules and surges are manifestations of the same phenomenon occurring on different scales. A mechanism that can be successfully applied to explain the phenomenon on all three scales is sought. Title: Progress in the study of homologous flares on the sun - Part II Authors: Woodgate, B. E.; Martres, M. -J.; Smith, J. B., Jr.; Strong, K. T.; McCabe, M. K.; Machado, M. E.; Gaizauskas, V.; Stewart, R. T.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1984AdSpR...4g..11W Altcode: 1984AdSpR...4...11W Studies of groups of homologous flares in active regions in 1980 have been made using a variety of space and ground based instruments. Detailed properties of three of these groups have been studied, and are combined to form a possible sequence of events. Title: Energy release in solar flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Kaufmann, P.; Moore, R. L.; Smith, D. F. Bibcode: 1984ersf.rept.....S Altcode: This document presents observational evidence concerning energy release in solar flares. It is proposed that a different process may be operative on four different time scales: (1) on the sub-second time scale of sub-bursts which are a prominent feature of mm-wave microwave records; (2) on the few-seconds time scale of elementary bursts which are a prominent feature of hard X-ray records; (3) on the few-minutes time scale of the impulsive phase; and (4) on the tens-of-minutes or longer time scale of the gradual phase. It is proposed that the concentration of magnetic field into magnetic knots at the photosphere has important consequences for the coronal magnetic-field structure such that the magnetic field in this region may be viewed as an array of elementary flux tubes. The release of the free energy of one such tube may produce an elementary burst. The development of magnetic islands during this process may be responsible for the sub-bursts. The impulsive phase may be simply the composite effect of many elementary bursts. It is also proposed that the gradual phase of energy release, with which flares typically begin and with which many flares end, involves a steady process of reconnection, whereas the impulsive phase involves a more rapid stochastic process of reconnection which is a consequence of mode interaction. In the case of two-ribbon flares, the late part of the gradual phase may be attributed to reconnection of a large current sheet which is being produced as a result of filament eruption. A similar process may be operative in smaller flares. Title: A Model for Extragalactic Variable Radio Sources Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1983BAAS...15Q.944S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Model of Spicules and Surges Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Blake, M. L. Bibcode: 1983BAAS...15Q.717S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Spicules and surges. Part 1: Examination of two possible models Authors: Blake, M. L.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1983STIN...8330347B Altcode: We adopt the position that spicules, macrospicules and surges are manifestations of the same phenomenon occurring on different scales. We therefore search for a mechanism which can be successfully applied to explain the phenomenon on all three scales. We first consider the possibility that the mechanism is the same as that which operates in producing the solar wind, except that the divergence of the magnetic ducts is much more rapid. We find that the mechanism fails to explain spicules, macrospicules or surges. For instance, if it produces speeds typical of spicules, the maximum height is much too small; if it reproduces the height, the required velocities are much too high. We also consider a variant of this mechanism proposed by Uchida in which the gas pressure is supplemented by the magnetic pressure of a gas composed of plasmoids. This mechanism also fails for similar reasons. Title: Energy release in solar flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Kaufmann, P.; Smith, D. F. Bibcode: 1982ersf.rept.....S Altcode: This report examines observational information concerning various phases of the solar-flare process: (a) Recent evidence strongly suggests that the soft X-ray emission before and after the impulsive phase should be regarded as one process--the gradual phase. (b) Microwave and X-ray data indicate that the impulsive phase is comprised of a large number of similar bursts of energy release. (c) Large flares are usually preceded by filament eruptions, and it is possible tht the same process occurs on a smaller scale for smaller flares. We propose that most flares are initiated by the eruption of a filament. The eruption opens up magnetic field lines to form a large current sheet. This current sheet may persist as a coronal streamer, or it may immediately reconnect. Reconnection of this current sheet is responsible for the gradual phase of a flare. Since magnetic field at the photospheric level is concentrated into small knots of high field strength, the coronal magnetic field may be regarded as an aggregation of small flux tubes, each with an internal current, adjacent tubes being separated by current sheets. The gradual phase of a flare may leave the fine-scale current system undisturbed, in which case the flare has only a gradual phase. Title: Temperature minimum heating in solar flares by resistive dissipation of Alfvén waves Authors: Emslie, A. G.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1982SoPh...80...99E Altcode: We examine the possibility that the strong heating produced at temperature-minimum levels during solar flares is due to resistive dissipation of Alfvén waves generated by the primary energy release process in the corona. It is shown how, for suitable parameters, these waves can carry their energy essentially undamped into the temperature-minimum layers and can then produce a degree of heating consistent with observations. Title: The acceleration and propagation of solar flare energetic particles Authors: Forman, M. A.; Ramaty, R.; Zweibel, E. G.; Holzer, T. E.; Mihalas, D.; Sturrock, P. A.; Ulrich, R. K. Bibcode: 1982STIN...8329162F Altcode: Observations and theories of particle acceleration in solar flares are reviewed. The most direct signatures of particle acceleration in flares are gamma rays, X-rays and radio emissions produced by the energetic particles in the solar atmosphere and energetic particles detected in interplanetary space and in the Earth's atmosphere. The implication of these observations are discussed. Stochastic and shock acceleration as well as acceleration in direct electric fields are considered. Interplanetary particle propagation is discussed and an overview of the highlights of both current and promising future research is presented. Title: Examination of time series through randomly broken windows Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Shoub, E. C. Bibcode: 1982ApJ...256..788S Altcode: The study of many astronomical problems involves a consideration of time series. The present investigation was prompted by a problem related to the determination of normal modes of oscillation of the sun. It is desirable to have an approach for obtaining an estimate of the accuracy with which oscillation modes may be determined when it appears possible to observe the sun over a long interval of time losing some blocks of time because of cloud cover. The present investigation has the objective to develop a model for addressing problems of this type. After presentation of a few general formulae, the problem is considerably simplified by supposing that observations are made over a large number N of equal time intervals, each of length t, so that the total time interval T is given by T = Nt. With certain additional simplifying assumptions, attention is given to the statistical properties of two functions which are representative of 'randomly broken' window functions. Title: Bimodel energy release in solar flares. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Smith, D. F. Bibcode: 1982BAAS...14..608S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Bimodel Energy Release in Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Smith, D. F. Bibcode: 1982BAAS...14..607S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The cooling and condensation of flare coronal plasma Authors: Antiochos, S. K.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1982ApJ...254..343A Altcode: A model is investigated for the decay of flare heated coronal loops in which rapid radiative cooling at the loop base creates strong pressure gradients which, in turn, generate large (supersonic) downward flows. The important features of this model which distinguish it from previous models of flare cooling are: (1) Most of the thermal energy of the coronal plasma may be lost by mass motion rather than by conduction or coronal radiation. (2) Flare loops are not isobaric during their decay phase, and large downward velocities are present near the footpoints. (3) The differential emission measure has a strong temperature dependence. These results can account for recent observations of compact flare loops that are not consistent with the previous cooling models. Title: Temperature minimum heating in solar flares by resistive dissipation of Alfven waves Authors: Emslie, A. G.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1981STIN...8210975E Altcode: The possibility that the strong heating produced at temperature-minimum levels during solar flares is due to resistive dissipation of Alfven waves generated by the primary energy release process in the corona is studied. It is shown how, for suitable parameters, these waves can carry their energy essentially undamped into the temperature-minimum layers and can then produce a degree of heating consistent with observations. Title: Coronal heating by stochastic magnetic pumping Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Uchida, Y. Bibcode: 1981ApJ...246..331S Altcode: Recent observational data cast serious doubt on the widely held view that the sun's corona is heated by traveling waves (acoustic or magnetohydrodynamic). It is here proposed that the energy responsible for heating the corona is derived from the free energy of the coronal magnetic field derived from motion of the 'feet' of magnetic field lines in the photosphere. Stochastic motion of the feet of magnetic field lines leads, on the average, to a linear increase of magnetic free energy with time. This rate of energy input is calculated for a simple model of a single thin flux tube. The model appears to agree well with observational data if the magnetic flux originates in small regions of high magnetic field strength as proposed by Tarbell et al. (1979). On combining this energy input with estimates of energy loss by radiation and of energy redistribution by thermal conduction, scaling laws are obtained for density and temperature in terms of length and coronal magnetic field strength. Title: The cooling and condensation of flare coronal plasma Authors: Antiochos, S. K.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1981STIN...8127029A Altcode: A model is investigated for the decay of flare heated coronal loops in which rapid radiative cooling at the loop base creates strong pressure gradients which, in turn, generate large (supersonic) downward flows. The coronal material cools and 'condenses' onto the flare chromosphere. The features which distinguish this model from previous models of flare cooling are: (1) most of the thermal energy of the coronal plasma may be lost by mass motion rather than by conduction or coronal radiation; (2) flare loops are not isobaric during their decay phase, and large downward velocities are present near the footpoints; (3) the differential emission measure q has a strong temperature dependence. Title: Temperature Minimum Heating in Solar Flares by Resistive Dissipation of Alfvén Waves Authors: Emslie, A. G.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1981BAAS...13R.543E Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Structure of a Force-Free Coronal Loop Authors: Wear, K. A.; Antiochos, S. K.; Emslie, A. G.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1981BAAS...13..542W Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: On the Mechanism of Solar Spicules Authors: Blake, M. L.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1981BAAS...13..914B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Structure of a Force Free Magnetic Flux Tube Authors: Wear, K. A.; Antiochos, S. K.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1981BAAS...13..915W Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Book Review - Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Valnicek, B. Bibcode: 1981SSRv...28..109S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Examination of Time Series Through Randomly Broken Windows Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1980BAAS...12..816S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Coronal heating by stochastic magnetic pumping Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Uchida, Y. Bibcode: 1980chsm.bookR....S Altcode: Recent observational data cast serious doubt on the widely held view that the sun:s corona is heated by traveling waves (acoustic or magnetohydrodynamic). It is here proposed that the energy responsible for heating the corona is derived from the free energy of the coronal magnetic field derived from motion of the :feet: of magnetic field lines in the photosphere. Stochastic motion of the feet of magnetic field lines leads, on the average, to a linear increase of magnetic free energy with time. This rate of energy input is calculated for a simple model of a single thin flux tube. The model appears to agree well with observational data if the magnetic flux originates in small regions of high magnetic field strength as proposed by Tarbell, Title and Schoolman. On combining this energy input with estimates of energy loss by radiation and of energy redistribution by thermal conduction, we obtain scaling laws for density and temperature in terms of length and coronal magnetic field strength. Title: Coronal heating by stochastic magnetic pumping Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Uchida, Y. Bibcode: 1980chsm.bookQ....S Altcode: Recent observational data cast serious doubt on the widely held view that the Sun's corona is heated by traveling waves (acoustic or magnetohydrodynamic). It is proposed that the energy responsible for heating the corona is derived from the free energy of the coronal magnetic field derived from motion of the 'feet' of magnetic field lines in the photosphere. Stochastic motion of the feet of magnetic field lines leads, on the average, to a linear increase of magnetic free energy with time. This rate of energy input is calculated for a simple model of a single thin flux tube. The model appears to agree well with observational data if the magnetic flux originates in small regions of high magnetic field strength. On combining this energy input with estimates of energy loss by radiation and of energy redistribution by thermal conduction, we obtain scaling laws for density and temperature in terms of length and coronal magnetic field strength. Title: Is the galactic corona produced by galactic flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Stern, R. Bibcode: 1980ApJ...238...98S Altcode: The effect of the differential rotation of the disk of the galaxy on magnetic field which penetrates the disk is considered. The magnetic field will be progressively distorted from a potential (current-free) form and will at some stage become unstable. We expect, from knowledge of solar flares, that an MHD instability, a resistive instability, or a combination of the two, will result in the release of the excess magnetic energy, and that part of the released energy will be converted into heat. By estimating the energy release and the rate at which this process will occur and by assuming that this energy input is balanced by radiation, we obtain estimates of the parameters of the resulting plasma. It appears that this process alone can heat a galactic corona to temperatures of order one-million K. Title: Coronal Heating by Stochastic Magnetic Pumping Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Uchida, Y. Bibcode: 1980BAAS...12..516S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: a Sunspot Reriodicity and the Solar Rotation Authors: Knight, J. W.; Sturrock, P. A.; Schatten, K. H. Bibcode: 1980NASCP2098..175K Altcode: 1980sscs.nasa..175K A least squares power spectrum analysis of daily sunspot numbers for the last 122 years yielded a statistically significant peak at 12.0715 plus or minus .002 days period. This feature at 11.685 days (sidereal) of the sunspot spectrum is discussed in relation to the peak at 12.22 days (sidereal) which Dicke found in his oblateness data. The data is attributed to the Sun's core if the core rotates at either 12.0715 days or 24.1430 days period (synodic). It is suggested that spacecraft observations combined with correlative analysis of solar surface features between eastern and western hemispheres could further reveal a basic core periodicity. A Dicke type space oblateness experiment is discussed for providing better photospheric observations than a ground instrument to determine the core periodicity. Title: Book-Review - Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Maran, S. P. Bibcode: 1980ApL....21...80S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Uncertainty in estimates of the number of extraterrestrial civilizations Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1980ASSL...83...59S Altcode: 1980sslu.meet...59S; 1980sslu.conf...59S No abstract at ADS Title: Solar flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1980sfsl.work.....S Altcode: Papers are presented on the current understanding of the physics of solar flares based on Skylab and other observations and theoretical considerations. Specific aspects of the solar flare problem considered include the preflare state, primary energy release, energetic particles, the impulsive phase, the chromosphere and transition region, mass ejections and the thermal X-ray flare plasma. Attention is also given to the various flare models, and the total radiative and mechanical energy outputs of the solar flare of Sept. 5, 1973, are estimated. Title: Flare models Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1980sfsl.work..411S Altcode: 1980sofl.symp..411S The current status of solar flare modeling is reviewed. Primary and secondary observational features that a proposed flare model should be capable of explaining are discussed, including energy storage and release, particle acceleration, mass ejection, heating of the temperature minimum region, X-ray, EUV, UV, visible and radio emission and mass flow. Consideration is then given to the twisted flux tube paramagnetic recombination model of Gold and Hoyle (1960), the current model of Alfven and Carlqvist (1967), closed current-sheet models such as those of Syrovatskii (1966, 1969, 1977) and Uchida and Sakurai (1977), open-field models such as those of Carmichael (1964) and Barnes and Sturrock (1972), the emerging flux model of Heyvaerts and Priest (1974, 1977, 1978) and the loop-flare models of Spicer (1977) and Colgate (1978). It is noted that no one model can yet account for all the observational features, and that there may turn out to be several types of flare, each requiring its own explanation. Title: Positron production by pulsars. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Baker, K. B. Bibcode: 1979ApJ...234..612S Altcode: Analytical calculations based on the 'polar-cap light-cylinder' (PCLC) (Sturrock, 1971a) and 'polar-cap force-balance' (PCFB) (Roberts and Sturrock, 1972,3) pulsar models show that in either case the intensity of the 511 keV gamma-ray line from the galactic center can be explained as the result of the annihilation of positrons produced by pulsars. The Crab pulsar (braking index approximately 2.5) is estimated to have a power budget of 10 to the 38th ergs/s, and to produce a total number of 10 to the 51.7th positrons. It is suggested that positron annihilation can be supplied by pulsars if the birthrate of pulsars in the galactic center is 10 to the -8.2nd/s. Title: Is the Galactic Corona Produced by Galactic Flares? Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Stern, R. Bibcode: 1979BAAS...11..705S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Steady State Condensation of Coronal Flare Plasma Authors: Antiochos, S. K.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1979BAAS...11..697A Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Is the galactic corona produced by galactic flares? Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Stern, R. Bibcode: 1979STIN...7930130S Altcode: The effect of the differential rotation of the disk of the Galaxy on magnetic field which penetrates the disk is considered. The magnetic field will be progressively distorted from a potential (current-free) form and will at some stage become unstable. It is expected that an MHD instability, a resistive instability, or a combination of the two, will result in the release of the excess magnetic energy and that part of the released energy will be converted into heat. By estimating the energy release and the rate at which this process will occur and by assuming that this energy input is balanced by radiation, estimates were obtained of the parameters of the resulting plasma. It appears that this process alone can heat a galactic corona to temperatures of order 10 to the 6th power K. Title: Flare models: Chapter 9 of solar flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1979STIN...7923873S Altcode: By reviewing the properties of solar flares analyzed by each of the seven teams of the Skylab workshop, a set of primary and secondary requirements of flare models are derived. A number of flare models are described briefly and their properties compared with the primary requirements. It appears that, at this time, each flare model has some strong points and some weak points. It has not yet been demonstrated that any one flare model meets all the proposed requirements. Title: Positron production by pulsars Authors: Sturrock, P.; Baker, K. B. Bibcode: 1979STIN...7921986S Altcode: Calculations based on two specific pulsar models show that in either case the 511 keV gamma-ray line from the galactic center can be explained as the as the result of the annihilation of positrons produced by pulsars. Title: A sunspot periodicity and its possible relation to solar rotation. Authors: Knight, J. W.; Schatten, K. H.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1979ApJ...227L.153K Altcode: A least-squares power-spectrum analysis of 122 years of Zurich daily sunspot numbers yields a statistically significant peak at a 12.0715 + or - 0.002 day period. This feature of the sunspot spectrum may be associated with the peak at 12.22 days (sidereal) which Dicke (1976) found in his oblateness data, and may be attributable to the sun's core if it rotates at either a 12.0715-day or a 24.1430-day period (synodic). Title: Impacts of Solar System Environment on Man and Man on the Environment Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1979spp2.conf.1269S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Electric field in pulsar magnetospheres. Authors: Baker, K. B.; Knight, J. W.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1978BAAS...10..730B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Evaporative cooling of flare plasma. Authors: Antiochos, S. K.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1978ApJ...220.1137A Altcode: We investigate a one-dimensional loop model for the evaporative cooling of the coronal flare plasma. The important assumptions are that conductive losses dominate radiative cooling and that the evaporative velocities are small compared with the sound speed. We calculate the profile and evolution of the temperature and verify the accuracy of our assumptions for plasma parameters typical of flare regions. The model is in agreement with soft X-ray observations on the evolution of flare temperatures and emission measures. The effect of evaporation is to greatly reduce the conductive heat flux into the chromosphere and to enhance the EUV emission from the coronal flare plasma. Title: Extraterrestrial Intelligent Life (Correspondence) Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1978QJRAS..19..521S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Reverse current in solar flares. Authors: Knight, J. W.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1977ApJ...218..306K Altcode: We examine the proposal that impulsive X-ray bursts are produced by high-energy electrons streaming from the corona to the chromosphere. It is known that the currents associated with these streams are so high that either the streams do not exist or their current is neutralized by a reverse current. Analysis of a simple model in which the reverse current is stable indicates that the primary electron stream leads to the development of an electric field in the ambient corona which (a) decelerates the primary beam and (b) produces a neutralizing reverse current. It appears that, in some circumstances, this electric field could prevent the primary beam from reaching the chromosphere. In any case, the electric field acts as an energy exchange mechanism, extracting kinetic energy from the primary beam and using it to heat the ambient plasma. This heating is typically so rapid that it must be expected to have important dynamical consequences. Title: Polar Electric Fields of Aligned Magnetized Neutron Stars. Authors: Baker, K. B.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1977BAAS....9..562B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: An Overview of the Energy-Flow Problem in Flares (Concluding Remarks) (Proceedings of the Meeting `How Can Flares be Understood?', held during the 16th General Assembly of the IAU in Grenoble, France, on 27 August, 1976.) Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1977SoPh...53..299S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Particle acceleration in axisymmetric, magnetized neutron stars Authors: Baker, K. B.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1977STIN...7726044B Altcode: The potential drop in the polar cap region of a rotating, magnetized neutron star is found assuming that the magnetic field is dipolar, with the field aligned (or anti-aligned) with the rotation axis. The curvature of the field lines is of critical importance. Charge flow is assumed to be along magnetic field lines. The electric field has a maximum at radius 1.5 R and the magnitude and functional form of the current is determined. Title: Radiation mechanisms and magnetospheric structure of pulsars. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Baker, K. B. Bibcode: 1977NASCP...2...99S Altcode: 1977scgr.nasa...99S; 1977NASCP.002...99S Considerations made in developing a model of pulsars are explored. Observational data seems to support the argument that pulsar magnetospheres may contain large masses of plasma. The cascade process resulting from pair creation enables one to interpret the X-ray emission from the Crab and Vela pulsars as synchrotron radiation. On the other hand, the optical radiation from the Crab pulsar is best understood as coherent curvature radiation. Radio emission is interpreted as curvature radiation produced by charge bunches moving along magnetic-field lines. Certain tests of this model are proposed. Title: Force free magnetic fields and solar activity Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Barnes, C. W. Bibcode: 1976suiprrept.....S Altcode: This study, aimed at the prediction of solar flares, centers on devising methods for calculating magnetic field structures in the solar atmosphere. Force-free fields comprise an important class of magnetic-field structures which may be calculated by relaxation techniques. Models under active consideration involve spherical boundary surfaces and cylindrical symmetry. Study of the energy of such field configurations indicates that, for sufficiently large shear, force-free fields will be unstable against perturbations leading to eruption. The condition for this instability and the mechanism of instability have been investigated. The studies are related to erupting prominences and coronal transients, as well as solar flares. Title: Reverse current in solar flares Authors: Knight, J. W.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1976rcsf.rept.....K Altcode: The theory that impulsive X ray bursts are produced by high energy electrons streaming from the corona to the chromosphere is investigated. Currents associated with these streams are so high that either the streams do not exist or their current is neutralized by a reverse current. Analysis of a simple model indicates that the primary electron stream leads to the development of an electric field in the ambient corona which decelerates the primary beam and produces a neutralizing reverse current. It appears that, in some circumstances, this electric field could prevent the primary beam from reaching the chromosphere. In any case, the electric field acts as an energy exchange mechanism, extracting kinetic energy from the primary beam and using it to heat the ambient plasma. This heating is typically so rapid that it must be expected to have important dynamical consequences. Title: Solar activity geomagnetic field and terrestrial weather Authors: Knight, J. W.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1976Natur.264..239K Altcode: IT has long been known that geomagnetic disturbances tend to recur after ~27 d (refs 1-4). More recently, this effect has been associated with the rotation of the interplanetary magnetic field5-8, and some evidence for a relation between the interplanetary magnetic field and terrestrial weather has also been found9,10. The interplanetary magnetic field is usually characterised by either two or four sectors, and this pattern rotates with a fairly well defined period of ~27.1+/-0.1 d (ref. 7). Such a periodicity leads naturally to the use of spectral analysis as an independent test of the reported association between the interplanetary magnetic field structure and terrestrial weather. We have obtained data on the geomagnetic activity index Ap for the 1964-70 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the vorticity area index used by Wilcox and his colleagues in their analysis9 for the same interval. We wish to form spectra of both time series and examine the spectra for common features which may be associated with solar related phenomena. Specifically we look for peaks in the power spectra of both time series with periods near 27.1 d. Title: Solar flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1976NatH...85...71S Altcode: The study of solar flares is reviewed, and attention is drawn to: prediction of flares and their properties, effects exerted by flares on the earth, and possible astrophysical implications of flare studies. Emission of X-rays by the corona and by flares, UV emission, and production of hydrogen-alpha (red) light and gamma rays by flares and associations with solar layers are reviewed. Prediction of the time and circumstances of occurrence of flares, and associated magnetic field and other properties, is acknowledged as a crucial goal of flare research. The effect of solar flares on aurorae and on the geomagnetic field, on radio transmission and radar performance, and on power distribution networks is pointed out. A possible analogy between flares and phenomena associated with quasars and explosions in galaxies is ventured. Title: Evaporative cooling of flare plasma Authors: Antiochos, S. K.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1976STIN...7714971A Altcode: A one-dimensional loop model for the evaporative cooling of the coronal flare plasma was investigated. Conductive losses dominated radiative cooling, and the evaporative velocities were small compared to the sound speed. The profile and evolution of the temperature were calculated. The model was in agreement with soft X-ray observations on the evolution of flare temperatures and emission measures. The effect of evaporation was to greatly reduce the conductive heat flux into the chromosphere and to enhance the EUV emission from the coronal flare plasma. Title: An Evaporative Model of Flare Loops. Authors: Antiochos, S. K.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1976BAAS....8R.555A Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Reverse Current in Solar Flares. Authors: Knight, J. W.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1976BAAS....8..495K Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Influence of magnetic field structure on the conduction cooling of flare loops. Authors: Antiochos, S. K.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1976SoPh...49..359A Altcode: A simple model facilitates calculation of the influence of magnetic field configuration on the conduction cooling rate of a hot post-flare coronal plasma. The magnetic field is taken to be that produced by a line dipole or point dipole at an arbitrary depth below the chromosphere. For the high temperatures (T ≳ 107 K) produced by flares, the plasma may remain static and isobaric. The influence of the field is such as to increase the heat flux (per unit area) into the chromosphere, but to decrease the total conduction cooling of the flare plasma. This leads to a significant enhancement of the total energy radiated by the flare plasma. Title: Pulsar extinction. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Baker, K.; Turk, J. S. Bibcode: 1976ApJ...206..273S Altcode: The radiation properties of pulsars are reinvestigated in the context of the 'PCFB' model, according to which the radiation originates at the polar caps and the magnetic-field lines change from a closed to an open configuration at the 'force-balance' or 'corotation' radius. Major attention is given to the condition for electron-positron pair creation, which leads, in turn, to an extinction condition whereby any pulsar will cease to be a radio emitter after its period has increased beyond a certain value. This extinction condition is derived on the basis of a model where the magnetic field is the same as that of a point dipole located at the center of the star; effects of dipole distortion are also considered. A comparison of the results with observational data shows that most pulsars satisfy or nearly satisfy the pair-creation condition for undistorted dipoles and seem to satisfy the extinction condition. It is noted that pulsars which should be extinguished according to the undistorted-dipole model need not be if the magnetic field is sufficiently distorted at the polar caps. Title: The relevance of solar flares to astrophysics. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Knight, J. W. Bibcode: 1976SoPh...47..401S Altcode: The physical mechanisms associated with solar flares are reviewed. The relevance of flare mechanisms to other astrophysical phenomena is discussed. In this context, specific models of quasars and radio galaxies, Sco X-1 and gamma-ray bursts are examined. Title: Report on the solar physics - plasma physics workshop. held at Stanford University, 17 - 20 September 1974. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Baum, P. J.; Beckers, J. M.; Newman, C. E.; Priest, E. R.; Rosenberg, H.; Smith, D. F.; Wentzel, D. G. Bibcode: 1976SoPh...46..411S Altcode: This report summarizes the proceedings of a meeting held on 17-20 September 1974, at Stanford University. The purpose was to explore plasma physics problems which arise in the study of solar physics. Sessions were concerned with specific questions including the following: Is the solar plasma thermal or non-thermal? What spectroscopic data are required? What types of magnetic field structures exist? Do MHD instabilities occur? Do resistive or non-MHD instabilities occur? What mechanisms of particle acceleration have been proposed? What information do we have concerning shock waves? Very few questions were answered categorically but, for each question, there was discussion concerning the observational evidence, theoretical analyses, and existing or potential laboratory and numerical experiments. Title: Magnetic Models of Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1976saop.book..163S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Magnetic models of solar flares. Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1976npsa.conf..144S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The distribution of redshifts of quasars and related objects. Authors: Knight, J. W.; Sturrock, P. A.; Switzer, P. Bibcode: 1976ApJ...203..286K Altcode: A statistical analysis of some 386 redshifts is conducted together with a numerical simulation of 100 sets of synthetic redshifts to evaluate the possibility that a short-wavelength periodic modulation may be present in the redshift distribution of quasars and related compact objects. A previous analysis by Burbidge and O'Dell (1972) is reviewed, and the inclusion of absorption redshifts in the data set is discussed. The results of the present analysis are found not to support claims for the presence of periodic modulations in redshift distribution. Title: A model of coronal holes. Authors: Adams, W. M.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1975ApJ...202..259A Altcode: It has been noted that coronal holes appear to be associated with regions of diverging magnetic field in the corona. We set out to test the hypothesis that coronal holes may be caused by an increased flow of energy into the solar wind resulting directly from this diverging magnetic field pattern. Simple models were devised to approximate the energy flow down into the transition region and up into the solar wind as a function of the temperature, density, and rate of field line divergence in the corona. By assuming the rate of mechanical energy influx into the corona to be constant, it was then possible to solve numerically for the coronal temperature and density as a function of the rate of field line divergence. The results of these calculations demonstrate that a diverging field pattern can, indeed, bring about reductions in the temperature and density at the base of the corona comparable to those observed in coronal holes. Title: Clusters in the distribution of pulsars in period, pulse-width, and age Authors: Baker, K. B.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1975STIN...7610939B Altcode: The question of whether pulsars form a single group or whether pulsars come in two or more different groups is discussed. It is proposed that such groups might be related to several factors such as the initial creation of the neutron star, or the orientation of the magnetic field axis with the spin axis. Various statistical models are examined. Title: The solar atmosphere and the structure of active regions Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1975suiprreptQ....S Altcode: Numerical analyses of solar activities are presented. The effect of these activities on aircraft and weather conditions was studied. Topics considered are: (1) solar flares; (2) solar X-rays; and (3) solar magnetic fields (charts are shown). Title: Force free magnetic fields and solar activity Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Barnes, C. W. Bibcode: 1975STIN...7621113S Altcode: This report, aimed at the prediction of solar flares, centers on devising methods for calculating magnetic field structures in the solar atmosphere. Force-free fields comprise an important class of magnetic-field structures which may be calculated by relaxation techniques. Models of force-free fields with cylindrical symmetry, based on a spherical boundary surface, were calculated. Evaluation of the energy of such structures provides information about the eruption of closed-field patterns to form open current sheets which can then lead to solar flares. Title: Stanford Workshop on Extraterrestrial civilization Opening a new Scientific Dialog Authors: Carlson, J. B.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1975OrLi....6..459C Altcode: A workshop, held at Stanford University on August 29 and 30, 1974, brought together two groups of scientists interested in extraterrestrial civilization (ETC). Group A is comprised of scientists studying the problem theoretically in terms of physical, astronomical and biological knowledge, and those considering searching for extraterrestrial radio signals which might provide evidence for ETC. Group B comprises scientists pursuing the UFO problem their activities comprise analysis of soft evidence such as eye-witness reports, and of hard evidence such as photographs. Discussion at the Workshop centered on the following topics: the existence of ETC; interstellar travel; interstellar communication; human contact with ETC; UFO evidence; evaluation of the UFO phenomenon; and assessment of our ignorance. It was generally agreed that radio search for ETC is a promising endeavor. Althought it was agreed that study of the UFO problem is a justifiable pursuit, members of Group A chose to remain skeptical in the absence of unimpeachable evidence concerning the nature of the phenomenon. Title: Pulsar extinction. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Baker, K.; Turk, J. S. Bibcode: 1975puex.book.....S Altcode: 1975STIN...7529969S Radio emission from pulsars, attributed to an instability associated with the creation of electron-positron pairs from gamma rays was investigated. The condition for pair creation therefore lead to an extinction condition. The relevant physical processes were analyzed in the context of a mathematical model, according to which radiation originated at the polar caps and magnetic field lines changed from a closed configuration to an open configuration at the force balance or corotation radius. Title: Calculation of Solar Force Free Magnetic Field Structures. Authors: Barnes, C. W.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1975BAAS....7R.459B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Solar Activity, Geomagnetic Field and Terrestrial Weather. Authors: Knight, J. W.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1975BAAS....7..474K Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Clusters in the Distribution of Pulsars in Period, Pulse Width and Age Authors: Baker, K. B.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1975BAAS....7R.455B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Thermal Instability in Loop Prominence Systems Authors: Antiochos, S. K.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1975BAAS....7..472A Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Reply to Billings Concerning `Two-fluid Model of the Solar Corona' Authors: Knight, J. W.; Newman, C. E.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1975SoPh...41..371K Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Search for correlation between geomagnetic disturbances and mortality Authors: Lipa, B. J.; Barnes, C. W.; Sturrock, P. A.; Feinleib, M.; Rogot, E. Bibcode: 1975STIN...7520189L Altcode: Statistical evaluation of death rates in the U.S.A. from heart diseases or stroke did not show any correlation with measured geomagnetic pulsations and thus do not support a claimed relationship between geomagnetic activity and mortality rates to low frequency fluctuations of the earth's magnetic field. Title: A Model of Coronal Holes Authors: Adams, W. M.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1975BAAS....7..358A Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Optical radiation from the Crab pulsar. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Petrosian, V.; Turk, J. S. Bibcode: 1975ApJ...196...73S Altcode: Possible mechanisms for producing the optical radiation from the Crab pulsar are proposed and discussed. There are severe difficulties in interpreting the radiation as being produced by an incoherent process, whether it be synchrotron radiation, inverse-Compton radiation, or curvature radiation. It is proposed, therefore, that radiation in the optical part of the spectrum is coherent. In the polar cap model, a small bunch of electrons and positrons forms near each primary electron as a result of the pair-production cascade process. Turbulent electric field components associated with large-scale bunching may lead to separation of the electrons and positrons in space and in energy, with the result that coherent radiation may be produced by the electrons, the positrons, or both. Calculations, which involve a number of simplifying assumptions, indicate that the optical radiation from the Crab pulsar can be understood in this way if the mass of the star is approximately 0.3 solar mass. Various consequences of this model, which may be subjected to observational test, are discussed. Title: Centrifugal instability of the jovian magnetosphere and its interaction with the solar wind Authors: Michel, F. C.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1974P&SS...22.1501M Altcode: The outer regions ( r > 2.3 Rj; Rj = radius of Jupiter) of the magnetosphere of Jupiter will systematically accumulate plasma. If sufficient plasma accumulates, the field lines must open to allow the plasma to escape. Available energy sources appear able to supply plasma at a high enough rate to keep the field lines constantly open beyond about 60 RJ. We suggest that the solar wind interaction with Jupiter may be essentially different from that with the Earth, with the Jovian magnetosphere opening up to form a planetary wind. Title: Plasma Turbulence. (Book Reviews: Plasma Astrophysics) Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1974Sci...186..626S Altcode: 1974Sci...186..626K No abstract at ADS Title: Spectral Analysis of the Distribution of Quasar Redshifts. Authors: Knight, J. W.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1974BAAS....6..449K Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Two-Fluid Model of the Solar Corona Authors: Knight, J. W.; Newman, C. E.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1974SoPh...37..183K Altcode: A simple model of the lower corona which allows for a possible difference in the electron and proton temperatures is analyzed. With the introduction of a phenomenological heating term, temperature and density profiles are calculated for several different cases. It is found that, under certain circumstances, the electron and proton temperatures may differ significantly. Title: Optical Radiation from the Crab Pulsar Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Petrosian, V.; Turk, J. S. Bibcode: 1974BAAS....6Q.272S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Division of Solar Physics: 1974. Annual report of AAS Division. Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1974BAAS....6..494S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Model of coronal holes. Authors: Adams, W. M.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1974mch..book.....A Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Particle Acceleration in Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1974IAUS...57..437S Altcode: A review of observational data supports the proposal that there are two distinct phases of particle acceleration in solar flares. 'Phase 1' is associated with the flash phase and is here interpreted as acceleration during field-line reconnection. 'Phase 2' is associated with type II and type IV radio bursts, and is ascribed to stochastic acceleration in the turbulent plasma behind a magnetohydrodynamic shock formed ahead of an ejected plasmoid. Title: Solar physics. Plasma physics workshop. Authors: Baum, P. J.; Beckers, J. M.; Newman, C. E.; Priest, E. R.; Rosenberg, H.; Smith, D. F.; Sturrock, P. A.; Wentzel, D. G. Bibcode: 1974sppp.book.....B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Do Pulsars Turn Off? Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1973BAAS....5..426S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Test for Planetary Influences on Solar Activity Authors: Dingle, L. A.; Van Hoven, G.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1973SoPh...31..243D Altcode: A method due to Schuster is used to test the hypothesis that solar activity is influenced by tides raised in the Sun's atmosphere by planets. We calculate the distribution in longtitude of over 1000 flares occurring in a 61/2 yr segment of solar cycle 19, referring the longitude system in turn to the orbital positions of Jupiter and Venus. The resulting distributions show no evidence for a tidal effect. Title: Evaluation of Astrophysical Hypotheses Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1973ApJ...182..569S Altcode: The aim of this article is to set out a bookkeeping procedure for formalizing the process of assessing a hypothesis by comparison of conclusions drawn theoretically from this hypothesis with facts obtained by reduction of observational data. The formalism used is that of probability theory. A key role is played by Bayes's rule representing the inductive process of adjusting a degree of belief in response to new information. The following model is used. Between observation and theory is an "interface" which comprises a number of independent items. Each item comprises a set of mutually exclusive statements. Probabilities assigned to statements of an item by reduction of observational data comprise a "fact." Probabilities assigned to statements of an item by theoretical analysis of a considered hypothesis represent a "conclusion" drawn from that hypothesis. Each fact should be free from theoretical bias and each conclusion free from observational bias. The model requires that one consider a complete set of mutually exclusive hypotheses. Where this cannot be done explicitly, it may be achieved by the introduction of a "null hypothesis or "ignorance hypothesis." "Conclusions" drawn from this hypothesis are chosen to be maximally noncommittal. Formulae are derived which show (a) how the probability of each hypothesis should be adjusted in response to information concerning one item, and (b) how such estimates concerning more than one item may be combined. The procedure is illustrated by a "work sheet" showing how a few facts and conclusions concerning pulsars were combined to appraise the neutron-star and whitedwarf hypotheses. Subject headings: neutron stars - pulsars - white dwarf stars Title: Unexplained Phenomena. (Book Reviews: UFO's--A Scientific Debate. An AAAS symposium, Boston, Dec. 1969) Authors: Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1973Sci...180..593S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Pulsar Magnetospheres, Braking Index, Polar Caps, and PERIOD-PULSE-W1DTH Distribution Authors: Roberts, D. H.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1973ApJ...181..161R Altcode: Recent studies indicate that pulsar magnetospheres may contain nonrelativistic material in amounts sufficient to alter drastically the magnetic-field configuration. The most important change in the magnetosphere is to move the boundary between open and closed field lines from the light cylinder into a region located at r RFB. The "force-balance radius" RFB is the radius at which the centrifugal and gravitational forces cancel, and is always much less than the radius of the light cylinder. We have constructed approximate models for the magnetic field structure, considering in detail the aligned and orthogonal cases. If the magnetic field is initially closed (out to the light cylinder), gas will collect where there is "microscopic stability." Such locations exist for r > RF3. Most of this region is "macroscopically unstable" since, when sufficient gas is collected, the centrifugal force overcomes the magnetic stress and converts close field lines into open field lines. However, there is a small region near r = RFB, both microscopically and macroscopically stable, where gas can collect and remain. Such a magnetospheric structure leads to a braking index n = 7/3, in good agreement with the observed braking index of the Crab pulsar. We calculate the polar-cap boundaries, and the resulting period-pulse-width distribution agrees well with observational data. It is suggested that the accumulation of gas and the occurrence of instabijities can explain the timing irregularities ("noise") and glitches observed in the Crab pulsar. Subject headings: Crab Nebula - gas dynamics - magnetic fields - pulsars - radio radiation Title: Test for Planetary Influence on Solar Activity Authors: Dingle, L. A.; van Hoven, G.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1973BAAS....5Q.271D Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Mass Flow in Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1973BAAS....5U.280S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Model for Impulsive Solar X-Ray Bursts Authors: Petrosian, Vahé; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1973BAAS....5Q.278P Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Solar Flare Theory Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1973str..conf...63S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Storage and Release of Non-Thermal Energy in the Sun's Atmosphere Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1973str..conf..275S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Mass Motion in Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1973NASSP.342....3S Altcode: 1973heps.conf....3S No abstract at ADS Title: Magnetosphere Structure and Radiation Methanisms of Pulsars Authors: Roberts, D. H.; Sturrock, P. A.; Turk, S. J. Bibcode: 1973NYASA.224..206R Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Activity in Galaxies and Quasars Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Barnes, C. Bibcode: 1972ApJ...176...31S Altcode: Activity in galaxies and quasars is interpreted in terms of plasma processes occurring in the magnetosphere of a certain magnetoid model. This magnetoid comprises a core and an annulus rotating about a common axis with different angular velocities. The magnetic field linking the core to the annulus may begin in an initial current-free state but will be distorted along a sequence of force-free configurations. After a finite differential rotation, the force-free configuration has higher energy than a corresponding open-field configuration. It is conjectured that the transition from the closed configuration to an open configuration will be effected by an MHD "eruptive" instability, and that such eruptions lead to high- velocity clouds of cool gas identified with clouds producing absorption lines in quasars. The open magnetic-field configuration necessarily contains current sheets. The magnetic free energy of these current sheets may be released explosively by the flare mechanism. The ejection of radio clouds from galaxies and quasars is attributed to "galactic flares." Current sheets contain mildly relativistic electrons moving in directions partially transverse to the magnetic field. Synchrotron radiation from these electrons is held to be responsible for the nonthermal radiation from quasars and certain galaxies. It is proposed that minor instabilities of the current sheets are responsible for fluctuations in the nonthermal luminosity and for small-scale radio bursts sometimes observed in galaxies and quasars Title: Force-Free Magnetic-Field Structures and their Role in Solar Activity Authors: Barnes, C. W.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1972BAAS....4Q.377B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Force-Free Magnetic-Field Structures and Their Role in Solar Activity Authors: Barnes, C. W.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1972ApJ...174..659B Altcode: Magnetic-field structures in solar active regions are expected to be substantially force-free. A method is proposed for calculating such structures by numencal methods. The method is applied to the study of the magnetic-field pattern associated with a sunspot of one polarity surrounded by a magnetic region of opposite polarity when the sunspot rotates with respect to the surrounding region. Rotation introduces a toroidal component of magnetic field, and the associated pressure leads to inflation of the magnetic-field pattern. If the differential rotation exceeds about 1S0 , the force-free magnetic field has energy greater than that of an open magnetic-field configuration with the same photospheric boundary conditions. It is concluded that, beyond this point, the force-free field structure is metastable and can be converted into an open field structure by an explosive MHD instability. The resulting field pattern is then of the form previously proposed as the site of high-energy solar flares. Title: Pulsar magnetospheres, braking index, polar caps and period-pulse-width distribution. Authors: Roberts, D. H.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1972BAAS....4S.414R Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Structure of Pulsar Magnetospheres. Authors: Roberts, D. H.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1972ApJ...173L..33R Altcode: Currents drawn from the neutron-star surface may lead to surface heating and hence to evaporation. Substantial accumulation of evaporated gas can occur only in the "force balance" regions where gravitational and centrifugal forces balance. It is argued that the Y-type neutral points, separating closed and open field lines, must be at the same location. For this model, the braking index n = 7/3 and the expected period-pulse-width distribution and period-age distribution agree well with observational data. A glitch is interpreted as an instability leading to the election and/or dumping of accumulated gas. Title: A Classification of Magnetic Field Configurations Associated with Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1972SoPh...23..438S Altcode: On the assumption that solar flares are due to instabilities which occur in current sheets in the Sun's atmosphere, one may classify magnetic-field configurations associated with flares into two types. One is characterized by `closed' current sheets, magnetic-field lines adjacent to these sheets beginning and ending at the Sun's surface. The other is characterized by `open' current sheets, magnetic-field lines adjacent to these sheets beginning at the Sun's surface but extending out into interplanetary space. Flares associated with open current sheets can produce Type III radio bursts and high-energy-particle events, but flares associated with closed current sheets cannot. The flare of July 6, 1966 apparently consisted of one flare of each type. Title: The Braking Index and Period-Pulse Distribution of Pulsars. Authors: Roberts, D. H.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1972ApJ...172..435R Altcode: The braking index n and the period-pulse-width distribution of pulsars are reinvestigated by relaxing the conventional assumption that Ry = RL, where Ry is the radius of the neutral points marking the transition from closed to open field lines, and RL is the radius of the "light cylinder." This assumption is replaced by the relation Ry = R' flRL", where R is the radius of the neutron star. It is found that a good fit to the period-pulse-width distribution can be obtained for in the range 0.5 < ,; < 0.7. The relation n = I + 2 then gives n = 2 2 + 0 2 which is in good agreement with values measured for the Crab pulsar. This model implies that one or two pulsars should show an interpulse, in agreement with observation (two). This model leads to new estimates of the surface magnetic field strength B of pulsars, giving B = 10112 gauss for the Crab pulsar, and indicates that pulsar magnetospheres are subject to irregular changes associated with irregularities in period. Title: Activity in Galaxies and Quasars. Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1972BAAS....4..232S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Periodicity in the Radiofrequency Spectrum of the Pulsar CP 0328 Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Antiochos, S.; Switzer, P.; Vallée, J. Bibcode: 1972ApJ...171L..27S Altcode: Long-term averaging of a sequence of wide-band radiofrequency spectra of CP 0328 reveals a periodicity not apparent in the original spectra. This may be caused by a mechanism intrinsic to the source, or by a propagation mechanism distinct from ordinary scintillation. Title: Magnetic Models of Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1972PrAA...30..163S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: On the Possibility of Pulsar Action in Quasars Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1971ApJ...170...85S Altcode: A recently proposed theory of pulsars is taken as a basis for evaluating Morrison's proposal that quasars may be giant pulsars. It is found that an object with mass 10 g, radius 10 0cm, and magnetic field strength 10 gauss (Morrison's parameters) would not exhibit pulsar activity but would he an intense source of -rays with luminosity exceeding 10 ergs 5-1 Pulsar activity would occur if the field strength were 101.7 gauss or more, but the lifetime would be only 101 1 years. Most of the power (>1011 ergs ) would be emitted as -rays. One must conclude, on the basis of this theory, that quasars are probably not giant pulsars There seems to be a much stronger similarity between quasars and the X-ray source Sco X-1 than between quasars and pulsars. Title: The Period-Age Distribution of Pulsars Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1971ApJ...169L...7S Altcode: A recently proposed model of pulsars leads to a constraint on the values of period T and "age" r [= T(dT/dt)-1] of radio-emitting neutron stars and a similar constraint for optically emitting neutron stars. These constraints compare satisfactorily with available data. Title: Model of Pulsar Magnetospheres. Authors: Roberts, D. H.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1971BAAS....3R.463R Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Maximum Temperatures for Radiation from Plasma Waves Authors: Smith, D. F.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1971Ap&SS..12..411S Altcode: We derive upper limits to the radiation temperaturesT t(k) for emission near the fundamental and second harmonic of the electron plasma frequency in terms of the effective temperature for plasma wavesT l(k'). We findT t(k)≲(c/(3)1/2 V e)3 T l(k') for emission near the fundamental which differs from the result of Melrose (1970b) by the factor in parentheses. This factor can exceed 4×104 in some plasmas. The conditions under which this limit could be reached are delinated. For emission near the second harmonicT t(k)≤T l(k') since the absorption coefficient in this case can only be positive. Title: Longitude Distribution of Solar Flares Authors: Fung, P. C. W.; Sturrock, P. A.; Switzer, P.; Van Hoven, G. Bibcode: 1971SoPh...18...90F Altcode: Statistical tests, based on the maximum-likelihood method, have been performed on flare series extending over several years. If all flares in each plage region are taken into account, a rich spectrum is obtained. If one carries out similar analysis of a `reduced' flare series, which includes at most one flare from each plage region, the spectrum is almost devoid of structure, and what structure does remain is not statistically significant. The inference is that solar activity does not display genuine rigid-rotation modulation, but that repeated events from individual centers of activity yield modulation which may be mistaken for rigid-rotation modulation. Title: A Model of Pulsars Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1971ApJ...164..529S Altcode: The model comprises a rotating neutron star (R 106 cm) with a strong magnetic field (B 1012 gauss). Magnetic-field lines which reach the light cylinder are open field lines which connect to the surface of the star at the "polar caps." Each polar cap contains two zones, an electron polar zone (EPZ) and a proton polar zone (PPZ) from which electrons and protons, respectively, stream from the star. Acceleration of each stream is effected close to the surface of the star. Primary electrons in the EPZ follow magnetic-field lines; this acceleration leads to -radiation. It is found that, if the period T is less than 1 sec, these -rays annihilate to produce electron-positron pairs. Steady flow is then impossible, but flow comprising a sequence of charge sheets seems possible. These charge sheets produce radio emission. This may explain why most pulsars have periods shorter than 1 sec. If the sheets are thin, the spectrum varies as -5/3 and provides a good fit to the luminosity spectrum of CP 1919. If the sheet has a rectangular current distribution, the spectrum varies as p '1/3 and provides a good fit to the radio luminosity spectrum of the Crab pulsar. In each EPZ of the Crab pulsar, -ray emission and pair creation combine in a cascade. The resulting flux of electrons and positrons from the star is of order 1041 . The secondary electrons and positrons radiate by the synchrotron mechanism to yield a -1I2 spectrum, but the radiation is self-absorbed in the X-ray part of the spectrum and cannot explain the optical radiation from the Crab pulsar. The Crab pulsar spins rapidly enough for pair production to occur at the PPZs also, apparently out to several times R. In consequence, synchrotron radiation from the electron-positron flux is self-absorbed at much lower frequencies. It seems that the optical and X-ray radiation from the Crab pulsar can be understood quantitatively in this way. The optical, X-ray, and -ray flux expected from this model of the Crab pulsar can be reconciled with observation if the rotation axis, dipole axis, and line of sight are so related that we receive radiation from both PPZs but no radiation from the EPZs. Title: Longitude distribution of solar flares. Authors: Fung, P. C. W.; Sturrock, P. A.; Switzer, P.; van Hoven, G. Bibcode: 1971SUIPR.393.....F Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Particle Flux Associated with Stochastic Processes Authors: Newman, C. E.; Sturrock, P. A.; Tademaru, E. Bibcode: 1971Ap&SS..10..102N Altcode: The Lagrange expansion, which may be used to derive the Fokker-Planck equation, is here used to derive the corresponding expression for the flux of particles subject to a stochastic scattering process. The coefficients which occur in this expression are, in general, not the same as the coefficients which occur in the Fokker-Planck equation itself. In the special case that the particle distribution involves only one independent variable, the particle flux is determined by the familiar Fokker-Planck coefficients. Evaluation of particle flux is of special interest in the study of stochastic acceleration. Title: Possible High-frequency Modulation of Light from the Crab Pulsar Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1971Natur.229..186S Altcode: ONE of us (P. A. S.) has recently proposed a model of pulsars, the properties of which were compared with the known radio, optical and X-ray emission from the Crab pulsar1. We now wish to point out that the model predicts a high-frequency modulation of the optical, X-ray and γ-ray radiation which might be detected in the optical part of the spectrum. Title: The period-age distribution of pulsars. Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1971SUIPR.427.....S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Model of Pulsars. Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1970BAAS....2Q.348S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Pulsar Radiation Mechanisms Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1970Natur.227..465S Altcode: Gamma rays produced by electrons accelerated in the strong magnetic fields of neutron stars annihilate to electron-positron pairs. This leads to a two-stream situation, which results in bunching and coherent radio emission. Title: Possible Radiation Mechanisms for Pulsars Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1970BAAS....2Q.221S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Model for Extragalactic Radio Sources Authors: Mills, David M.; Sturrock, Peter A. Bibcode: 1970BAAS....2S.209M Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: On the Possibility of Accretion by Quasi-Stellar Sources Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1970ApJ...159L.139S Altcode: An estimate of the rate of accretion by a QSO depends upon the hypotheses on which the calculation is based. Title: A Model of Extragalactic Radio Sources Authors: Mills, D. M.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1970ApL.....5..105M Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Theoretical study of nonthermal phenomena of astrophysics. Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1970tsnp.book.....S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Jet of M87 as a Galactic Flare Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1969BAAS....1T.262S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Statistical Analysis of Flare Events and its Implications Concerning the Sun's Internal Rotation Authors: van Hoven, Gerard; Sturrock, P. A.; Switzer, Paul Bibcode: 1969BAAS....1R.294V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Mechanism for Pulsar Radio Emission Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Moore, R. L. Bibcode: 1969BAAS....1T.206S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Model of Quasi-stellar Radio Sources Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1969tsra.conf..147S Altcode: 1969qhea.conf..147S No abstract at ADS Title: Explosions in galaxies and quasars Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1969pia..conf..297S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Proceedings of the Conference on Seyfert Galaxies and Related Objects: 43: A Mechanism for Quasar Continuum Radiation and its Possible Application to Seyfert Nuclei Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Feldman, P. A. Bibcode: 1968AJ.....73..910S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Magnetic-Field Structure Associated with Coronal Streamers Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Smith, Sheldon M. Bibcode: 1968SoPh....5...87S Altcode: An interesting coronal structure was observed during the solar eclipse of May 30, 1965. This comprised a series of bright arches centered approximately on a quiescent prominence. A bright ray originated near the top of one of the arches and pointed almost radially away from the photosphere. The ray could be followed for 1.5 solar radii and was deflected towards a direction parallel to the equatorial plane. Title: A Mechanism for Continuum Radiation from Quasi-Stellar Radio Sources with Application to 3c 273B Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Feldman, P. A. Bibcode: 1968ApJ...152L..39S Altcode: This mechanism requires a quasi-stellar radio source (QSO) model in which the central object is magnetically coupled to intergalactic space. Intergalactic plasma is accreted and flows inward, attaining supersonic speeds. The kinetic energy of this gas is converted to (relativistic) electron thermal energy at a collision-free shock front. The electron energy is rapidly radiated by the synchrotron process. The quasi-stellar radio source 3C 273B is discussed quantitatively, and it is shown that the physical character- istics of the line-emission region and of the meter-wave radio region are consistent with those proposed for the continuum-emission region Title: Two-Fluid Model of the Solar Wind Authors: Hartle, R. E.; Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1968ApJ...151.1155H Altcode: This theoretical study of the solar wind takes account of the fact that the collisional energy-exchange rate between electrons and protons is sufficiently slow that the electrons and protons can have quite dif- ferent temperatures. The basic equations comprise a continuity equation, an equation of motion, and two heat equations, one for each species-electrons and protons. Each heat equation takes account of thermal conductivity in that species and energy exchange with the other species. In order to determine the region of applicability of these fluid-type equations, the electron-electron, and proton-proton energy/ momentum relaxation rates are compared with the local expansion rate. These comparisons indicate that, for the model investigated, the use of fluid equations is justifiable out to about 1O~ Ro. The conditions imposed on the solution of these coupled equations are that the electron (or proton) density and the electron and proton temperatures should have specified values at the "base" (inner boundary) of the model, that there should be a subsonic-supersonic flow transition, and that the electron and proton temperatures should tend to zero as the heliocentric radius tends to infinity. The effects of solar rotation, viscosity, non-thermal heat sources (e.g., wave dissipation), and magnetic field are neglect- ed, and the flow pattern is required to be steady and spherically symmetrical These requirements appear to determine the model uniquely. The equations are solved numerically using iterative procedures It is found that a good fit to the Blackwell model of the electron density of the outer corona is ob- tained, over the range 2-20 Ro, for the following choice of number density n (electrons or protons), electron temperature Te, and proton temperature T~ at the base, the radius of which is taken to be Ro: no = 3 X 1O~ cm3, T60 = T~0 = 2 X 106 ° K. If the base is regarded as being 2 Ro (the radius at which agreement with the Blackwell model begins), the values would be no = 1.5 X 106 cm3; Te0 1 5 X 106 ° K, T~0 = 1.2 X 106 ° K. This model has the following values for these variables and for the velocity v at Earth's orbit: ~E = 15 cm3, VE 250 km sec', TeE = 3 5 X 10~ °K, T~E = 4 4 X 1O~ ° K. These results for ~B, VE, TPE fit most nearly the observed characteristics of the solar wind at geomagneti- cally quiet times, although the density is somewhat high, the velocity is somewhat low, and the proton temperature is quite low. It is believed that the discrepancy between this model and Blackwell data between the base of the corona and 2 Ro is to be attributed to coronal heating, and that departures of the solar-wind charac- teristics near Earth from those of this model are also to be attributed to heating by a flux of non-thermal energy; additional heating inside the radius at which the flow becomes supersonic, which is at 7.1 Ro, will produce primarily an increase in solar-wind velocity, whereas additional heating outside 7.1 Ro will produce primarily an increase in solar-wind temperature. Data are presented which show the effect upon the characteristics of this model at Earth's orbit of a change in density or in electron or proton temperature at the base. The density increases sharply with the base electron temperature, even more sharply with the base proton temperature, and approximately linearly with the base density. The velocity varies almost linearly with the base electron temperature, and is insensitive to the other base quantities The proton temperature varies approximately linearly with the base density and electron temperature, but increases sharply with the base proton temperature The electron temperature increases with the base electron temperature but varies inversely with the base density and proton temperature; these variations are not stron Title: Buchbesprechungen über: Plasma Astrophysics, (Ed. P. A. STURROCK) (Ref. E. RICHTER) Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1968ZA.....68..421S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Model of Solar Flares. Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1968AJS....73Q..79S Altcode: Stanford University.-A model of solar flares is proposed in which the preflare state comprises a bipolar magnetic-field structure associated with a bipolar photospheric magnetic region. At low heights the magnetic lines are closed and the field is force-free but not necessarily current-free; energy stored in this region is derived from photospheric motion. At greater heights, the magnetic lines extend out from the sun to form a bipolar flux tube containing a "sheet pinch" ; energy stored in this region is derived from the non thermal energy flux which heats the sun's atmosphere. Such a sheet pinch is probably the core of a coronal streamer. The flare is identified with a progressive reconnection of magnetic field by the tearing-mode instability to release the excess magnetic energy associated with the electric currents. This process in the closed-field region would begin at the photo- spheric neutral line and work outwards across successive magnetic shells, giving rise to an optical flare with familiar characteristics but not to a radio or particle event. This stage may be slow or rapid. When the reconnection process reaches the open magnetic lines, there may be a rapid (in about 1 sec) acceleration of electrons, which can produce a type III radio burst, since the sheet pinch will have a scale of order 10~ cm if its thickeuss is set by the resistive diffusion rate. Subsequent reconnection, producing further high-energy events, may proceed rapidly (102 sec) by the Petschek mechanism if the turbulent state set up by the instability permits diffusion at the Bohm rate. The decay phase of the optical flare (10~ sec) may be attributed to slow heating of the chromosphere by thermal conduction from coronal gas heated by the flare to 1070K or more. Research sponsored by Air Force Office of Scientific Research, Office of Aerospace Research, United States Air Force Contract AF-49(638)-1321. Title: A Model of Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1968IAUS...35..471S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Magnetic Field Structure Associated with Coronal Streamers. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Smith, S. M. Bibcode: 1968AJS....73R..79S Altcode: An interesting coronal structure was observed during the solar eclipse of 30 May 1965. This comprised a series of bright arches centered approximately on a quiescent prominence. A bright ray originated near the top of one of the arches and pointed almost radially away from the photosphere. The ray could be followed 1.5 solar radii from the arch top, and was deflected toward a direction parallel to the equatorial plane. By comparing the photographs with Fraunhofer maps and magnetograms, the following interpretation of the structure was obtained: The prominence lies above the neutral line of an extended bipolar magnetic region. The bright arches coincide with flux tubes arising from small photospheric regions of enhanced magnetic field strength. The ray represents a projection view of a region of enhanced plasma density in the neighborhood of a current sheet which separates two flux tubes of opposite polarity. The ray is interpreted as a cornonal streamer, and it is suggested that all streamers are related to current sheets. This work was supported in part by the Air Force Office of Scientific Research, U. S. Air Force under Contract AF 49(638)-1321, and in part by NASA, Ames Research Center. Title: Solar Oblateness and Magnetic Field Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Gilvarry, J. J. Bibcode: 1967Natur.216.1280S Altcode: It has been suggested that the observed Solar oblateness may be caused by a gravitational quadrupole moment. The answer may not be so simple, however, because of magnetic stress and differential rotation between the radiation layer and the core. Title: Galactic flares: a plasma-physics interpretation of explosions in radio galaxies and quasi-stellar objects Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1967AJ.....72Q.322S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Model of the High-Energy Phase of Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1966Natur.211..695S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Model of Quasi-Stellar Radio Sources Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1966Natur.211..697S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Two-Fluid Model of the Solar Wind Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Hartle, R. E. Bibcode: 1966PhRvL..16..628S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Wave Motion and the Structure of the Solar Chromosphere Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1966IAUTB..12..561S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A New Model of Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Coppi, B. Bibcode: 1966ApJ...143....3S Altcode: Observational data concerning solar flares are reviewed briefly in order to list the salient requirements of a model of solar flares. The requirements of a theory of the flash phase are discussed in more detail, and previous flare theories are reviewed to determine the extent to which they meet these requirements. It is submitted that no theory meets enough of the requirements to be acceptable. A new model is proposed in which the preflare state consists of a mass of gas supported by a sheared magnetic field. This field configuration is likely to be met in the neighborhood of a fault line, across which there has been a shear displacement of the photosphere, since such a fault line tends to coincide with the dividing line between regions of opposite magnetic polarity. Such a configuration of gas and magnetic field is believed to be responsible for quiescent prominences, but the energy released in a flare is believed to come from lower parts of such a system, involving stronger fields and greater mass. This model there- fore explains the close relationship between flares and quiescent filaments. The flash phase of a solar flare is identified with a gravitational resistive instability of the above plasma-field configuration. It is shown that the rise time of this instability is sufficiently rapid to explain the very rapid development of the flash phase. The instability tends to break up the plasma into filaments with dimensions of a kilometer or less, in agreement with certain inferences which have been drawn from flare spectra. The development of fine-scale structure provides conditions for subsequent slower release of stored energy; this subsequent release is identified with the main or decay phase of flares. The flash-phase instability develops high current parallel to the magnetic field, which must be driven by an electric field parallel to the magnetic field. This permits one to identify the acceleration process in solar flares as runaway acceleration, and it is shown that this interpretation enables one to explain the observed energies of protons produced by solar flares. There is a brief discussion of the possibility of interpreting certain secondary flare phenomena, such as surges and loop prominences, by means of the proposed model. Title: A New Model for Solar Filaments. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Woodbury, E. Bibcode: 1965AJ.....70..694S Altcode: Filaments are known to run along the "neutral line" which divides regions of the photo sphere of opposite magnetic polarity. However, this characteristic alone does not account for the properties of filaments. It is suggested that filaments (quiescent prominences) result from slippage of the photo sphere, and that such slippage occurs preferentially along a neutral line. The resulting magnetic field will not be current-free but if the amount of gas supported is not too large, it will be nearly force-free. A relaxation method has been devised for computing force- free magnetic field configurations and used to calculate the structure of a model filament. It is found that, for heights smaller than the slip distance, the magnetic field lines' rise almost vertically, run nearly parallel to the slip line almost horizontally, and then descend almost vertically. Such a field configuration is well suited for supporting a mass of gas. The shape of the suspended gas would then simulate the "sheet" or "veil"-like structure of a filament. It is also clear that such a structure permits flow of gas parallel to the neutral line. This interpretation of a filament provided a mechanism for supplying the dense gas supported by the magnetic field, since slippage tends to raise magnetic- field lines and so to raise the gas in which the field lines are embedded. The relationship between filaments and flares may be understood by identifying the pre-flare state of a recent flare model (Sturrock, P. A., and Coppi, B., "A New Model of Solar Flares," Stanford University Rept. SUPR 6, April 1965) with a massive filament (or part of a filament) in the low chromosphere. Work supported by the U. S. Air Force Office of Scientific Research. Title: Shock Waves in the Solar Wind and Geomagnetic Storms Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Spreiter, J. R. Bibcode: 1965JGR....70.5345S Altcode: Certain geomagnetic storms exhibit, in addition to the usual initial sudden positive impulse, a subsequent sudden negative impulse. The former is normally ascribed to a shock wave in the interplanetary medium, and it has recently been suggested that the latter may be ascribed to a reverse shock convected away from the sun by the solar wind. If the velocity of efflux of gas from a source is supersonic (with respect to the source), if the velocity is instantaneously increased, and if certain subsidiary conditions are met, a pair of shock waves will be produced which propagate away from the source. The `fast' shock propagates away from the contact surface in the ambient gas (which was ejected from the source before the change in efflux velocity); the `slow' shock propagates away from the contact surface in the driver gas but has an outward velocity when this velocity is measured relative to the source. This problem (which may be identified with a classical problem considered by Riemann) is discussed in its relation to the production of pairs of shock waves by the enhanced solar wind produced by a solar flare. The equations giving the relationship between the velocities of the shock waves and those of the ambient and driver gases become very simple in the strong-shock approximation. It is shown that the propagation times of the positive and negative impulses of the July 11, 1959, magnetic storm may be explained satisfactorily on the basis of this theory. Title: Galactic Flares and Quasi-Steller Radio Sources Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1965Natur.205..861S Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Galactic Flares and Quasistellar Radio sources Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1965AJ.....70R.331S Altcode: There is a strong similarity between explosions which occur on a galactic scale, and give rise to extragalactic radio sources, and solar flares. The possibility is therefore examined that the solar flare mechanism might occur on a galactic scale. The preflare state would comprise a large self-gravitating mass of gas which is prevented from collapsing by a trapped magnetic field. This hypothesis is examined in particular for the quasi- stellar radio source 3C273. The "galactic flare" is the explosion which gave rise to the ejection of the cloud 3C273A from the quasistellar object 3C273B. Consideration of the energy requirements and observed optical periodicity leads one to assign to the B component a mass of 10~~ g, a "radius" of 1017.8 cm and a mean magnetic field of 104.2 G. It appears that such an object could form by condensation from normal intergalactic gas if there is a large-scale intergalactic magnetic field of strength about 10-~ G. It appears furthermore that such a flare would accelerate protons to energies in excess of 1018 eV so that cosmic-ray particles may originate in galactic flares. Title: A New Model of Solar Flares. Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Coppi, B. Bibcode: 1965AJ.....70S.331S Altcode: A review of observational data concerning solar flares, including in particular data concerning homologous flares, leads to a statement of the principal requirements to be met by a flare model. It is submitted that earlier theories do not meet these requirements. A new model of solar flares is proposed in which the pre-flare state consists of a heavy mass of gas partially supported by a compressed magnetic field. Such a configuration is likely to form in those parts of the low chromosphere of a center of activity for which the magnetic field is nearly horizontal and for which the radius of curvature is directed upwards. The pre-flare state may have its origin in gas circulation due either to photo spheric temperature differences at a center of activity or to the nonthermal (acoustic) energy flux, or to a small vertical (upward) displacement of the magnetic field configuration. The instability appropriate to this configuration, to be identified with the flash phase of solar flares, is a gravitational resistive instability. This instability is sufficiently rapid, and it develops electric fields of sufficient magnitude to explain observed particle acceleration in solar flares. The instability also causes the plasma-field configuration to break up into fine filaments, in agreement with observations. This finescale structure effects a decoupling of the plasma and magnetic fields, permitting the overlying mass of gas to sink to the photosphere and the compressed magnetic field to relax to a force-free state; energy released in this phase corresponds to the main part of the light curve of a flare. Title: A New Model of Solar Flares Authors: Sturrock, P. A.; Coppi, B. Bibcode: 1964Natur.204...61S Altcode: THE extensive observational results and theoretical investigations of solar flares have recently been compiled in refs. 1 and 2. Most models of solar flares have assumed that the only reasonable mechanism for energy storage is that of magnetic field. Parker3 has recently criticized these theories and shown, in particular, that they do not explain the rapidity (102 sec) of the flash phase. Title: Structure of the Solar Chromosphere Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1964Natur.203..285S Altcode: THE suggestion of Biermann1 and Schwarzschild2, that the radially increasing temperature of the solar atmosphere is to be ascribed to propagation of non-thermal energy, such as acoustic waves, is now generally accepted. The effect of magnetic field, and the possibility that the energy-carrying waves are of a magnetohydrodynamic character rather than acoustic, has been considered seriously3. However, the fact that the density and temperature of the chromosphere are significantly affected by magnetic field only when the field attains the strength (~ 50 gauss) which is found only in localized regions (plages) on the Sun's surface indicates that magnetic field is not of primary significance. Hence one may attempt to understand the energy propagation and its effects on the assumption that one can ignore the magnetic field and so consider only acoustic waves. Title: Type III Solar Radio Bursts Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1964NASSP..50..357S Altcode: 1964psf..conf..357S No abstract at ADS Title: Spectral Characteristics of Type II Solar Radio Bursts Authors: Sturrock, P. A. Bibcode: 1961Natur.192...58S Altcode: IT has been, recognized for some time that Type II solar radio bursts are due to the excitation of plasma oscillations in the solar corona by some exciting agency which moves through the corona. Roberts1, in reviewing observations and theories of these phenomena, leaves unexplained two salient characteristics: (1) the appearance of radiation at the fundamental and second harmonic at comparable powers and the lack of radiation at all higher harmonics; (2) the frequent splitting of each of these two `lines' into a pair of lines, the fractional splitting of each of these two pairs being the same, typically a few per cent.